Cavalry vs Pacific Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 Cavalry are finishing the season in first place and go into their penultimate regular-season match with maximum motivation to protect that lead. Pacific, by contrast, are having a very poor campaign and have already lost any meaningful stake in the table. The main contrast in this fixture is the hosts' high level of consistency against the visitors' weak defence.
Head-to-Head
Cavalry beat Pacific away in the Premier League on 13 September 2026, winning 1-0. The winners had 19 shots to Pacific's 10 and created 80 dangerous attacks to 28, though the only goal came after half-time.
Across 37 official meetings, Cavalry have won 21, Pacific eight, with eight draws. Cavalry's home advantage is particularly pronounced: 13 wins from 18 home matches, with just two defeats.
Head-to-head statistics Cavalry - Pacific
Cavalry risk losing top spot
In their last Premier League match, Cavalry drew 2-2 away at Halifax Wanderers (12 October 2026). Despite having 40% possession, they had more shots than their opponents - 18 to 14 - though one of their players received a red card.
Cavalry have been solid throughout the season, winning 16 of their 26 matches and losing just four times. Over their last ten fixtures, the league leaders have six wins and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals per game. However, there has been a clear dip since mid-September: just one win in their last five matches, and their lead has vanished. Forge have now drawn level with them on points.
Match Results: Cavalry
A dreadful October for Pacific
At home against Atlético Ottawa, Pacific FC lost 0-2 in their last Premier League match 11 October 2026. They had 16 shots to their opponents' nine, but none of their four shots on target found the net.
Pacific are finishing the season with nothing left to play for: two wins, eight draws and 16 defeats tell the story of a side that has struggled to compete throughout the campaign. Their defence has been unreliable, conceding an average of 2.19 goals per match, while the attack has managed just 1.15 goals per game. Since the start of October they have not picked up a single point and have not scored a single goal either, losing all three matches by a combined score of 0-10.
Match Results: Pacific
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of their last 11 matches, Cavalry have scored fewer than 3.5 goals. Their home record also supports this selection: their average goals scored at home is 2.5 for the season and 2.6 over their last 10 home matches. Pacific, meanwhile, concede an average of 2.54 goals away from home for the season, which is consistent with the chosen line. We're backing Cavalry Team Total - Under 3.5 at 1.52.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 2-0 (11.02%), 3-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.69%). All three point to a Cavalry win, with 2-0 carrying the highest probability. The gap between the probabilities is small, so both the clean sheet victory and the one-goal-conceded scenario look close in terms of likelihood.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Pacific are plainly poor, but Cavalry have dropped off so sharply of late that even against such opposition there is no confidence in a big home win. The pressure on the league leaders is enormous, which should work in the underdog's favour. Our editors are backing Pacific with a Handicap (+2.5). The visitors have covered that line in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
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Betting Tips: Cavalry - Pacific
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