Patriotas vs Envigado Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 Boyacá Patriotas and Envigado close out the regular stage of the Primera B Clausura with both sides fighting to advance to the next round. The hosts sit eighth but are at risk of dropping out of that position after a run of defeats. Envigado are just one point behind and can overtake their direct rivals with a win. Envigado also lose far less frequently, while Boyacá Patriotas have been struggling seriously in front of goal. That contrast could prove decisive in the final round.
Head-to-Head
Envigado's 2-0 win over Boyacá Patriotas in the Primera B on 18 April 2026 was at odds with the shot statistics: the visitors had more shots on target (7-2) and won 11 corners to two, yet failed to score.
📊 Across 26 official meetings, the head-to-head record is almost perfectly even: nine wins each for Envigado and nine draws, with Boyacá Patriotas claiming eight wins. The goal difference stands at 26-25 in Envigado's favour. At home, though, Boyacá Patriotas have won six of their 13 meetings against three wins for Envigado.
Head-to-head statistics Patriotas - Envigado
Boyacá Patriotas have suffered four defeats in their last five matches.
Boyacá Patriotas lost their previous Primera B match 0-3 away to Real Cartagena. The visitors had more possession (59%) and launched more dangerous attacks (68-52), but were outshot 7-12.
Boyacá Patriotas dropped off noticeably towards the end of the regular phase. The team lost four and drew one of their last five rounds, and managed just three wins in ten matches. The attack is a particular concern - only 0.9 goals scored per game against 1.7 conceded. Over the season as a whole the numbers are slightly better: 1.03 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Patriotas are more solid at home, but the prolonged slump puts their top-eight place at risk.
Match Results: Boyaca Patriotas
Envigado have suffered just one defeat in their last 10 matches.
In their most recent Primera B home match, Envigado beat Barranquilla 1-0, scoring in the first half. Despite equal possession, the hosts were outshot overall (4-5) but had more shots on target (3-1).
Envigado head into the final round in much more consistent form. Over their last ten matches, they have lost just once, winning two and drawing seven. In the five matches before this one, they drew four times and won once. Their average over that run stands at 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. A solid defence has helped Envigado avoid defeats, but the high number of draws has prevented them from establishing themselves in the top eight.
Match Results: Envigado
Prediction for the 1st half
In 6 of their last 7 home head-to-head meetings, the first half between Boyacá Patriotas and Envigado ended level. The two sides have fairly often started these contests cautiously, leaving the main action for the second 45 minutes. Boyacá Patriotas are currently struggling for goals, while Envigado rarely lose thanks to a solid defence. Given the importance of the final round, neither side is likely to want to take risks from the first minute. Bet: Draw at Half-Time at 1.90*.
Total Goals Prediction
Boyacá Patriotas have scored no more than one goal in each of their last six league matches. Even at home their output remains modest - 1.36 goals per game for the season and 1.25 across the previous 10 matches. Envigado, meanwhile, have been conceding an average of just 0.9 goals per game over their recent run. Getting past such a solid defence is unlikely to be straightforward for the hosts. Our pick: Boyacá Patriotas Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at 1.42*.
High-Risk Bet
Envigado have drawn their last three away matches, continuing a run of fairly cautious performances. Boyacá Patriotas also rarely produce high-scoring games, particularly in recent weeks. Head-to-head meetings between these two sides have often been tight, low-scoring affairs. Given the hosts' problems in attack and the visitors' solidity, another draw is quite possible. We're backing the draw at 3.07*.
Safer Bet
Boyacá Patriotas have scored in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the Primera B. Despite a recent dip in form, they find it considerably easier to create chances on their own ground. Their average of 1.36 goals per game this season is noticeably higher than their away figures. Envigado are reasonably solid defensively, but they do not always keep a clean sheet on the road either. The pick here is Boyacá Patriotas Team Total - Over 0.5 at 1.36*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines for this match are 1-1 (14.03%), 1-0 (10.09%) and 0-0 (9.4%). These results highlight the generally low-scoring nature of this fixture and the strong chance of a draw. The most common scoreline among them is 1-1.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Boyacá Patriotas have lost their earlier confidence and have barely scored in recent rounds. Envigado, on the other hand, rarely lose but also rarely win, preferring a cautious approach. The head-to-head history adds further weight to this view, with the two sides regularly producing low-scoring meetings. Given the hosts' current lack of goals and the visitors' solid defence, an open game seems unlikely. Predicted score: 1-1. Main bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Boyaca Patriotas - Envigado
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