Union Magdalena vs Atl. Cali Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 Unión Magdalena and Atlético go into the final round of the Clausura with both sides still in contention to advance to the next stage of the Primera B. The hosts sit 11th with 17 points, while the visitors are ninth with 18. Both teams need a win, so there is plenty at stake in the standings. Unión Magdalena have been considerably more consistent in recent matches, while Atlético have continued to drop points. One notable factor is the hosts' home scoring record - they rarely score more than two goals.
Head-to-Head
Unión Magdalena Santa Marta beat Atlético away 3-1 in a Primera B match on 18 April 2026. The score was level at half-time, but by the final whistle the visitors had comfortably outshot the hosts - 16 to 9 overall and 6 to 2 on target.
📊 Unión Magdalena Santa Marta hold a significant head-to-head advantage: 12 wins from 21 meetings against just one for Atlético, with eight draws. The goal difference is also substantial - 37-18.
Head-to-head statistics Union Magdalena - Atl. Cali
Unión Magdalena are unbeaten in their last five matches
Unión Magdalena picked up noticeably towards the end of the regular phase, winning two and drawing three of their last five matches. Over their last ten games, they have won four, drawn four and lost two. They are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. At home, however, the attack has been less productive: in their last eight home matches they have not scored more than two goals in any single game. Despite the improvement in form, the number of draws has so far prevented Unión Magdalena from climbing into the top eight.
Match Results: Union Magdalena
Atletico: inconsistent results
Atlético's most recent Primera B match ended in a 0-1 home defeat to Deportes Quindío. The visitors had more shots on target - 6 to 3 - and significantly outperformed the hosts in dangerous attacks: 81 to 37.
Atlético go into the final round in poor form, with one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five matches. The defensive problems are particularly noticeable, with the backline regularly making errors even against sides in the lower half of the table. Over 14 rounds of the Clausura, the team have scored 16 goals and conceded 20. Their average scoring rate this season is also modest, at around one goal per game. The inconsistent results have left Atlético ninth, and they are at risk of missing out on the next stage.
Match Results: Atletico FC Cali
Prediction for the 1st half
Unión Magdalena have led at half-time in 6 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings with Atlético. In the other two, the teams were level at the break. That record points to a home advantage in the early stages of this fixture, with the visitors' inconsistent defence - which makes errors on a regular basis - adding further weight to the case. The bet: Unión Magdalena to win the first half at 1.69*.
Total Goals Prediction
In their last eight home matches, Unión Magdalena have not scored more than two goals in any of them. Their average home goals scored this season stands at 1.31 per game. Even with their recent improvement in results, they rarely produce high-scoring performances. Atlético may have defensive problems, but the hosts' statistics do not point towards a high-scoring game on their end. Our pick: Unión Magdalena Team Total - Under 2.5 at 1.57*.
Safer Bet
Unión Magdalena have scored in the first half in 7 of their last 8 official head-to-head meetings with Atlético. The only exception was a 2025 cup match that ended goalless. In the other seven meetings, the hosts regularly found a way to score before the break. Given Atlético's current defensive problems, this trend continuing seems quite likely. We're backing Unión Magdalena Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals in the 1st Half at 1.37*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
The algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines for this match: 1-0 (13.02%), 2-0 (10.63%) and 1-1 (10.33%). A narrow home win has the highest probability, but a 1-1 draw also remains fairly likely. The gap between these outcomes is small, which points to a tight, low-scoring game.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Unión Magdalena go into this decisive match in better form, though even at home they rarely score freely. Atlético are struggling to pick up points and cannot boast a reliable defence. The hosts, meanwhile, have scored no more than two goals in each of their last eight home matches. Given the statistics and the importance of the fixture, a big win for Unión Magdalena seems unlikely. Predicted score: 1-0. Main bet: Unión Magdalena Team Total - Under 2.5 goals.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Union Magdalena - Atletico FC Cali
in 7 of last 8 games against Atletico FC Cali (Primera B)..svg)
in last 4 home games.in last 8 home games.in last 7 home games (Primera B).in last 19 games against Atletico FC Cali.in last 16 games against Atletico FC Cali (Primera B).in last 11 home games against Atletico FC Cali.in last 9 home games against Atletico FC Cali (Primera B).in last 8 games.in last 7 games (Primera B).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
