Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Prediction 17 August 2026
💣 In the fourth round of the Mexican Apertura, Tijuana will host Cruz Azul from the capital at their stadium. The home side have made a brilliant start to the new season and remain unbeaten, sitting second in the table. The visitors are just one point behind and are looking to displace a direct rival with an away win. Stylistically, we can expect a contest between the solid defence of the "reds" and the highly productive attack of the capital club.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended 1-1. Here are the comparative stats from that game (Cruz Azul were the home side):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 18 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Tijuana and Cruz Azul:
- 35 matches played;
- home wins - 9, away wins - 16, draws - 10;
- goals - 35 vs 50;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.2, in the 2nd - 1.23;
- average total goals per match - 2.43.
Head-to-head statistics Tijuana - Cruz Azul
Tijuana Team Overview
The last official match was played in the Leagues Cup (home side - Portland Timbers, away side - Tijuana). The match ended 3-1.
Match statistics (Tijuana vs Portland Timbers):
- possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
Tijuana are having one of their best starts in recent years, picking up seven points from three matches. The team has two convincing wins and one draw, with an impressive goal difference of 4-1. The hosts' main foundation for success at the start of the tournament has been iron discipline in defence and reliable goalkeeping. At their home ground, the "red-blacks" traditionally perform with particular passion, backed by massive support from their fans. Against a serious opponent, the side will look to maintain their usual balance between defending and counter-attacking.
Match Results: Tijuana
Cruz Azul Team Overview
The last official match for the current away side was played in the Leagues Cup (home side - Cruz Azul, away side - Chicago Fire). The match ended 1:2.
The match stats were as follows (Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Cruz Azul sit sixth in the table with six points. Over the past three matchdays the team have won two and lost one, with an impressive goal difference of 7-6. The capital club's attacking line is working at full capacity, regularly creating a host of chances in front of goal. At the same time, the Blues' defensive shape has been allowing too many costly errors and breakdowns. On a difficult away trip to Tijuana, the visitors will try to play aggressively, though their defensive mistakes could come back to haunt them.
Match Results: Cruz Azul
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.43;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
- average total in the tournament: 1.67 vs 4.33;
- average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 2.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.33;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 2;
- Tijuana: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Cruz Azul: average total away in the tournament - 3;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 2.33) vs 1.8 (away - 2.5).
- Tijuana have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games.
Prediction on corners
Tijuana: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.67; at home field - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; at home field - 3.33.
Cruz Azul: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 5.5.
- Cruz Azul have taken over 4.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
- number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Tijuana at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cruz Azul away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Tijuana at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Cruz Azul away - 4 (100%).
- Cruz Azul have scored and conceded in 10 of last 11 away games.
- Cruz Azul have scored and conceded in last 9 away games (Liga MX).
- Cruz Azul have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games.
- Cruz Azul have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Liga MX).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (3/27, 11.1%), 1:0 (3/27, 11.1%), 2:1 (3/27, 11.1%), 2:3 (3/27, 11.1%);
- Tijuana at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 3:1 (1/2, 50%);
- Cruz Azul away most often play: 2:3 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.67% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 8.3% (odds 8.5)
2:2 - 7.55% (odds 12)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Tijuana right now look like one of the most balanced and physically sharp sides in the league. The hosts have conceded just one goal in three rounds, which highlights the exceptional reliability of their defensive structure. Cruz Azul may score plenty, but they regularly suffer serious defensive lapses, having already let in six goals. The home advantage and superiority in defensive organisation will allow Tijuana to comfortably contain the visitors' pressure. The motivated hosts will keep their unbeaten run going, so the bet on Tijuana not to lose looks as reliable as it gets. A 1:1 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Tijuana - Cruz Azul
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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