Oviedo vs Alaves Prediction
🔊 Can “the Carbayones” end their home campaign on a high note? One of Sunday’s standout fixtures in La Liga sees Real Oviedo host Alavés. Interestingly, the hosts are already relegated, while “the Glorious Ones” are showing remarkable resilience in a fierce relegation dogfight. Despite playing away from home, the bookmakers give Quique Sánchez Flores’ side a clear edge, favoring them by a two-to-one margin.
Head-to-Head
📊 Let’s recall that in the first round of the current campaign, the sides couldn’t be separated at Mendizorrotza, playing out a 1-1 draw. Interestingly, Alaves have traditionally struggled to secure positive results when visiting Oviedo. The last time the Babazorros claimed an away win over the Carbayones dates back to the 1979/80 Segunda season (1-0). Looking at the average goals scored in their last ten head-to-head meetings: Real Oviedo have averaged 1 goal per game, while Alaves have managed 1.6.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Real Oviedo Team Overview
🔵 The Carbajones’ winless run has now stretched to five consecutive matches. What’s more, they failed to find the net in all three of their May fixtures. Guillermo Almada’s side became the first club this season to be officially relegated from Spain’s top flight. It’s worth highlighting Real Oviedo’s average attacking output this campaign-just 0.72 goals scored per game, while conceding 1.56 on average. Their home form leaves much to be desired as well: only 19 points from 18 matches at their own ground, the worst record in the league.
🟡 Earlier this week, Guillermo Almada’s squad traveled to the Santiago Bernabéu. Despite showing plenty of commitment, the Carbajones couldn’t overcome the stadium’s intimidating atmosphere or the gulf in quality between the sides. Real Oviedo’s lack of sharpness in the final third ultimately cost them points. With relegation now confirmed, the Uruguayan manager has the freedom to take a more adventurous and proactive approach in the remaining fixtures. Against Los Blancos, Oviedo lined up in an energetic 4-3-3 formation on the road. Federico Viñas remains their top scorer in La Liga this season, with nine goals in 32 appearances.
Match Results: Real Oviedo

Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
🔵 Quique Sánchez Flores is on the verge of giving the Glorious fans plenty to cheer about. Since his arrival, Alavés have shown remarkable improvement on the pitch and managed to climb out of the relegation zone. Currently, the team sit 16th in the table, just one point clear of danger. Let’s take a look at their average scoring stats this season: Alavés are netting 1.17 goals per match while conceding 1.5. Their away form, however, remains a major concern-just 13 points from 18 games, with only one win in their last seven on the road.
⚪ Midweek, Alavés pulled off a historic victory over Barcelona (1-0). The match-winner was Ibrahim Diabaté, who found the net just before halftime. Impressively, the Glorious delivered a disciplined defensive performance, effectively shutting down Barcelona’s flank attacks. In fact, the Catalans failed to register a single shot on target against Antonio Sivera. The expected goals stats tell the story as well: 0.72 to 0.6 in Alavés’ favour. The team’s top scorer is Toni Martínez, who has bagged 12 goals in 35 appearances.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Latest news
Real Oviedo
❌ For Real Oviedo, the only notable absentee ahead of the upcoming match is Leander Dendoncker. The exact nature of the Belgian midfielder’s injury remains undisclosed, and the club has yet to provide a timeline for his recovery. However, it’s clear that his season is over.
Deportivo Alaves
❌ Alavés suffer a significant squad blow with Lucas Boyé sidelined through injury. However, at a recent press conference, head coach Quique Sánchez Flores confirmed that the Argentine striker has already returned to training, is making steady progress in his recovery, and is expected to be available for the clash against Real Oviedo. On the other hand, Facundo Garcés will remain unavailable until at least November, as the defender serves an eight-month suspension following the controversy surrounding his Malaysian citizenship.
⚽ Goals Prediction
It’s worth noting that seven of the last nine head-to-head meetings between these sides have featured no more than two goals. Both teams have also posted modest attacking numbers so far this La Liga season: “Karbayoncy” average just 0.72 goals per game, while “Slavnye” are at 1.17. Given these stats, it’s reasonable to expect a cautious contest with few clear-cut chances. The key bet here is on under 3 goals at odds of 1.55*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Neither team is renowned for relentless wing play or piling on the pressure in wide areas. Their average corners per match this season back that up: “Karbayoncy” win just 3.9 per game, while “Slavnye” manage 5. What’s more, each of Real Oviedo’s last six matches has seen no more than ten corners in total. The editors’ pick: under 9.5 corners at 2*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary by bookmaker.
Editorial Prediction
Our editorial team does not expect an easy outing for Alavés, despite their impressive run of form. It’s worth noting that the Glorious Ones have not managed a single win in Oviedo for over 46 years. On top of that, the Carbayones will be eager to make a statement and finish their home campaign on a high note in the season’s final match at the Carlos Tartiere. With that in mind, we give a slight edge to the hosts here. Our prediction: a narrow 1-0 win for Real Oviedo. The key bet - Real Oviedo double chance (win or draw).
