Pisa vs Napoli Prediction 17 May 2026
📢 Can Napoli secure a crucial three points against Serie A’s bottom side? In Matchday 37, the Neapolitans travel to the Arena Garibaldi to take on Pisa, who have already been relegated and lost any hope of staying in the top flight. Still, underestimating the hosts could be a mistake: for the Nerazzurri, this is their final home fixture before dropping down a division, and they will be eager to give their fans something to cheer about.
Head-to-Head
📊 There’s barely any recent head-to-head history between these sides: since 2008, Pisa and Napoli have faced off just once-and that was earlier this season. In that first-round clash, Napoli edged a 3-2 win at home, but it was anything but straightforward. Pisa pushed the favourites all the way and came close to snatching a result.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Pisa Team Overview
🔵 Last summer, Pisa earned promotion to the top flight after a stellar campaign in Serie B. However, their stay among Italy’s elite proved short-lived: next season, they will return to the country’s second tier. The reasons are clear-Pisa have struggled badly at both ends of the pitch. Across 36 matches, the Nerazzurri have collected just 18 points and sit rock-bottom of the table with two rounds remaining. The only consolation left for Pisa is the slim hope of climbing to 19th place, a position just two points above them.
⚫ Recent form offers little encouragement for Pisa fans. The team heads into their next fixture on the back of seven consecutive defeats. In their latest outing, Pisa suffered a heavy 3-0 loss to Cremonese, who currently occupy 18th spot. Admittedly, the match was shaped by disciplinary issues: Pisa were reduced to ten men as early as the 23rd minute, and found themselves down to nine by the 57th. Yet even before the sendings-off, Pisa offered nothing going forward and failed to register a single shot on target over the full 90 minutes.
Match Results: Pisa
Napoli Team Overview
🔵 Napoli are at the opposite end of the table, currently sitting second with 70 points. However, their position is far from secure - the gap to fifth place is just three points, leaving the Neapolitans still at risk of missing out on a Champions League spot. Such an outcome would be unacceptable for both the club’s management and their passionate supporters, so Napoli need to do whatever it takes to see off Pisa.
⚪ Recent results, though, offer little encouragement. Since April 12, the Partenopei have played five matches but managed just a single win - a convincing 4-0 victory over Cremonese. In their last outing, Napoli even suffered a shock home defeat to Bologna (2-3), a side enduring a poor campaign and far from their best form.
Match Results: Napoli
Latest news
Pisa
📌 The hosts are dealing with a number of squad issues: Daniel Denuna and Matteo Tramoni are both doubtful, while Rosen Bozhinov and Felipe Loyola will miss out after being sent off in the previous round.
🚫 In terms of how these absences impact the team, everyone except Denuna has played a key role this season. These players have not only featured regularly but have also been frequent starters, so their absence could significantly limit Pisa’s options.
Napoli
📌 The visitors are also dealing with some personnel issues: the involvement of Romelu Lukaku, David Neres, and Kevin De Bruyne remains in doubt. Matteo Politano will miss the match due to suspension.
🚫 Lukaku has been largely ineffective this season, while Neres has spent a lengthy spell on the sidelines, so their potential absence shouldn’t be a major blow. However, Napoli could really miss Politano and De Bruyne-both are capable of making a significant impact in the final third.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Pisa have struggled recently, not just in terms of picking up points, but also in converting their chances. Over the last seven rounds, they've only managed to breach the defenses of Genoa (1-2) and Lecce (1-2)-not exactly the toughest opposition, especially when compared to Napoli. In this context, backing Pisa not to score at odds of 1.95* looks like a reasonable prediction.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Napoli are in much greater need of points than Pisa, so we can expect the visitors to play with more attacking intent. With sustained pressure, Napoli should be earning more corners throughout the match. Taking Napoli to win the corner count with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.55* seems like a logical option here.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
There’s little doubt Pisa will defend deep. To break down such a packed defense, Napoli will need a player with a powerful shot and the ability to make late runs into the box. For the Neapolitans, that player is Scott McTominay. The Scotsman is enjoying a solid season-9 goals and 3 assists in 31 Serie A appearances-so backing McTominay to score at odds of 2.75* makes sense.
😱 Risky Bet
After a tough run of results, Napoli don’t just need three points-they need a convincing win. Pisa have suffered heavy defeats before: 0-3 against Cremonese, 0-3 against Roma, and 0-5 against Como. Against this backdrop, backing Napoli with a -2.5 handicap at odds of 4.00* is risky but well-founded.
🎯 Safe Bet
Pisa have rarely kept a clean sheet this season, conceding in 24 of their last 25 Serie A matches. That makes Napoli to score arguably the safest bet on offer, available at odds of 1.11*.
👀 If the Game Doesn’t Go to Plan
Many expect Napoli to take all three points without much trouble. But the Partenopei could come out too relaxed, underestimate their opponents, and get punished for it. If Napoli start sluggishly, then backing Pisa double chance (not to lose) at odds of 2.90* becomes an interesting alternative.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Napoli are clear favourites in this matchup, and it’s hard to argue with that assessment. While the Partenopei haven’t been at their best lately, they should have more than enough quality to see off the league’s bottom side, given the difference in class between the squads. Pisa have been handing out points to almost everyone-they’ve lost 11 of their last 12 Serie A fixtures. Our main pick here is a Napoli win with a -1 handicap. We’re backing a comfortable result, and a 2-0 scoreline looks likely on the scoreboard.
Betting Tips: Pisa - Napoli
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