Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Prediction 17 May 2026
🔊 Can NEC Nijmegen snap their losing streak and reclaim third place in the Eredivisie? To secure a Champions League spot, NEC not only need to win their own match but also hope for a slip-up from Twente. In the final round, NEC will host Go Ahead Eagles. The "Eagles" have already secured a comfortable mid-table finish and are winding down the season without much at stake. Will NEC find easy points against an unmotivated opponent? Our editorial team breaks down the odds and scenarios ahead of this decisive clash in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Go Ahead Eagles):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams NEC Nijmegen and Go Ahead Eagles:
- played 28 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 6, for the away team - 11, draws - 11;
- number of goals (home/away) - 46 against 53;
- average total goals in the match - 3.54.
Head-to-head statistics Nijmegen - Go Ahead
NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Groningen, away team - NEC Nijmegen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
NEC Nijmegen have posted impressive attacking numbers this season, averaging 2.27 goals per game. However, their defensive record is less reassuring, with 1.58 goals conceded per match. In recent weeks, NEC have hit a rough patch-going five games without a win across all competitions. During this run, they suffered a heavy 1-5 defeat to AZ Alkmaar in the Dutch Cup final and also surrendered third place in the Eredivisie to Twente. They now trail the Champions League spots by just two points.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Go Ahead Eagles, away - PSV). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:4.
Here are the match stats (Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV):
- ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 10.
Go Ahead Eagles are wrapping up the season in 12th place, firmly establishing themselves as a solid mid-table side. Over their last five matches, the Eagles have managed just one win but have only suffered a single defeat as well. They average a notable 1.61 goals per game while conceding at a similar rate (1.55). Crucially, the team secured enough points several rounds before the finish to steer clear of the Eredivisie drop zone. Even after a four-match winless run, Go Ahead maintain a six-point cushion above the relegation playoff spots.
Match Results: Go Ahead Eagles
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 11, draws - 11.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles
- matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- wins: 15 vs 8;
- win percentage: 45% vs 24%;
- losses: 7 vs 11;
- draws: 11 vs 14.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Go Ahead Eagles won with a +1.5 handicap in last 10 away games against NEC Nijmegen.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.64, the guests - 1.89;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles
- average total in the tournament: 3.85 vs 3.15;
- average total goals scored: 2.27 vs 1.61;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.85 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.42 vs 0.91;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total at home in the tournament - 2.44;
- Go Ahead Eagles: average total away in the tournament - 1.19;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2) vs 2 (away - 0.75).
- Under 4.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 NEC Nijmegen games.
- Under 4.5 goals scored in last 13 Go Ahead Eagles away games.
- Under 4.5 goals scored in last 9 Go Ahead Eagles away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.91; at home field - 6.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7; at home field - 7.
Go Ahead Eagles: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.48, away - 4.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 5.25.
- Go Ahead Eagles have taken over 3.5 corners in last 7 games against NEC Nijmegen.
- Go Ahead Eagles have taken over 3.5 corners in last 6 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 27 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 12 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Go Ahead Eagles away - 9 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Go Ahead Eagles away - 1 (25%).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games against Go Ahead Eagles.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 5 home games against Go Ahead Eagles.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 home games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (34/297, 11.4%);
- NEC Nijmegen at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:0 (2/16, 12.5%);
- Go Ahead Eagles away most often play: 2:2 (5/16, 31.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.16% (odds 7.01)
2:0 - 8.6% (odds 7.53)
1:1 - 8.46% (odds 8.189)
- NEC Nijmegen drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 games (Eredivisie).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
NEC Nijmegen head into this fixture on a downward trajectory: they are winless in five, their backline looks shaky, and they've recently slipped from third place in the league. Despite still creating plenty of chances, defensive frailties have prevented them from controlling matches with any authority. Go Ahead Eagles, meanwhile, have already secured a comfortable mid-table finish and play without pressure-showing solid discipline on their travels. NEC’s attacking output has dipped in recent weeks, with the side failing to score more than twice in each of their last seven outings. That trend is mirrored in their head-to-head record: Nijmegen have scored two or fewer in 14 of their last 15 meetings with Go Ahead. Given these factors, a NEC Nijmegen total goals under 2.5 bet looks like a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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