Ceuta vs Malaga Prediction 16 May 2026
🔊 Malaga head into this fixture in impressive attacking form, averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last ten outings and maintaining a strong position near the top of the table. Ceuta, by contrast, have been more restrained in their performances, managing just two wins in their previous ten matches and coming off a run of four draws in their last five games. In terms of the standings, Malaga are pushing for a top finish, while Ceuta find themselves settled closer to mid-table.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 11 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Malaga CF):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
- fouls: 6 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Ceuta and Malaga CF:
- played 4 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 2, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 5 against 6;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.5, in the 2nd half - 1.25;
- average total goals in the match - 2.75.
Head-to-head statistics Ceuta - Malaga
Ceuta Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in the Segunda, with Ceuta hosting Castellón. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here’s a look at the key stats from the game (Ceuta vs Castellón):
- Possession: 50% vs 50%;
- Corners: 6 vs 6;
- Fouls: 15 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Ceuta are displaying steady, if unspectacular, form at the moment. Over their last ten matches, they have managed just two wins, alongside three defeats and five draws. Their attacking output has been modest, averaging only 1.1 goals scored per game, while conceding 1.6 on average during the same stretch-a sign of ongoing struggles both up front and at the back.
Match Results: Ceuta
Malaga CF Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Segunda, facing Malaga away from home. Sporting came up short, losing 2-1.
Here’s how the key stats broke down (Malaga vs Sporting):
- Possession: 66% vs 34%;
- Corners: 9 vs 1;
- Fouls: 4 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Malaga are enjoying a strong season with a clear attacking focus-they’ve now scored at least twice in each of their last five matches, underscoring a key trend in their campaign. Their last ten games further highlight this offensive prowess, averaging 2.4 goals per match while conceding 1.6, a statistic that reflects their open style of play and willingness to trade chances at both ends of the pitch.
Match Results: Malaga CF
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 4;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
Statistics: Ceuta vs Malaga CF
- matches played in the tournament: 39 vs 39;
- wins: 15 vs 19;
- win percentage: 38% vs 49%;
- losses: 14 vs 11;
- draws: 10 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 3.
- Ceuta have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.25, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.75;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Ceuta vs Malaga CF
- average total in the tournament: 2.72 vs 3.03;
- average total goals scored: 1.21 vs 1.74;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.72 vs 0.72;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.49 vs 1.03;
- Ceuta: average total at home in the tournament - 1.37;
- Malaga CF: average total away in the tournament - 1.42;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.8) vs 2.4 (away - 2.6).
- Malaga CF have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 4;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Ceuta vs Malaga CF
- number of matches played in the tournament: 39 vs 39;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 22 vs 24;
- number of BTTS matches for Ceuta at home - 11 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Malaga CF away - 11 (58%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Ceuta at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Malaga CF away - 4 (80%).
- Malaga CF have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Segunda División).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (52/429, 12.1%);
- Ceuta at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (4/19, 21.1%);
- Malaga CF away most often play: 2:1 (4/19, 21.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.18% (odds 6)
0:1 - 10% (odds 7.5)
1:2 - 9.93% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The trend for Malaga to score over 1.5 goals looks well-founded, given the visitors’ recent form: they have netted at least twice in each of their last five matches, a run backed up by their attacking stats both in this stretch and across the season. With Malaga’s scoring streak still alive, this outcome stands out as the most likely scenario-Malaga’s individual over 1.5 goals is a solid pick.
No comments
Betting Tips: Ceuta - Malaga CF
in 6 of last 7 home games (Segunda División).
in 7 of last 8 games (Segunda División).in last 5 Ceuta home games (Segunda División).in 25 of last 26 games.in 24 of last 25 games (Segunda División).in last 13 away games.in last 12 away games (Segunda División).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
