Malaga vs Ceuta Prediction 11 January 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Málaga and Ceuta promises to be an exciting encounter, given their current form and style of play. Both teams sit in the upper half of the table, aiming to solidify their positions in the league. Málaga have been strong at home, but their defense has been less than stellar, as they consistently concede goals. Meanwhile, Ceuta show stability on the road, regularly challenging their opponents. An open game with an attacking focus is expected, with both sides eager to capitalize on their chances.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams have faced each other in three official matches. Here's the breakdown:
- goals: 4 to 4;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.67;
- average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Malaga - Ceuta
Malaga CF Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Segunda Division, with Sporting at home and Malaga as the visitors. The game concluded with a 1-3 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Malaga vs Sporting):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
Malaga sit in ninth place in the standings, displaying mixed results. Over their last five matches, they've secured three wins, drawn once, and suffered one defeat. The team is aggressive in attack, averaging 1.7 goals per game, but their defense often falters, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Malaga's backline needs improvement, underscored by a streak of 13 consecutive games in which they've conceded. Their most recent encounter with Ceuta ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting the evenly matched nature of the teams. The club aims to solidify their position and will rely on their attacking style of play.
Match Results: Malaga CF
Ceuta Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Segunda División, where Ceuta hosted Andorra. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Ceuta vs Andorra):
- possession percentage: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 15 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 8.
Ceuta, currently sitting sixth in the standings, have been delivering consistent performances. Over their last five matches, the team have secured two wins, drawn twice, and suffered one defeat. With an attacking style of play, Ceuta consistently create chances and average 1.3 goals per game. However, their defense leaves room for improvement, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. Their recent encounter with Malaga ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting the evenly matched nature of the contest. Ceuta are in good form and will be looking to solidify their position in the upper part of the table.
Match Results: Ceuta
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.67.
First-Half Stats: Malaga CF (home) vs Ceuta (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 6 (60%) vs 1 (10%);
- losses: 1 (10%) vs 5 (50%);
- draws: 3 (30%) vs 4 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 1.1 vs 1.6;
- Average goals conceded: 0.2 vs 1.1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.8).
- Ceuta conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Malaga CF vs Ceuta
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- wins: 8 vs 9;
- win percentage: 40% vs 45%;
- losses: 7 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Ceuta won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 games.
- Ceuta won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 games (Segunda División).
- Ceuta won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 away games.
- Ceuta won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 1.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Malaga CF vs Ceuta
- average total in the tournament: 2.7 vs 2.4;
- average total goals scored: 1.45 vs 1.2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.85 vs 0.6;
- Malaga CF: average total at home in the tournament - 1.9;
- Ceuta: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2) vs 1.3 (away - 1).
- Malaga CF have conceded in last 13 games.
- Malaga CF have conceded in last 11 games (Segunda División).
- Malaga CF have conceded in 7 of last 8 home games (Segunda División).
- Ceuta have scored in last 8 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on corners
Malaga CF: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.9; at home field - 3.7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 3.25.
Ceuta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.35, away - 3.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 5.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Malaga CF vs Ceuta
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Malaga CF at home - 7 (70%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ceuta away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Malaga CF at home - 4 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Ceuta away - 3 (60%).
- Malaga CF have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 games.
- Malaga CF have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Segunda División).
- Malaga CF have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Segunda División).
- Ceuta have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Segunda División).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/220, 12.7%);
- Malaga CF at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:2 (2/10, 20%);
- Ceuta away most often play: 0:0 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.83% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 9.86% (odds 6)
2:1 - 9.22% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Analyzing the current form and statistics of both teams, an open game with an attacking focus seems likely. Malaga, despite consistent home performances, have a tendency to concede - having let in goals in 13 consecutive matches. This sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. Ceuta are in good form, avoiding defeat in most of their recent games. In their previous head-to-head, the teams played to a 1-1 draw, highlighting their evenly matched capabilities. Trends also suggest goals from both sides: Malaga have both scored and conceded in 11 of their last 12 games. Based on this, we predict both teams to score as the most likely outcome.No comments
Betting Tips: Malaga CF - Ceuta
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
