Bournemouth vs Man City Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Tuesday’s clash at the Vitality Stadium could mark the final chapter in this season’s title race. Manchester City travel to face Bournemouth, fully aware that any slip-up-following Arsenal’s expected win over Burnley-would see the trophy head to London. The Citizens have already secured a domestic cup double, but it’s come at a cost: after a gruelling FA Cup final, they now face their third match in just six days. Their opponents? Quite possibly the toughest Bournemouth side in Premier League history. Andoni Iraola’s team are enjoying a remarkable 16-match unbeaten run and won’t be intimidated by the title favourites.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head stats paint a one-sided picture: Manchester City have claimed victory in 18 of their 19 Premier League encounters against Bournemouth, with the Cherries winning just once. That lone triumph, however, came at the Vitality Stadium in November 2024 (2-1). Earlier this season, City cruised to a commanding 3-1 win at the Etihad. Erling Haaland bagged a brace, both goals set up by Rayan Cherki.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    5%
    1 Win
    5%
    1 Draw
    90%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    20
    Total Goals Avg
    3.55
    Both teams scored
    65%
    0.7
    Total average
    2.85
    1.7
    Yellow cards
    1.45
    Last matches
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    02.11.25
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    1.57
    1.15
    10
    4
    8
    11
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.57
    1.15
    10
    4
    8
    11
    2
    2
    20.05.25
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    1
    1.58
    1.03
    3
    1
    7
    13
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.58
    1.03
    3
    1
    7
    13
    1
    3
    30.03.25
    FAC
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.66
    3.45
    2
    4
    14
    12
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1.66
    3.45
    2
    4
    14
    12
    3
    3
    02.11.24
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.79
    1.82
    3
    10
    10
    6
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.79
    1.82
    3
    10
    10
    6
    2
    1
    Empty
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    Bournemouth Team Overview

    Andoni Iraola’s side are enjoying a remarkable campaign, transforming from solid mid-table contenders into one of the league’s most impressive outfits. Bournemouth currently sit sixth with 55 points, still in mathematical contention for a Champions League spot. While the Cherries were racking up draws through February and March, April has seen them consistently pocket all three points. Over their last five matches, Bournemouth have claimed four wins-including impressive away victories over Arsenal (2-1), Newcastle (2-1), and Fulham (1-0).

    The clash with the Cottagers ended in a hard-fought win, underlining Bournemouth’s resilience and ability to grind out results. The Cherries may have created fewer chances, but they weathered the storm and kept a second consecutive clean sheet. Notably, their main attacking threat is 19-year-old Rayan, whom Iraola deploys on the right flank in his 4-2-3-1 setup, relying on swift transitions and compact defending when out of possession. The Brazilian has now scored in three straight matches.

    Match Results: Bournemouth

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    2.01
    1.14
    6
    3
    11
    7
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    2.01
    1.14
    6
    3
    11
    7
    1
    1
    D
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    D
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Fulham
    Fulham
    1
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    1
    1.49
    0.85
    11
    2
    12
    21
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.49
    0.85
    11
    2
    12
    21
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    2.17
    1.1
    7
    1
    10
    11
    0
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.17
    1.1
    7
    1
    10
    11
    0
    2
    W
    22.04.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    1.88
    1.4
    12
    1
    7
    10
    3
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.88
    1.4
    12
    1
    7
    10
    3
    0
    D
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    Manchester City Team Overview

    The Citizens are in hot pursuit of Arsenal, trailing the league leaders by just two points after 36 matches played. Over their last five Premier League outings, City have picked up four wins and a draw. Comprehensive victories over Brentford (3-0) and Crystal Palace (3-0) once again showcased City’s quality and mental resilience. However, the fixture list has been relentless for Guardiola’s side, with this marking a second consecutive tough away trip following their hard-fought battle against Chelsea (1-0) at Wembley.

    In the FA Cup final against the Blues, Guardiola’s men secured their second trophy of the season, edging Chelsea thanks to a stunning 72nd-minute strike from Antoine Semenyo. It was a gruelling contest, with Chelsea lining up with five at the back and limiting space, leaving few clear-cut chances. Rodri returned to the starting XI and put in a 65-minute shift, while Erling Haaland once again failed to find the net in a final but did provide the decisive assist. Speaking post-match, Pep admitted City were second best after the break.

    Match Results: Manchester City

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.32
    1.97
    9
    4
    8
    4
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1.32
    1.97
    9
    4
    8
    4
    1
    0
    L
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    D
    16.05.26
    FAC
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    W
    13.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    1.3
    0.7
    9
    4
    10
    7
    0
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.3
    0.7
    9
    4
    10
    7
    0
    2
    W
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Brentford
    Brentford
    3.3
    0.35
    10
    2
    8
    14
    4
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    3.3
    0.35
    10
    2
    8
    14
    4
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Bournemouth

    🚫 Lewis Cook and Julio Soler have been sidelined with injuries for several months now. Ryan Christie is also unavailable after picking up a red card in the previous round.

    ❌ Defender Alex Jimenez has been suspended by the club pending an investigation into his social media activity.

    Manchester City

    📌 Rodri, who missed five matches with a groin injury sustained against Arsenal (2-1), returned to the starting XI for the FA Cup final and is now fully fit. Josko Gvardiol is back after recovering from a broken leg and played nearly an hour in the previous round. Ruben Dias has also shaken off a hamstring issue.

    ✔ As a result, at the time of writing this prediction, Manchester City have a clean bill of health. Every player in the squad is available for selection. That level of squad depth is also reflected in the latest guide betting odds, with City viewed as favorites ahead of kickoff.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    Anthony Taylor has officiated 29 Premier League matches this season, handing out 113 yellow cards-an average of 3.9 per game. Over his last five fixtures, that average has dipped to 3.4. Under Guardiola, City are known for their disciplined approach (averaging just 1.56 bookings per home match), while Bournemouth, on their own turf, tend to avoid reckless challenges, picking up 2.06 cautions per game. With both sides likely to play it safe and avoid unnecessary suspensions ahead of the final round, backing under 4.5 yellow cards looks a well-founded prediction. The odds for this total sit around 1.55*.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    Both teams come into this clash as two of the most prolific and consistent attacking outfits in the league. In their last five games, each side has only once failed to surpass the 1.5 goals mark. Moreover, six of the last seven head-to-head meetings have featured both teams scoring and the over hitting comfortably. Expect fireworks at the Vitality-so the combined bet on both teams to score + over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.73* is an insightful prediction.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    Despite Pep’s tactical experiments this season, Manchester City continue to dominate possession and rack up attacking sequences, which naturally leads to a high corner count. On average, the Citizens win 5.72 corners per away match, while Bournemouth average 5.94 at home. Their last head-to-head clash saw a whopping 13 corners between them. Backing over 9.5 corners at 1.37* looks safe-it’s landed in six of their last seven Premier League encounters.

    🚀 Player Stat Bet

    Antoine Semenyo has been the standout performer for City in recent weeks, netting decisive goals in both the previous league round and the FA Cup final. There’s a reason the Ghanaian winger is among the nominees for the Premier League Player of the Season award. Returning to his old stomping ground at the Vitality will be a special moment and a major motivator to keep his scoring streak alive. The bet here is Antoine Semenyo to score at 2.70*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    Bournemouth at home are always capable of springing a surprise. Their only ever win over City came here, and a current 16-match unbeaten run adds to their confidence. Just over a month ago, the Cherries stunned Arsenal on this ground-and they could once again shake up the title race. Given City’s potential fatigue, Bournemouth to win can’t be called a huge shock. The odds for this outcome are 4.30*.

    🎯 Reliable Bet

    Clashes between the Cherries and the Citizens have historically guaranteed goals from the visitors. In 19 meetings this century, Bournemouth have never kept a clean sheet against City-conceding more than once on 17 occasions. No matter how tired Guardiola’s men may be, they should extend their scoring streak in the Premier League to 15 matches. Backing Manchester City over 1 goal (team total) at around 1.20* is as reliable as it gets.

    👀 If the Match Doesn’t Go as Planned

    City’s fatigue is a factor that can’t be ignored. Playing their third match in a week against a fresh Bournemouth side could see them slow things down if the scoreline suits them by halftime-a scenario we’ve seen before from Guardiola’s squad. City have scored in the second half in nine of their last ten games, but this time, tired legs might mean they not only fail to add after the break but could also concede. Bournemouth have found the net after halftime in nine of their last ten home Premier League outings, so keep an eye out for a live bet on Bournemouth to win the second half.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.

    Editor’s Prediction

    The clash at the Vitality Stadium promises to be one of the highlights of Matchweek 37, featuring two high-scoring sides both riding impressive unbeaten streaks. City undoubtedly have the deeper squad, but their relentless fixture list could take a toll, leaving them vulnerable to fatigue. Bournemouth come into this contest fresher and just as motivated, so there’s every reason to believe they can claim points here. Our prediction is a thrilling 2-2 draw, with value on Bournemouth +1 handicap. Andoni Iraola’s men haven’t lost by more than a single goal in any of their last 23 Premier League home matches!

    Our choice
    Bournemouth Handicap (+1) at odds of -154*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (17 May 2026, 16:19)

    Betting Tips: Bournemouth - Manchester City

    Bournemouth have lost the 1st half
    afc-bournemouthmanchester-city-2in 8 of last 9 games against Manchester City (Premier League).
    1st Half Manchester City Win
    MyBookie
    +165
    Bournemouth have drawn
    afc-bournemouthin 5 of last 6 home games (Premier League).
    Draw
    Everygame
    +333
    Bournemouth have lost
    afc-bournemouthmanchester-city-2in 18 of last 19 games against Manchester City.
    afc-bournemouthmanchester-city-2in 16 of last 17 games against Manchester City (Premier League).
    afc-bournemouthmanchester-city-2in 8 of last 9 home games against Manchester City.
    afc-bournemouthmanchester-city-2in 7 of last 8 home games against Manchester City (Premier League).
    Manchester City have won
    manchester-city-2in 9 of last 10 games.
    Manchester City Win
    MyBookie
    -143
    Bournemouth have not lost
    afc-bournemouthin last 17 games.
    afc-bournemouthin last 16 games (Premier League).
    afc-bournemouthin last 8 home games (Premier League).
    Bournemouth will not lose
    Everygame
    +130
    View more facts

    Bournemouth - Man City Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    38267571-2785
    2.
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    38239677-3578
    3.
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    382011769-5071
    5.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    381791263-5360
    6.
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    381318758-5457
    7.
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    3814121242-4854

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    6 - Draws
    0 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 8
    +6
    +12
    20 - Scored
    8 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    7
    6
    Draws
    2
    0
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    20
    8
    Conceded
    8
    2.2
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    0.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    45'
    View all stats