Bahia Ba vs Gremio Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 May 2026
π Bahia head into this fixture struggling for consistency-winless in their last five outings, with three defeats along the way. GrΓͺmio may sit lower in the table, but over their last ten matches they've shown greater attacking output and defensive resilience, conceding very few goals. This contrast in recent form adds an extra layer of intrigue: Bahia are desperate to bounce back on home soil, while their opponents arrive with confidence at the back.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 19 October 2025 and ended in a convincing 4-0 victory. Hereβs a comparative breakdown from that fixture (Bahia were the home team):
- Possession: 59% vs 41%;
- Corners: 11 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 9 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 10 vs 1.
π Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Bahia and GrΓͺmio:
- 32 matches played;
- Home side have claimed 8 wins, while the visitors have 16 victories; 8 draws;
- Goals scored: 26 for Bahia, 37 for GrΓͺmio;
- Average first-half total: 0.81, second-half: 1.16;
- Average total goals per match: 1.97.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Gremio
Bahia Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Copa do Brasil, with Remo Belem hosting Bahia. The game ended 2-1.
Here are the key match stats (Bahia vs Remo Belem):
- Possession: 60% vs 40%;
- Corners: 8 vs 7;
- Fouls: 12 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 5.
π΅ This season, Bahia have delivered mixed results: over their last five matches, the club have suffered three defeats and recorded two draws, underlining clear struggles to pick up points in the short term. Across their previous ten outings, Bahia have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game but have conceded twice per match-highlighting an attack that lacks consistency and a defence prone to lapses. Despite a relatively solid average of 1.43 goals scored per game over the campaign, recent runs emphasize a dip in form, particularly during crucial moments at home.
Match Results: Bahia
Gremio Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa do Brasil, facing off against ConfianΓ§a away from home. GrΓͺmio came away with a commanding 3-0 victory.
Hereβs a breakdown of the key match stats (GrΓͺmio vs ConfianΓ§a):
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 2 vs 3;
- Fouls: 17 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 2.
β« GrΓͺmio sit below Bahia in the standings, but their recent form has become far more consistent: over their last five matches, they have picked up two wins and two draws, suffering just one defeat. Stretching that run to ten games, GrΓͺmio have claimed five victories and lost only twice-a record that highlights the growing solidity of their backline, conceding an average of just 0.3 goals per game. This defensive reliability means they can expect to keep things tight at the back, even when facing the hostsβ attacking firepower.
Match Results: Gremio
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Total matches played - 32;
- Home wins - 8, Away wins - 16, Draws - 8.
Stats: Bahia vs GrΓͺmio
- Matches in the competition: 14 vs 15;
- Wins: 6 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 43% vs 27%;
- Losses: 4 vs 6;
- Draws: 4 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 5;
- Losses: 6 vs 2;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
- GrΓͺmio have covered a +1.5 handicap away in 14 of their last 16 head-to-head meetings with Bahia.
- GrΓͺmio have covered a +1.5 handicap in 21 of their last 22 matches overall.
- GrΓͺmio have covered a +1.5 handicap away in 11 of their last 12 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 0.81, Away side - 1.16;
- Overall in head-to-head - 1.97;
- Both teams have scored: all-time - 12 times; at Bahiaβs home ground - 6 times.
Average total stats: Bahia vs GrΓͺmio
- In this competition: 2.71 vs 2.13;
- Goals scored: 1.43 vs 1;
- First half: 0.79 vs 0.4;
- Second half: 0.64 vs 0.6;
- Bahia at home in this competition - 1.57;
- GrΓͺmio away in this competition - 0.5;
- Last 10 matches: Bahia - 1.4 (home - 1.6), GrΓͺmio - 1 (away - 1).
- Bahia have scored under 1.5 goals at home in 14 of their last 16 head-to-head meetings with GrΓͺmio.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Bahia: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 5.5; at home - 6;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 6.4; at home - 6.4.
GrΓͺmio: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 3.8, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 3.8; away - 2.
- GrΓͺmio have taken fewer than 3.5 corners away from home in nine consecutive matches.
- GrΓͺmio have taken fewer than 3.5 corners in five straight matches overall.
β Editorial Prediction
The trends point to a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net: Bahia regularly score and concede, and their run of eight consecutive matches without a clean sheet highlights the hostsβ defensive frailties. With both sides showing solid attacking numbers and the visitors in consistent scoring form, the main prediction is both teams to score (yes).No comments
Betting Tips: Bahia - Gremio
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