Mirassol vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
🔊 Mirassol go into this match with plenty at stake in the league table: they are just three points clear of the danger zone and need to pick up points in every remaining round. Atlético Mineiro are seventh and are fighting for a place near the top. Both teams have produced inconsistent results in recent matches, but Mirassol need to play as solidly as possible.
Home fortress holds firm
Atletico Mineiro beat Mirassol 3-1 in their last Serie A meeting on 16 May 2026. After an even first half, the home side scored twice more; with possession almost evenly split, they had 15 shots to Mirassol’s 7.
Atletico Mineiro are unbeaten in three competitive matches against Mirassol, with two wins and a draw. Both wins came in Atletico Mineiro’s home matches, while the only match at Mirassol’s ground ended in a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Mirassol - Atl. Mineiro
Low-scoring matches as a trend
Mirassol won 2-1 away to Chapecoense in their latest Serie A match on 3 November 2026. The visitors had 15 shots to 11 and created considerably more chances by xG, 2.33 to 0.64.
Mirassol have alternated between wins and defeats over their last five league matches, with 2 wins, 2 defeats and one draw. Over 10 matches, they have recorded 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws, reflecting moderate consistency. Mirassol average 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, while a run of six consecutive matches with under 2.5 total goals points to a restrained, cautious style. Their position in the table calls for a pragmatic approach to avoid defensive mistakes and keep their chances of survival alive.
Match Results: Mirassol FC SP
Lacking a cutting edge up front
Atlético Mineiro drew 1-1 at home against Grêmio in their last Copa do Brasil match 7 November 2026. The draw contrasts sharply with the statistics: the hosts had 76% possession and took 29 shots to Grêmio’s 7, but scored only once.
Atlético Mineiro are approaching the end of the season with maximum motivation. The visitors have four defeats and one draw in their last five matches, and just three wins alongside five defeats in their last 10. Over that 10-match spell, they have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Atlético Mineiro have also lost six of their last seven away matches, underlining the visitors’ problems on the road.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Prediction for the 1st half
Atlético Mineiro have conceded in the first half in five consecutive matches. This is a direct argument in favour of Mirassol scoring before half-time, although the run is limited to five matches. We pick Mirassol First-Half Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.81*.
Match Result Prediction
Mirassol have avoided defeat in 15 of their last 16 home matches. This season, they have recorded 7 wins and 6 draws in 17 home matches, while Atlético Mineiro have lost 10 of their 17 away matches. This gives us reason to pick Mirassol to Win or Draw at odds of 1.30*.
Total Goals Prediction
Atletico Mineiro have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven matches. Away from home, they have averaged 1 goal per match this season and 0.8 goals in their recent away matches. Mirassol have conceded an average of 0.75 goals in their recent home matches, so we are backing Atletico Mineiro Team Total Goals - Under 1.5 at odds of 1.40*.
Corners Prediction
Atletico Mineiro have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 away matches. This run relates directly to the away context of the upcoming match. The data does not include average corner figures, so this run is the basis for the pick: Atletico Mineiro Team Total Corners - Under 4.5 at odds of 1.87*.
Safer Bet
There have been fewer than 3.5 goals in 18 of Mirassol's last 20 home matches. In addition, the team's last six matches have all finished with fewer than 2.5 goals. Both trends support Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.30*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:1 (12.3%), 1:0 (11.42%) and 2:1 (9.12%). Of these, 1:1 is the most likely. All three scorelines involve no more than three goals in the match.
*The odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The home side’s run of low-scoring matches is consistent with the overall trend in recent rounds, with their average goals scored and conceded both remaining just above one per game. Atletico Mineiro have also lacked attacking threat, especially away from home. Given the trend for under 2.5 goals and Mirassol’s cautious style, the main prediction is Total Goals - Under 3.
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Betting Tips: Mirassol FC SP - Atletico Mineiro
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