Bahia Ba vs Gremio Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 19 October 2025
🔊 The clash between Bahia and Gremio promises to be an exciting encounter, with the hosts aiming to extend their winning streak on home turf. Bahia confidently sit in the top six of the league, showcasing an aggressive style of play. Meanwhile, Gremio are eager to climb higher in the standings. Both teams boast solid defenses, so a tactical battle with a focus on defense is anticipated. With both squads nearly at full strength, this match carries an added layer of intrigue.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 25 May 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that match (with Grêmio as the home side):
- possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corners: 4 vs 17;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Bahia and Grêmio:
- 31 matches played;
- home wins - 7, away wins - 16, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 22 for Bahia, 37 for Grêmio;
- average first-half total - 0.77, second-half - 1.13;
- average total goals per match - 1.9.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Gremio
Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Vitoria hosting Bahia. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Vitoria):
- possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corners: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 3 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
🔵 Bahia have been impressive at home this season, securing victory in 6 of their last 7 home fixtures. Despite a setback in their most recent match, the team holds the sixth position in the standings, thanks to their overall consistent performances. Over their last five games, Bahia have recorded two wins and three losses, averaging 1.3 goals per match-highlighting their attacking strategy with solid ball control. However, despite their tendency to dominate at home, they often struggle with converting chances.
Match Results: Bahia
Gremio Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A tournament, where Gremio hosted Sao Paulo. The match ended with a 2-0 victory for Gremio.
Here are the match statistics (Gremio vs Sao Paulo):
- possession percentage: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
🔵 Grêmio currently sit in eleventh place in the standings and are eager to climb higher after a series of inconsistent performances in recent weeks. Over their last five matches, they have secured two wins, two draws, and suffered one defeat, highlighting their ability to compete even against formidable opponents. They average 1.07 goals per match, and the last encounter between these teams ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for Grêmio, suggesting the possibility of another closely contested match.
Match Results: Gremio
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 31;
- First-half wins for the home team - 3; for the away team - 3; draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 0.77;
- Today's home team averages 0.35 goals, while the visitors average 0.42.
First-half statistics: Bahia (home) vs Gremio (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 14;
- Wins: 7 (53.85%) vs 3 (21.43%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 5 (35.71%);
- Draws: 6 (46.15%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- Average goals scored: 0.85 vs 1.21;
- Average goals conceded: 0.15 vs 0.71.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 3 vs 2;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 5 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4).
- Gremio have drawn the first half in five consecutive away matches (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 31;
- Home victories - 7, Away victories - 16, Draws - 8.
Statistics: Bahia vs Grêmio
- Matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 28;
- Wins: 12 vs 9;
- Win percentage: 44% vs 32%;
- Losses: 8 vs 10;
- Draws: 7 vs 9.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 4;
- Losses: 5 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 4.
- Grêmio have covered the +1.5 spread on the road in 14 of their last 15 head-to-head meetings.
- Grêmio have covered the +1.5 spread in 23 of their last 24 matches (Serie A).
- Grêmio have covered the +1.5 spread in 16 consecutive games.
- Grêmio have covered the +1.5 spread on the road in 8 straight Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home team average goals - 0.71, away team - 1.19;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 1.9;
- Both teams scored: overall - 12 times; at home team's ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Grêmio
- Average total in the tournament: 2.48 vs 2.25;
- Average goals scored: 1.3 vs 1.07;
- Average first-half total: 0.59 vs 0.54;
- Average second-half total: 0.7 vs 0.54;
- Bahia: home average total in the tournament - 1.62;
- Grêmio: away average total in the tournament - 1.07;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 1.4 (away - 1.6).
- The total has gone under 2.5 goals in the last 6 head-to-head meetings.
Corners Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.11; at home - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.4; at home - 5.5.
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3.57, away - 3.43;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3; away - 1.4.
- The total has gone under 10.5 corners in 12 of Bahia's last 13 Serie A matches.
- The total has gone under 10.5 corners in Bahia's last 6 matches.
- The total has gone under 10.5 corners in Grêmio's last 7 Serie A matches.
- The total has gone under 10.5 corners in Grêmio's last 6 of their last 7 away Serie A matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.84 (2.42 for home team and 2.42 for away team);
- Average yellow cards at home team's ground - 4.67 (2.2 for home team and 2.47 for away team).
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.3; at home - 2.38;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; at home - 2.5.
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.79, away - 3.07;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; away - 3.2.
- The total has gone over 3.5 yellow cards in the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
- The total has gone over 3.5 yellow cards in the last 5 Serie A head-to-head meetings.
- The total has gone over 3.5 yellow cards in Grêmio's last 12 of their last 14 away Serie A matches.
- The total has gone over 3.5 yellow cards in Grêmio's last 6 of their last 7 Serie A matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 31;
- Both teams scored overall - 12 times;
- At the home team's ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Grêmio
- Total matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 28;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): Bahia -15, Grêmio -16;
- Bahia's BTTS at home - 7 (54%);
- Grêmio's BTTS away - 9 (64%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Bahia -6, Grêmio -6;
- Bahia's BTTS at home -1 (25%);
- Grêmio's BTTS away -4 (80%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering Bahia's strength at home and their impressive run of victories in six of their last seven home games, we can expect the hosts to apply significant pressure. However, given the trend of under 2.5 goals in all six of the previous head-to-head encounters between these teams and their overall scoring stats (both below average), it's reasonable to anticipate a low-scoring match with a focus on defense from both sides. Therefore, we predict under 2.5 goals as the most likely outcome for this game. A 1-1 draw with both teams finding the net is also possible.
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Gremio
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