LA Galaxy vs Toluca Prediction
🔈How will refereeing decisions affect the course and outcome of the match? We will find out all about this over the 90 minutes of the match between the teams Los Angeles Galaxy and Toluca. The confrontation of the CONCACAF CL tournament is scheduled for 01:00 on 16 April. As of today, bookmakers have set the following odds for wins: and .
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 09 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 4:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Toluca):
- ball possession percentage: 72% vs 28%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊The teams Los Angeles Galaxy and Toluca have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 09 April 2026 at the home ground of Toluca and ended with a score of 4:2.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Los Angeles Galaxy Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 11 April 2026 as part of the MLS tournament (home team - Austin, away team - Los Angeles Galaxy). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin):
- ball possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Los Angeles Galaxy delighted their fans with 4 victories, settled for a draw in 2 matches, and lost 4 times.
⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.7, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1.6, and the average number of goals conceded is 1.4.
Match Results: Los Angeles Galaxy

Toluca Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 13 April 2026 as part of the Liga MX tournament (home team - Toluca, away - San Luis). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Toluca vs San Luis):
- ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 10 vs 1.
📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Toluca gifted its fans with 5 victories, played to a draw 3 times, and finished 2 games with a defeat.
⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:
- total number of goals - 21;
- average goals scored - 2.1;
- average goals conceded - 1.2.
Match Results: Toluca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 2;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.5, while the visitors net 1.
First-Half Stats: Los Angeles Galaxy (home) vs Toluca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 1;
- wins: 1 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 1 (50%) vs 1 (100%);
- Average goals scored: 0.5 vs 2;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5) vs 1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.2).
- Toluca have drawn in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 2, draws - 0.
- Toluca have not lost in 16 of last 18 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 3.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 5.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca
- average total in the tournament: 2.8 vs 5;
- average total goals scored: 1.8 vs 3.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 1.33;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.4 vs 2;
- Los Angeles Galaxy: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Toluca: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.6) vs 2.1 (away - 1.5).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Los Angeles Galaxy games.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.5 (2 - for home team and 8.5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 12 (1 - for home team and 11 - for away team).
Los Angeles Galaxy: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.4; at home field - 9.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.1; at home field - 8.4.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 6.75.
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 6 (3 for home team and 3 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 9 (5 for home team and 4 for away team).
Los Angeles Galaxy: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 1.6.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.67, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 2.25.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Los Angeles Galaxy games (CONCACAF CL).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:0 (6/42, 14.3%), 1:1 (6/42, 14.3%);
- Los Angeles Galaxy at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 3:0 (1/2, 50%);
- Toluca away most often play: 3:2 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.09% (odds 7)
1:2 - 8.07% (odds 9.5)
2:2 - 7.3% (odds 11)
Editorial Prediction
- Los Angeles Galaxy scored in the 2nd half in 7 of last 8 games.
- Toluca conceded in the 2nd half in 8 of last 9 games.
