Toluca vs LA Galaxy Prediction

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Toluca and Los Angeles Galaxy are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 03:00. The tournament match CONCACAF CL will take place in the city of Toluca at the Estadio Nemesio Diez stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Toluca being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Los Angeles Galaxy):

    • ball possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 11;
    • fouls: 14 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 7.

    📊Officially, the teams Toluca and Los Angeles Galaxy have played only one match. The meeting took place on 02 October 2025 at the home ground of Los Angeles Galaxy and ended with a score of 2:3.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    3 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    3
    Total Goals Avg
    4.67
    Both teams scored
    67%
    3.33
    Total average
    1.33
    6.67
    Corner
    2.33
    2
    Yellow cards
    2.33
    11
    Fouls
    10.33
    Last matches
    16.04.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Toluca
    Toluca
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    11
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    11
    1
    1
    09.04.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    -
    -
    6
    3
    12
    10
    1
    1
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    6
    3
    12
    10
    1
    1
    02.10.25
    Campeones Cup
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    -
    -
    1
    11
    14
    10
    5
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    1
    11
    14
    10
    5
    3
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    Toluca Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 4 April 2026 as part of the Liga MX tournament (home team - Queretaro, away team - Toluca). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Toluca vs Queretaro):

    • ball possession: 76% vs 24%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
    • fouls: 6 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 6.

    ✅The Toluca team has already started their championship performance, but it's too early to talk about any statistics. So let's take a look at the results of the last 10 official matches (including this season's games).

    During this time, the team has won 6 victories, drew 2 times, and suffered 2 defeats. They managed to delight the fans with 20 goals, averaging 2 goals per game. It is worth noting that at home, the team averages 2.2 goals per match. Regarding goals conceded, the average is 0.9 goals over the same period.

    Match Results: Toluca

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    6
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    L
    07.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    W
    04.05.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    L
    30.04.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    Toluca
    Toluca
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    L
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    Los Angeles Galaxy Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 5 April 2026 as part of the MLS tournament (home team - Los Angeles Galaxy, away - Minnesota United). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here are the match stats (Los Angeles Galaxy vs Minnesota United):

    • ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 0;
    • fouls: 11 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 4.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Los Angeles Galaxy gifted its fans with 3 victories, played to a draw 4 times, and finished 3 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 15;
    • average goals scored - 1.5;
    • average goals conceded - 1.1.

    Match Results: Los Angeles Galaxy

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    MLS
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Houston Dynamo
    Houston Dynamo
    2.98
    0.5
    8
    2
    6
    9
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    2.98
    0.5
    8
    2
    6
    9
    1
    3
    D
    17.05.26
    MLS
    Seattle Sounders
    Seattle Sounders
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    1.29
    1.45
    5
    1
    3
    13
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.29
    1.45
    5
    1
    3
    13
    1
    4
    W
    14.05.26
    MLS
    Sporting Kansas-City
    Sporting Kansas-City
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    1.93
    1.58
    4
    8
    19
    6
    1
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.93
    1.58
    4
    8
    19
    6
    1
    2
    L
    09.05.26
    MLS
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    1.58
    1.73
    6
    5
    7
    5
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.58
    1.73
    6
    5
    7
    5
    3
    1
    W
    03.05.26
    MLS
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Vancouver Whitecaps
    Vancouver Whitecaps
    1.42
    2.21
    1
    2
    12
    18
    5
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.42
    2.21
    1
    2
    12
    18
    5
    5
    D
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 1;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
    • Average first-half total: 1;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0, while the visitors net 1.

    First-Half Stats: Toluca (home) vs Los Angeles Galaxy (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 2;
    • wins: 1 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 4 vs 4;
    • losses: 0 vs 3;
    • draws: 6 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Los Angeles Galaxy conceded in the 1st half in 12 of last 13 away games.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Toluca to score goal (odds: 1.37)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
    Trends
    • Los Angeles Galaxy won with a +3.5 handicap in last 14 away games.
    👉Prediction: Los Angeles Galaxy Handicap (+3.5) (odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 3, the guests - 2;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 5;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.

    Statistics: Toluca vs Los Angeles Galaxy

    • average total in the tournament: 4.5 vs 2;
    • average total goals scored: 3 vs 1.75;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.5;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 2 vs 1.25;
    • Toluca: average total at home in the tournament -  4;
    • Los Angeles Galaxy: average total away in the tournament - 2;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.2) vs 1.5 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Los Angeles Galaxy games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5) (odds: 1.41)

    Prediction on corners

    Toluca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 4.8.

    Los Angeles Galaxy: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 8.5, away - 7.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.2; away - 7.25.
    Trends
    • Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Toluca games.
    • Over 8.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Los Angeles Galaxy away games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (8.5) (odds: 1.45)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    Toluca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5; at home - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.6.

    Los Angeles Galaxy: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1, away - 0.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 1.
    Trends
    • Over 3.5 yellow cards in 9 of last 10 Toluca games.
    • Over 3.5 yellow cards in last 5 Toluca home games.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (3.5) (odds: 1.7)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.
    Trends
    • Los Angeles Galaxy have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 away games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.97)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (6/38, 15.8%);
    • Toluca at home most often finish matches: 4:0 (1/1, 100%);
    • Los Angeles Galaxy away most often play: 0:3 , 1:1 (1/2, 50%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    2:0 - 10.46% (odds 6.4)
    2:1 - 10.36% (odds 7.8)
    1:0 - 10.2% (odds 7)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Los Angeles Galaxy won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 games.
    • Los Angeles Galaxy won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 games (CONCACAF CL).

    Our choice
    Los Angeles Galaxy Handicap (+1.5) at odds of -137*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (7 April 2026, 03:24)

    Betting Tips: Toluca - Los Angeles Galaxy

    Toluca have not lost
    deportivo-toluca-1in last 21 home games.
    Los Angeles Galaxy have not won
    la-galaxyin 20 of last 21 away games.
    Toluca will not lose
    Everygame
    -2500
    Toluca have scored
    deportivo-toluca-1in 15 of last 16 home games.
    deportivo-toluca-1in 10 of last 11 games.
    Los Angeles Galaxy have conceded
    la-galaxyin 20 of last 21 away games.
    Toluca will score goal
    -
    Under 4.5 goals scored
    deportivo-toluca-1in 15 of last 17 Toluca games.
    deportivo-toluca-1in 13 of last 14 Toluca home games.
    la-galaxyin 7 of last 8 Los Angeles Galaxy away games.
    in 10 of last 11 Hector Said Martinez Sorto games (in the CONCACAF CL).
    in 7 of last 8 Hector Said Martinez Sorto games.
    Total goals Under (4.5)
    -323
    Toluca have scored under 3.5 goals
    deportivo-toluca-1in 24 of last 25 games.
    deportivo-toluca-1in 11 of last 12 home games.
    Toluca Total goals Under (3.5)
    MyBookie
    -133
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 14
    +4
    -1
    14 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    3
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    14
    14
    Conceded
    15
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    52'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats