Fiorentina vs Celje Prediction 17 April 2025
🔊 Can the audacious Slovenian champions make a push for the Conference League semifinals? The second leg between Fiorentina and Celje is set to take place in Florence. As the first match indicated, the "Viola" can't afford to let their guard down just yet. Celje outperformed in several metrics during their home game: xG, shots, corners, and possession. Albert Riera's squad is determined to make their mark.
Head-to-Head
📊 Officially, Fiorentina and Celje have faced each other just once. The match took place on 10 April 2025 at Celje's home ground and ended with a 1-2 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Fiorentina - Celje

Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina approach the second leg of their European fixture in a sour mood. The team failed to secure a victory at home against Parma, effectively dropping out of the race for Champions League spots. In the first leg against Celje, Raffaele Palladino opted for significant squad rotation. Perhaps now the focus will shift, and more first-team players will take the field. Notably, in Slovenia, first-choice goalkeeper David de Gea was between the posts, marking only his second appearance in this season's Conference League.
🔝 Team captain Luca Ranieri scored a stunning goal in last week's match. The center-back picked up the ball near the corner flag, dribbled past two opponents along the byline, and scored from a tight angle. This was his first goal in the Conference League this season.
❌ Due to suspensions, center-back Matias Moreno, right-back Dodo, and attacking midfielder Nicolo Zaniolo will not play. Midfielders Edoardo Bove and Andrea Colpani have been unavailable for some time. Left-back Robin Gosens is sidelined with a knee injury and will also miss the match.
Match Results: Fiorentina

Celje Team Overview
🔵 Celje are determined to challenge the Italian favorites for a spot in the semifinals. Albert Riera's team is also vying for European competition places in their domestic league, currently occupying a European zone position on points dropped. In the first leg, the Slovenian side wasn't shy, attacking frequently but lacked finishing, scoring just one goal with an xG of 1.51.
⚽️ The lone goal for Celje in their home game was netted by right winger Logan Deloye-Shobe. This marked his debut goal in the current Conference League campaign.
❌ The second leg, like the first, will see the absence of the team's top scorer Armands Kucis due to an ACL injury. He has scored 8 goals and provided 2 assists in the Conference League, including qualifiers.
Match Results: Celje
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Fiorentina vs Celje
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of wins: 7 vs 6;
- win percentage: 64% vs 46%;
- number of losses: 2 vs 5;
- number of draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 7;
- number of losses: 3 vs 2;
- number of draws: 2 vs 1.
- Celje won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 games.
- Celje won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Fiorentina vs Celje
- average total in the tournament: 4.09 vs 3.92;
- average total goals scored: 2.64 vs 2.08;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.91 vs 0.92;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.73 vs 1.15;
- Fiorentina: average total at home in the tournament - 3.6;
- Celje: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.6) vs 1.7 (away - 1.6).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Fiorentina games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
Prediction on corners
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.27; at home field - 8.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 3.
Celje: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.62, away - 3.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 5.8.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Fiorentina home games.
Prediction on cards
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.18; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.
Celje: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.77, away - 2.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 2.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Fiorentina vs Celje
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Fiorentina at home - 3 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for Celje away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Fiorentina at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Celje away - 2 (40%).
- Fiorentina have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).