Celje vs Fiorentina Prediction 10 April 2025
🔊 In the UEFA Europa Conference League quarterfinals, Fiorentina are heading to Celje to put an end to the reigning Slovenian champions' fairy tale. Celje have already made history, reaching the quarterfinals of a European competition, which is the highest achievement for any Slovenian club. Meanwhile, Fiorentina are racing towards a unique milestone. The Italians could advance to the Conference League final for the third consecutive season.
Head-to-Head
The upcoming match will mark the first-ever meeting between the teams.
Head-to-head statistics Celje - Fiorentina
Celje Team Overview
🔵 The reigning champions are noticeably underperforming compared to last season in their domestic league. They currently sit in 4th place, trailing the 3rd place European spot by 2 points (and are 18 points adrift of the top). However, they have reached the final of the national cup. In the Conference League, Celje barely made it to the play-offs, finishing 21st in the group stage. They defeated Cypriot side APOEL with an aggregate score of 4-2. Following that, in a dramatic Round of 16 clash, they ended 5-5 on aggregate with Swiss club Lugano and advanced through a penalty shootout victory.
🔗 The Slovenian team is managed by former Manchester City and Liverpool player Albert Riera. However, it was Croatian coach Damir Krznar who led them to the championship last season.
❌ Central defender Nemanjic returns from suspension. However, the team's top scorer Armandas Kucys will miss the match due to injury (in the Conference League, including qualifiers, he has scored 8 goals and provided 2 assists).
Match Results: Celje
Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina have been quite inconsistent in Serie A this season, yet they are still vying for a Champions League spot. They currently sit 8th, trailing Bologna in 4th by five points. In the Europa Conference League, Palladino's side have found things easier. They finished third in the group stage and overcame Panathinaikos in the round of 16 with an aggregate score of 5-4. Recently, the "Viola" have picked up momentum, securing victories over Juventus (3-0) and Atalanta (1-0), although they couldn't hold a two-goal lead against AC Milan, ending in a 2-2 draw.
🔗 Fiorentina have reached a European final six times but have only lifted the trophy once. They claimed the Cup Winners' Cup way back in the 1960/61 season.
❌ Midfielders Edoardo Bove and Andrea Colpani have been sidelined for a while. Left-back Robin Gosens is also out with a knee injury and will not feature.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Celje vs Fiorentina
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- win percentage: 50% vs 60%;
- number of losses: 4 vs 2;
- number of draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 8 vs 4;
- number of losses: 1 vs 5;
- number of draws: 1 vs 1.
- Celje won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 18 home games.
- Celje won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games.
- Celje won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
- Celje won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 6 home games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Celje vs Fiorentina
- average total in the tournament: 4 vs 4.2;
- average total goals scored: 2.17 vs 2.7;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.9;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.17 vs 1.8;
- Celje: average total at home in the tournament - 3;
- Fiorentina: average total away in the tournament - 1.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.6 (home - 3.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Celje home games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Fiorentina away games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Fiorentina games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
Prediction on corners
Celje: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.75; at home field - 5.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; at home field - 7.8.
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.8, away - 5.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; away - 3.2.
Prediction on cards
Celje: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.83; at home - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 1.8.
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.9, away - 1.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; away - 2.8.
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Celje vs Fiorentina
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 8;
- number of BTS matches for Celje at home - 5 (83%);
- number of BTS matches for Fiorentina away - 5 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Celje at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Fiorentina away - 4 (80%).
- Celje have scored and conceded in 10 of last 11 home games.
- Fiorentina have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 away games.
- Fiorentina have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, we can anticipate an open game with plenty of chances. Celje excel at home in terms of scoring, while Fiorentina possess enough quality to trouble their opponents on the road multiple times. Based on Celje's home match statistics and the overall goal-scoring records of both teams, a well-founded choice would be to bet on over 2.5 goals, which has come through in 10 of Celje's last 11 home matches and in 7 of Fiorentina's last 8 away games.
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Betting Tips: Celje - Fiorentina
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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