Monaco vs PSG Prediction

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The main thing

    🔥 The first playoff matches of the Champions League are on the horizon! This weekend, we have another showdown between Monaco and PSG. The draw has pitted these French powerhouses against each other for a spot in the playoffs. This week, they will face off at the Stade Louis II in Monaco. Bookmakers give the hosts slim odds. But is it really that clear-cut? Check out our prediction for the upcoming game below!

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These teams have previously met 47 times in official head-to-head encounters. PSG have claimed victory in 23 of those matches, while Monaco have come out on top in 10. The remaining 14 games ended in a draw.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    22%
    11 Wins
    30%
    15 Draws
    48%
    24 Wins
    Total games
    50
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    56%
    1.12
    Total average
    1.88
    1.88
    Yellow cards
    1.3
    Last matches
    06.03.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.55
    1.24
    7
    3
    12
    6
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.55
    1.24
    7
    3
    12
    6
    1
    3
    25.02.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1
    1.86
    1.23
    8
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.86
    1.23
    8
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    17.02.26
    UCL
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.71
    2.82
    1
    8
    11
    4
    2
    0
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0.71
    2.82
    1
    8
    11
    4
    2
    0
    29.11.25
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.72
    1.25
    4
    4
    10
    13
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.72
    1.25
    4
    4
    10
    13
    3
    1
    07.02.25
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Monaco
    Monaco
    3.14
    0.92
    1
    1
    9
    11
    1
    0
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    3.14
    0.92
    1
    1
    9
    11
    1
    0
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    Monaco Team Overview

    Monaco wrapped up the group stage of the Champions League with 10 points to their name. Aleksandr Golovin and his squad finished in 21st place, narrowly securing a spot in the playoff rounds. Over the course of eight matches in this European campaign, the Monegasques netted eight goals while conceding 14. This statistic clearly highlights Monaco's lack of consistency, both in terms of performance and results.

    In Ligue 1, things have not been going smoothly for Monaco. The Red and Whites currently sit eighth in the league standings. After 22 rounds of the French championship, they have managed to accumulate 31 points. While the Monegasques are still in the hunt for a European spot, their early-season ambitions of a title chase are now a distant memory.

    Match Results: Monaco

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.9
    1.5
    4
    6
    7
    11
    1
    2
    5
    4
    1
    3
    4
    1
    1.9
    1.5
    4
    6
    7
    11
    1
    2
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Lille
    Lille
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    2.25
    0.81
    11
    3
    19
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2.25
    0.81
    11
    3
    19
    8
    2
    3
    D
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    Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

    Under the guidance of Luis Enrique, PSG wrapped up the group stage with 14 points, showcasing an impressive goal difference of 21:11. Despite a strong start in the Champions League, the Parisian club's points tally dwindled towards the end of the group phase. As a result, PSG found themselves in the play-off zone. Nevertheless, they remain one of the top contenders for the tournament title.

    In Ligue 1, the French giants are still in the hunt for the gold medals. Currently, PSG have 51 points. After 22 rounds, they sit in second place on the league table, trailing leaders Lens by just one point. However, come spring, Enrique's squad, which showed some inconsistency in the first half of the season, is likely to build momentum for another championship run.

    Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    4
    3
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    L
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
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    Latest news

    Monaco

    Head coach Sebastien Pocognoli: "PSG are a top-tier team. We're facing a fantastic challenge, and we have everything we need to win. We aim to play high and press the opponent in their half-that's our objective. It's crucial to maintain a positive and fighting spirit."

    Monaco have a significant number of players sidelined. Takumi Minamino and Mohammed Salisu are out for the rest of the season. Eric Dier, Lukas Hradecky, Kassoum Ouattara, Christian Mavissa, and Paul Pogba are also injured and continue their recovery.

    Paris Saint-Germain

    PSG head coach Luis Enrique: "I'm very pleased with the draw results. It's obvious, isn't it? Honestly, to make a fair comparison and be objective, I believe all teams should have the same schedule."

    When it comes to squad injuries, things are relatively calm for the Parisians. Currently, only Fabián Ruiz and Quentin N'Djantu are sidelined.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Paris have been showcasing phenomenal scoring prowess in this season's Champions League, netting over 20 goals during the group stage. However, their defense often falters under pressure. Meanwhile, Monaco are typically strong and productive at home, having found the back of the net at least once in three of their last four matches. Therefore, the editorial choice is over 2.5 total goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    The playing style of both teams involves active use of the wings and high intensity in the final third, which traditionally results in a significant number of corners. The editorial pick for this matchup is over 8.5 total corners.

    Editorial Prediction

    Monaco and PSG are well-acquainted with each other's defensive weaknesses through their regular domestic encounters, which all but ensures an open contest. The Monegasques typically rely on aggressive attacking play at home, while the Parisians boast an exceptional lineup capable of capitalizing on even the slightest opportunity in front of goal. Considering Monaco have scored against PSG in three of their last four head-to-heads and will host the first leg of the tie, betting on both teams to score appears to be the most logical and well-founded choice. A possible scoreline could be 1-2.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -172*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 February 2026, 11:18)

    Betting Tips: Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain

    Under 4.5 goals scored
    as-monaco-1in 15 of last 16 Monaco games.
    as-monaco-1in 12 of last 13 Monaco home games.
    as-monaco-1in 6 of last 7 Monaco games (Champions League).
    as-monaco-1in last 5 Monaco home games (Champions League).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 11 of last 12 Paris Saint-Germain games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 5 Paris Saint-Germain away games.
    Total goals Under (4.5)
    -278
    Paris Saint-Germain have scored under 2.5 goals
    as-monaco-1paris-saint-germain-1in 6 of last 7 away games against Monaco.
    Paris Saint-Germain Total goals Under (2.5)
    -135
    Paris Saint-Germain have scored
    paris-saint-germain-1in 12 of last 13 games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 10 of last 11 games (Champions League).
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 6 away games.
    Paris Saint-Germain will score goal
    -2000
    Paris Saint-Germain have scored under 3.5 goals
    paris-saint-germain-1in 10 of last 11 away games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    Paris Saint-Germain Total goals Under (3.5)
    -400
    View more facts

    Monaco - PSG Table position

    UEFA Champions League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    10.
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    850315-715
    11.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    842221-1114
    12.
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    842217-714
    20.
    Galatasaray Istanbul
    Galatasaray Istanbul
    83149-1110
    21.
    Monaco
    Monaco
    82428-1410
    22.
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    831413-2110

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 18
    +2
    +8
    20 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    20
    18
    Conceded
    12
    3.8
    Match goals average
    3.2
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    45'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats