PSG vs Monaco Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 What will be the outcome of the marquee clash in the 25th round of Ligue 1? This Friday promises an exhilarating showdown between PSG and Monaco that will captivate every football fan. The Parisians are in the hunt for the title, while their opponents aim to claw back into European competition spots. We anticipate both teams to deliver a vibrant attacking display with plenty of thrilling chances. Find our prediction for this match and much more in our feature.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These rivals recently faced off in the UEFA Champions League playoffs, a matchup made possible by the tournament's new format. Both encounters were fiercely contested, but over the two legs (3-2, 2-2), PSG advanced to the next round, while Monaco's campaign came to an end.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    48%
    24 Wins
    30%
    15 Draws
    22%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    50
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    56%
    1.88
    Total average
    1.12
    1.3
    Yellow cards
    1.88
    Last matches
    06.03.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.55
    1.24
    7
    3
    12
    6
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.55
    1.24
    7
    3
    12
    6
    1
    3
    25.02.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1
    1.86
    1.23
    8
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.86
    1.23
    8
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    17.02.26
    UCL
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.71
    2.82
    1
    8
    11
    4
    2
    0
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0.71
    2.82
    1
    8
    11
    4
    2
    0
    29.11.25
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.72
    1.25
    4
    4
    10
    13
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.72
    1.25
    4
    4
    10
    13
    3
    1
    07.02.25
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Monaco
    Monaco
    3.14
    0.92
    1
    1
    9
    11
    1
    0
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    3.14
    0.92
    1
    1
    9
    11
    1
    0
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    Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

    🔵 PSG are currently in a strong position: they finally feel relatively secure at the top of the French league, and they've managed to navigate through the Champions League playoff ties that were clearly weighing on the team. As a result, they hold a four-point lead over Lens in Ligue 1, and in the Round of 16, Paris Saint-Germain will soon face Chelsea.

    🔴 In mid-February, PSG suffered an unexpected defeat in the French league to Rennes (1-3), which raised some concerns among fans. However, it was only a temporary setback before a resurgence: Luis Enrique's side won their next two matches against Metz (3-0) and Havre (1-0). A major positive for the team was that their main rivals, Lens, began to drop points simultaneously, allowing PSG's management and coaching staff to breathe a little easier.

    Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    4
    3
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    L
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
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    Monaco Team Overview

    🔴 Monaco are experiencing a challenging season: they've been knocked out of all competitions except for Ligue 1, where things aren't going smoothly either. A recent Champions League defeat to PSG dealt a further blow to Sébastien Pocognoli's squad, but that's football-Paris truly looked the stronger side in that matchup.

    ⚪ Monaco's current position in the standings is far from enviable: just as they edged closer to the European competition zone, the schedule threw up a surprise in the form of a match against the league leaders, who are also fierce rivals. It's worth noting that in their last three consecutive fixtures, Sébastien Pocognoli's men secured victories against Nantes (3-1), Lens (3-2), and Angers (2-0).

    Match Results: Monaco

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.9
    1.5
    4
    6
    7
    11
    1
    2
    5
    4
    1
    3
    4
    1
    1.9
    1.5
    4
    6
    7
    11
    1
    2
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Lille
    Lille
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    2.25
    0.81
    11
    3
    19
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2.25
    0.81
    11
    3
    19
    8
    2
    3
    D
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    Latest news

    Paris Saint-Germain

    🎙 After a challenging match against Le Havre in the French league, PSG's head coach reflected on his team's performance. "We created chances but missed a penalty. If you want to finish a match in Le Havre without suffering, you need to be more precise. Enduring is part of a coach's life. Last season, even when we won everything, we struggled a lot. It's a unique job. For much of the match, I was frustrated because we deserved more. I would like the players to regain their confidence, but it's not easy. We all need to improve, myself included. There are certain inaccuracies in our attacking and defensive play, but the attitude was incredible," stated the Parisians' head coach.

    ❌ PSG face uncertainty over several players' availability for the match against Monaco, as they are not fully recovered: Ousmane Dembélé (calf injury), João Neves (ankle injury), and Senny Mayulu (match injury). Fabian Ruiz and Quentin N'Djantu are also stuck in the infirmary, far from full recovery.

    Monaco

    🎙 Aleksandr Golovin spoke about his recent performance on the field. "What can I say about providing five assists in the last six games? Those numbers are definitely pleasing. I hope they continue to grow. Essentially, that's why I step onto the pitch-to create opportunities for the team, to add intensity, and to come up with ideas near the opponent's goal. Of course, participating in defensive actions is also important, but naturally, it's far more exciting to create situations that lead to our goals," Golovin stated.

    ❌ Monaco are facing significant personnel issues ahead of this match. The participation of Mika Biereth and Kassoum Ouattara is in doubt. Although they have reportedly recovered from injuries, the coaching staff is hesitant to include them in the squad just yet. Additionally, Sebastien Pocognoli cannot count on Takumi Minamino, Krepin Diatta, Eric Dier, and Lukas Hradecky-they have been sidelined for some time now, and their return dates remain uncertain.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Ruddy Buquet. Over his last 100 matches, he averages 3.65 yellow cards per game with 23 fouls. In Ligue 1 over 24 matches, the yellow card stats are as follows: PSG average 1 per game, while Monaco average 2.3. Clearly, Sébastien Pocognoli's side are more prone to picking up bookings this season, so we suggest betting on Monaco to win the yellow card battle.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    PSG's individual goal tally in the French league averages 2.2 per match, while Monaco's stands at 1.5. The matches involving these teams are high-scoring affairs: the hosts average 3 goals, and the visitors 3.2. Considering this data and their recent head-to-head results, we recommend a bet on the match total to be over 3 goals.

    🚩 Corner Kick Prediction

    In 24 Ligue 1 matches, PSG have averaged 6 corners per game, while Monaco have averaged 4.8. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner and exceed the league average, so we suggest betting on total corners over 9.5.

    🚀 Player Statistic Bet

    For a player bet, we suggest considering PSG forward Khvicha Kvaratskhelia for several reasons. He scored in the playoff return leg against Monaco and was trusted to play all 90 minutes, while other key players were subbed off. In the last round against Le Havre, Kvaratskhelia was substituted in the 71st minute, clearly given a rest. In the upcoming match, he will have freedom on the left flank, so we expect a goal from the Georgian forward, with odds at 2.25*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    Matches between these opponents this season have been highly charged and often result in dismissals. Red cards were shown in two Champions League encounters, plus one in their first league meeting (Round 14). We believe that a sending-off in the upcoming match is very likely and suggest betting on this with odds at 4.00*.

    👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned

    If the match doesn't unfold as expected and the clear bookmaker favorite (PSG) faces an unexpected red card, then PSG might switch to a defensive strategy to manage the game. In this scenario, a high-scoring affair seems unlikely-consider the bet total under 2.5 goals with odds at 3.30*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Editor's Prediction

    Both teams are highly motivated for the upcoming clash, driven not only by the rivalry but also by the crucial need for league points. On home turf, PSG will likely take the initiative and won't sit back defensively. Monaco have repeatedly shown they can find the back of the net against the Parisians, more than once in a match. Our top betting tip for this encounter is both teams to score (yes). We anticipate a PSG victory with a two-goal margin, predicting a scoreline of 3-1.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -182*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (5 March 2026, 05:52)

    Betting Tips: Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco

    Paris Saint-Germain have won the 2nd half
    paris-saint-germain-1in 11 of last 12 home games (Ligue 1).
    2nd Half Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Everygame
    -161
    Paris Saint-Germain have won the 1st half
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 6 home games (Ligue 1).
    1st Half Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Bovada
    -133
    Paris Saint-Germain have won
    paris-saint-germain-1in 11 of last 12 home games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 9 of last 10 games (Ligue 1).
    Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Bovada
    -278
    Monaco have not lost
    as-monaco-1in last 6 games (Ligue 1).
    Monaco will not lose
    Everygame
    +194
    View more facts

    PSG - Monaco Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    34244674-2976
    2.
    Lens
    Lens
    34224866-3570
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    6.
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    34178959-5059
    7.
    Monaco
    Monaco
    341661260-5454
    8.
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    341581158-4753

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 12
    +8
    +2
    20 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    20
    12
    Conceded
    18
    3.2
    Match goals average
    3.8
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    45'
    View all stats