Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction 17 January 2026
🔊 Will Liverpool secure their first Premier League victory of 2026? The 22nd round seems like the perfect opportunity as Burnley, currently second from bottom, visit Anfield. The Clarets have recently started picking up points, but they haven't faced any top-four opponents yet, which is why the bookmakers aren't giving Scott Parker's side much of a chance. Is this justified?
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams first clashed this season in the fourth round. Despite dominating the game, Liverpool managed to score only in the 95th minute when Mo Salah converted a penalty (1-0). This victory marked the Reds' sixth consecutive win against Burnley, during which they've conceded just one goal.
Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Burnley
Liverpool Team Overview
Liverpool haven't secured a single win in the Premier League since the start of the year, but they haven't lost either, so it's hard to call this stretch a failure for Arne Slot's squad. Especially considering their opponents included the in-form Leeds (0-0) and Fulham (2-2), as well as Arsenal (0-0). With injuries to Ekitike and Isak, the Reds had to face the London clubs without their central forwards.
In the FA Cup clash against Barnsley (4-1), which was tougher than the final score suggests, Hugo Ekitike made his return to the pitch. Arne Slot introduced the Frenchman for the last half-hour, and he delivered with a goal and an assist. Alexis Mac Allister and Florian Wirtz also contributed with two decisive actions each, Mac Allister with two assists (0+2) and Wirtz with a goal and an assist (1+1).
Match Results: Liverpool
Burnley Team Overview
Since late December, Burnley have been adding to their points tally, albeit not very vigorously. Their last victory came back in October, and over the past 12 rounds, they've managed just three points. In the 21st round, the Clarets drew with Manchester United (2-2), though this result seems more like a stroke of luck given the 30 shots fired by the Red Devils. That's four times more than Scott Parker's men managed.
However, Burnley finally secured their long-awaited win in the third round of the FA Cup. The Clarets thrashed a strong Millwall side 5-1, who are battling for promotion to the Premier League. Despite the final score suggesting a dominant performance, they didn't hold such a commanding advantage throughout the match.
Match Results: Burnley
Latest news
Liverpool
🎙 Arne Slot after the win over Barnsley: "I was pleased with the goals we scored - they were beautiful. However, I feel the match remained tense for too long because we conceded an easy goal at 2-0. This made the game challenging until the last 5-10 minutes. So yes, the goals were good, but we didn't create enough chances considering our possession time."
❌ Liverpool's injury list includes Giovanni Leone, Alexander Isak, Wataru Endo, and Stefan Bajcetic. The latest setback is Conor Bradley, who is out for the season due to a serious injury sustained against Arsenal. Additionally, Mohamed Salah remains occupied with the Africa Cup of Nations, where he will compete for the bronze medal with his Egypt national team.
Burnley
🎙 Scott Parker on the match against Millwall: “We compete in the Premier League, where the level is entirely different, but I have to say, they were a serious opponent - a team delivering strong performances in the Championship and fighting for a playoff spot. I'm pleased with the changes we've implemented. We still looked formidable. I hope that two strong results - against Manchester United and today's confident, dominant display - will boost the team's confidence.”
❌ Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts, Zeki Amdouni, Zian Flemming, Maxime Esteve, Josh Cullen, and Joe Worrall are players we consistently list among the injured. However, according to Scott Parker, the latter is already training and close to a return. Lyle Foster is also doubtful as he recovers from illness.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Andy Madley aims to officiate the match without becoming its central figure. The Englishman typically avoids overwhelming teams with cautions, averaging just 3.4 yellow cards per game this season. This trend continues in Liverpool's home fixtures, with fewer than 3.5 yellow cards shown in their last seven matches. We'll focus on this option.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Another intriguing trend concerning Arne Slot's team at their home ground, Anfield, is also low-scoring. The total under 3.5 goals has been a winning bet in Liverpool's last nine home games. We don't expect Burnley to score at all, making this bet likely to succeed again.
🚩 Corner Prediction
If Burnley only holds 35% possession at home against Man United, what can we expect at Anfield? It's a rhetorical question. The hosts are expected to control the game for nearly all 90 minutes, frequently pinning the opposition in their own penalty area. This should lead to set-piece opportunities. Following this logic, we predict over 6.5 corners for Liverpool. The Reds have surpassed this mark in 7 of their last 8 Premier League head-to-heads with the Clarets.
Editor's Prediction
Scott Parker's protégés have been on a roll lately, scoring seven goals in just two matches-a rare feat for this team. However, in their previous away game, the Clarets struggled, failing to create any significant chances against Brighton (0-2). Liverpool, on the other hand, have tightened up their defense, keeping clean sheets against a formidable Arsenal and a vibrant Leeds side. Adding to this, the Reds have conceded only one goal in their last six encounters with Burnley, making us doubt the visitors' ability to score at Anfield. We expect Arne Slot's side to secure a 2-0 victory and recommend betting on both teams to score (no).
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Betting Tips: Liverpool - Burnley
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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