Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 November 2026
🔊 Levski are gathering momentum in the Europa League, while Jagiellonia risk slipping into the lower reaches of the table. Just one point separates the sides heading into the fourth round, but their prospects look very different. Levski will look to build on their win in Czechia at home, while Jagiellonia need to end their run of poor results. With trips to Marseille and Sunderland still to come, this home game against inconsistent opposition is especially important for Levski.
First European Meeting
📊 Levski and Jagiellonia have never met in a competitive fixture. The upcoming match will be the first head-to-head meeting between the Bulgarian and Polish clubs.
Levski have learned to make the most of their chances
Levski are gradually finding their feet in the Europa League. After failing to win either of their first two matches, the Bulgarians travelled to Viktoria Plzeň and managed just six shots, but scored twice to take all three points. Their response to conceding was particularly telling: the hosts had barely equalised before Levski regained the lead. They do not need a flood of chances to punish opponents.
That said, Levski’s defence are far from impenetrable. Their goalkeeper has made 15 saves in three matches, one of the highest totals in the competition. His performances have been crucial in keeping the Bulgarians in games even when opponents create the better chances. Against Jagiellonia, the hosts will likely take a more cautious approach and look to deny the Polish side opportunities to break quickly.
Match Results: Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia are paying a heavy price for their mistakes
Jagiellonia have already had a taste of how unforgiving the Europa League can be. A 3-1 win over Ararat-Armenia raised hopes, but Anderlecht quickly brought them back down to earth. The Belgians swept aside Jagiellonia 3-0, allowing them just one shot on target. The first costly mistake came as Jagiellonia tried to play out from the back, and Anderlecht punished them immediately.
Jagiellonia clearly lack confidence against more organised opponents. Across three European matches, they have made 54 tackles and picked up nine yellow cards, reflecting how often they have had to battle for possession and resort to fouls to stop attacks. That nervousness could hurt them again in Sofia. Levski know how to make the most of limited opportunities, and Jagiellonia have been offering up too many of them.
Match Results: Jagiellonia Bialystok
Latest news
Levski Sofia
❌ Gasper Trdin and Radoslav Kirilov are listed as injured in the pre-match reports.
Jagiellonia Bialystok
🚑 Norbert Wojtuszek continues his recovery after surgery.
Total Goals Prediction
Conceding just five goals in 12 league matches says plenty about Levski’s defence. The Bulgarian side rarely let opponents operate freely around their penalty area, and no team have scored twice against them in the Europa League so far. Even a trip to Viktoria, who play aggressively at home, caused few problems at the back.
Jagiellonia have not been as prolific as they would like. They have scored four goals in three European matches, three of them against Ararat-Armenia. Their attack has looked less effective against stronger opposition, and breaking down Levski’s solid defence in Sofia will be tougher still. Bet: Jagiellonia under 1.5 team goals at odds of 1.40*.
Corners Prediction
Levski are not a side who rely on a steady stream of crosses into the box to get results. The Bulgarians have won an average of just 2.33 corners across their three league-phase matches. Even their win over Viktoria did not require much action by the corner flag: they made better use of the few set pieces they had. Levski’s matches have averaged seven corners in total.
Jagiellonia have not won many corners either. The Polish side have averaged three across their two European matches, with those games producing 6.5 corners in total on average. With neither team particularly active in this area, a sustained assault on either penalty area looks unlikely. Our pick: under 9.5 total corners at odds of 1.87*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Jagiellonia have been picking up bookings regularly in the Europa League. Their players have received nine yellow cards in three matches - an average of three per game. By comparison, Levski have collected just two bookings over the same period. That is more than four times fewer, even though Levski’s opponents have hardly been easy to play against.
The visitors face a tough test as they look to withstand the pressure away from home. Jagiellonia often play a physical game in their domestic league, and the cost of any mistake will be higher against Levski. They are likely to be drawn into plenty of challenges and forced to break up the hosts’ attacks, increasing their chances of picking up bookings. Our pick is Jagiellonia over 1.5 yellow cards.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor’s prediction
Levski have an excellent chance to strengthen their position in the Europa League. The Bulgarian side are confident at home, rarely suffer serious setbacks and have learned how to handle stronger opponents. Jagiellonia have attacking quality, but they lack consistency - especially against teams who deny them time and space on the ball.
The hosts do not need a goal-fest to get the result they want. Taking advantage of one mistake in the Polish defence and maintaining their usual focus at the back could be enough. Jagiellonia are too inconsistent to be relied on to score in Sofia, while Levski know how to protect a lead. Correct-score prediction: 1-0. Main bet: both teams to score - no.
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Betting Tips: Levski Sofia - Jagiellonia Bialystok
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