Flamengo vs Est. La Plata Prediction 19 September 2025
📢 What can we expect from the first leg of the Copa Libertadores quarterfinal between Flamengo and Estudiantes La Plata? The Brazilian club is traditionally seen as one of the tournament's frontrunners and will enter the game as a clear favorite. However, the Argentine side is renowned for their organized defense and ability to close down spaces, especially in away games. In such a clash, much will depend on whether Flamengo can break through their opponent's tight defensive lines. All these factors set the stage for an intriguing and tense match with minimal room for error.
Head-to-Head
⚠ These teams have never faced each other before.
Head-to-head statistics Flamengo - Est. La Plata
Flamengo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Juventude, away team - Flamengo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Flamengo vs Juventude):
- ball possession: 74% vs 26%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Flamengo are delivering strong performances thanks to their consistent play and reliable defense. The "Rubro-Negro" have secured victories in five of their last eight matches, remaining unbeaten during this stretch. Their most recent match ended successfully with another win, boosting the team's confidence. They average 1.13 goals per game while impressively conceding just 0.38 goals per match. The team favors ball possession, which helps minimize risks and effectively capitalize on scoring opportunities against their opponents.
Match Results: Flamengo
Estudiantes de La Plata Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Estudiantes de La Plata, away - River Plate ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Estudiantes de La Plata vs River Plate ):
- ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 7;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Estudiantes La Plata finished the Copa Libertadores group stage at the top of their group, yet their recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with three losses in their last five matches pointing to a lack of stability. On average this season, they score and concede one goal per match. However, recent games have shown an improvement in their attacking play, with the average number of goals scored rising to 1.5 per game.
Match Results: Estudiantes de La Plata
Latest news
Flamengo
Flamengo are dealing with a less-than-ideal squad situation. Erick Pulgar is recovering from a foot fracture and is expected to return only by the end of September. Additionally, three players are doubtful: Guillermo Varela is struggling with a groin issue, Jorginho has a muscle injury, and Alex Sandro is nursing a calf problem. Their availability will be determined closer to the match.
Estudiantes de La Plata
Estudiantes' injury list remains extensive. Edwin Cetre is sidelined for several weeks due to a muscle injury. Eric Meza and Joaquin Tobio Burgos are still in recovery and are expected back by the end of September, while Leandro Gonzalez Pirez is out with a hamstring injury and is anticipated to return by early October.
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Flamengo (Home) vs Estudiantes de La Plata (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- Number of wins: 2 (50%) vs 2 (50%);
- Number of losses: 1 (25%) vs 1 (25%);
- Number of draws: 1 (25%) vs 1 (25%);
- Average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.25;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.25.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 8 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 0 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 2 vs 3;
- Average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6).
- Flamengo have won the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- win percentage: 63% vs 63%;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Estudiantes de La Plata won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
- Estudiantes de La Plata won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games (Copa Libertadores).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata
- average total in the tournament: 1.5 vs 2.13;
- average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.5;
- Flamengo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Estudiantes de La Plata: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.4) vs 1 (away - 0.8).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Flamengo games.
Prediction on corners
Flamengo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.25; at home field - 7.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.7; at home field - 8.
Estudiantes de La Plata: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.25, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 4.4.
- Estudiantes de La Plata have taken over 1.5 corners in 16 of last 18 away games.
Prediction on cards
Flamengo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.75; at home - 1.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; at home - 0.8.
Estudiantes de La Plata: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.88, away - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; away - 2.2.
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
- number of BTS matches for Flamengo at home - 1 (25%);
- number of BTS matches for Estudiantes de La Plata away - 1 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Flamengo at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Estudiantes de La Plata away - 1 (20%).
Editorial Prediction
Flamengo enter the first match as clear favorites, but it won't be a walk in the park. Estudiantes La Plata are likely to focus on defense, which could significantly limit the game's scoring potential. Supporting this is the statistic that Flamengo's last six matches in the Copa Libertadores have all seen under 2.5 goals. Therefore, betting on a low-scoring outcome seems the most reasonable prediction.
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Betting Tips: Flamengo - Estudiantes de La Plata
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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