Flamengo vs Est. La Plata Prediction 21 May 2026
📢 Heading into the clash between Flamengo and Estudiantes La Plata, the Brazilian side’s impressive home run stands out as a key factor. Flamengo top the table, with the Argentinians sitting second-a testament to the high stakes of this fixture. Flamengo boast a strong record on home soil and have shown significantly greater attacking output than their rivals. This promises to be a fiercely contested encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Estudiantes de La Plata):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 14 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
📊The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 3 against 3;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.33, in the 2nd half - 0.67;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Flamengo - Est. La Plata

Flamengo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Atletico Paranaense, away team - Flamengo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense):
- ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 9;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Flamengo are showcasing some powerful football at the moment-they have won six of their last seven home matches, scoring more than once in each of their previous ten outings at the Maracanã. On average, they net 2.33 goals per home game while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.67 per match. Over their last ten fixtures, Flamengo have picked up six wins, three draws, and suffered only one defeat, underlining their consistency over the long haul.
Match Results: Flamengo

Estudiantes de La Plata Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Estudiantes de La Plata, away - Racing Club Avellaneda). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Estudiantes de La Plata vs Racing Club Avellaneda):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 1 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Estudiantes La Plata rarely taste defeat-their recent run of three draws and one win in their last five matches underlines their resilience. However, their attacking output remains modest, averaging just one goal per game over the past ten fixtures. Away from home, Estudiantes typically adopt a cautious approach: under 2.5 goals has landed in nine of their last ten league outings on the road, while their defensive record stays solid, conceding an average of just one goal per match. Sitting second in the table, the team remain highly motivated to challenge the favorites, even when playing away.
Match Results: Estudiantes de La Plata
Latest news
Flamengo
The hosts will be without Gonzalo Plata, Giorgian de Arrascaeta, and Erick Pulgar, all sidelined through injury.
Estudiantes de La Plata
Estudiantes La Plata will be without Joaquín Tobio Burgos, who is sidelined due to illness. Santiago Arzamendia also misses out, as he remains unavailable until the end of the summer.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.33;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.33.
First-Half Stats: Flamengo (home) vs Estudiantes de La Plata (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 2;
- wins: 1 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 3 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.5).
- Flamengo scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 4;
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- win percentage: 67% vs 25%;
- losses: 0 vs 0;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Estudiantes de La Plata won with a +1.5 handicap in last 38 games.
- Estudiantes de La Plata won with a +1.5 handicap in last 18 away games.
- Estudiantes de La Plata won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 games (Copa Libertadores).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 2.25;
- average total goals scored: 2.33 vs 1.25;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.33 vs 0.75;
- Flamengo: average total at home in the tournament - 4;
- Estudiantes de La Plata: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.5) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Flamengo have scored over 1.5 goals in last 10 home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata
- number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 4;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Flamengo at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Estudiantes de La Plata away - 2 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Flamengo at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Estudiantes de La Plata away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/93, 17.2%);
- Flamengo at home most often finish matches: 4:1 (1/1, 100%);
- Estudiantes de La Plata away most often play: 1:1 (2/2, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.66% (odds 5)
2:0 - 10.9% (odds 5.5)
2:1 - 10.52% (odds 8.5)
- Estudiantes de La Plata drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 games (Copa Libertadores).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Flamengo enter this clash as clear favourites, and for good reason: the Brazilian side boasts a significantly stronger squad, and home advantage only tips the scales further in their favour. However, Estudiantes La Plata are well aware of the challenge ahead and are unlikely to play too openly against such opposition, especially on the road. The visitors are expected to slow the tempo, stay compact defensively, and aim to keep the match under control for as long as possible. It’s also worth noting that Estudiantes’ away fixtures have rarely been high-scoring affairs lately-9 of their last 10 away matches have featured no more than two goals. In this context, backing under 2.5 goals appears to be a well-founded prediction.