Watford vs Southampton Prediction 16 August 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Southampton lost their chance to return to the Premier League due to a spying scandal, for which they received a four-point deduction heading into the new season. They will start the campaign with a negative points tally and a trip to Watford, who are also going through a summer rebuild.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Southampton):

    • ball possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
    • fouls: 10 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Watford and Southampton:

    • played 31 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 13, draws - 9;
    • number of goals - 46 against 50;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.32, in the 2nd half - 1.77;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.1.

    Head-to-head statistics Watford - Southampton

    31%
    10 Wins
    28%
    9 Draws
    41%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    32
    Total Goals Avg
    3.09
    Both teams scored
    59%
    1.5
    Total average
    1.59
    1.56
    Yellow cards
    1.56
    Last matches
    16.08.26
    Championship
    Watford
    Watford
    Southampton
    Southampton
    1.23
    1.58
    4
    8
    12
    9
    6
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.23
    1.58
    4
    8
    12
    9
    6
    3
    07.02.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Watford
    Watford
    0.63
    1.15
    3
    9
    10
    10
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.63
    1.15
    3
    9
    10
    10
    3
    1
    30.08.25
    Championship
    Watford
    Watford
    Southampton
    Southampton
    0.54
    1.62
    4
    5
    14
    12
    2
    5
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0.54
    1.62
    4
    5
    14
    12
    2
    5
    13.04.24
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Watford
    Watford
    -
    -
    6
    3
    5
    14
    1
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    5
    14
    1
    3
    06.02.24
    FAC
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Watford
    Watford
    -
    -
    6
    4
    13
    8
    4
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    13
    8
    4
    4
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    Watford Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the EFL Cup tournament (home team - Watford, away team - Crawley Town). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Watford vs Crawley Town):

    • ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
    • corner kicks: 12 vs 1;
    • fouls: 11 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 11 vs 3.

    The Hornets begin the season with new manager Alessio Dionisi, who replaced Edward Still at the helm. The team finished 16th last season, their worst result since 2005. Preparation under the new Italian coach was inconsistent: one win, one draw and two defeats in friendly matches. However, in the League Cup, Watford beat Crawley Town (1:0) - Mark Bola scored in the 99th minute.

    Match Results: Watford

    Last matches
    25.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Watford
    Watford
    Peterborough
    Peterborough
    1.51
    3.02
    2
    2
    7
    9
    0
    1
    1
    5
    0
    2
    1
    3
    1.51
    3.02
    2
    2
    7
    9
    0
    1
    L
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    Watford
    Watford
    1.83
    0.55
    10
    3
    13
    11
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.55
    10
    3
    13
    11
    2
    0
    D
    16.08.26
    Championship
    Watford
    Watford
    Southampton
    Southampton
    1.23
    1.58
    4
    8
    12
    9
    6
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.23
    1.58
    4
    8
    12
    9
    6
    3
    W
    08.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Watford
    Watford
    Crawley Town
    Crawley Town
    4.17
    0.89
    12
    1
    11
    13
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    4.17
    0.89
    12
    1
    11
    13
    2
    3
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Watford
    Watford
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    -
    -
    5
    5
    12
    6
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    12
    6
    1
    0
    L
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    Southampton Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the EFL Cup tournament (home team - Colchester , away - Southampton). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.

    Here are the match stats (Southampton vs Colchester ):

    • ball possession: 74% vs 26%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
    • fouls: 5 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 5.

    The Saints come into this match as favourites, despite the scandal and points deduction. Tonda Eckert's side finished last season in 4th place, picking up 68 points in 33 matches under the German coach. Pre-season went well: three wins in friendly matches, and in the League Cup they beat Colchester United (2:0). Southampton also had the second most prolific attack in the league last season (1.78 goals per match).

    Match Results: Southampton

    Last matches
    25.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Southampton
    Southampton
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    0.88
    2.29
    2
    5
    7
    8
    2
    0
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0.88
    2.29
    2
    5
    7
    8
    2
    0
    L
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    1
    2.31
    0.83
    4
    2
    10
    21
    3
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.31
    0.83
    4
    2
    10
    21
    3
    3
    W
    16.08.26
    Championship
    Watford
    Watford
    Southampton
    Southampton
    1.23
    1.58
    4
    8
    12
    9
    6
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.23
    1.58
    4
    8
    12
    9
    6
    3
    L
    08.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Colchester
    Colchester
    Southampton
    Southampton
    1.14
    2.91
    1
    5
    14
    5
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.14
    2.91
    1
    5
    14
    5
    0
    0
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Preusen Munster
    Preusen Munster
    Southampton
    Southampton
    -
    -
    3
    9
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    9
    -
    -
    3
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-head matches:

    • Total encounters - 31;
    • First-half wins for the home side (at home) - 4; for the visitors (away) - 7; number of draws - 4;
    • Average first-half total: 1.32;
    • Today's home team averages 0.65 goals in the first half, while the away team scores 0.68.
    Trends
    • Southampton have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.14)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1.48, the guests - 1.61;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.1;
    • both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 11.
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Southampton games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2,5) (odds: 1.75)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Over 8.5 corners in last 8 Watford games against Southampton.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (8,5) (odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 31;
    • both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 11 times.
    Trends
    • Watford have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Southampton.
    • Southampton have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.6)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 31;
    • home team wins - 9, away team wins - 13, draws - 9.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 6;
    • losses: 6 vs 1;
    • draws: 2 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Watford have lost in last 5 games (Championship).
    • Southampton have won in 5 of last 6 away games.
    👉Prediction: Southampton Win (odds: 2.05)

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Southampton go into this match as favourites, and that is well justified. The Saints have a stable squad and a successful pre-season behind them. Watford are going through a rebuild and have injury concerns. Of course, on their own ground the Hornets are capable of putting up a fight. However, we do not think that will be enough to take points. We predict a 2:1 away win and are backing Southampton individual total over 1.5 goals. Tonda Eckert's men have hit this mark in 9 of their last 10 Championship matches.

    Southampton Total goals Over (1,5)
    Published: 15/08/2026, 11:36
    Vladislav Kolyada
    Vladislav Kolyada
    Football specialist
    63
    5
    52
    120 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Watford - Southampton

    Watford have lost the 2nd half:
    watford-fcin last 5 games (Championship).
    Southampton have won the 2nd half:
    southampton-fcin 7 of last 8 away games.
    2nd Half Southampton Win
    Everygame
    +130
    Southampton have drawn in the 1st half:
    southampton-fcin 6 of last 7 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +135
    Watford have lost:
    watford-fcin last 5 games (Championship).
    Southampton have won:
    southampton-fcin 5 of last 6 away games.
    Southampton Win
    Bovada
    -105
    Southampton have drawn:
    watford-fcsouthampton-fcin last 3 away games against Watford.
    Draw
    Everygame
    +265
    View more facts

    Watford - Southampton Table position

    Championship 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Blackburn Rovers
    Blackburn Rovers
    21104-34
    7.
    Watford
    Watford
    21103-24
    8.
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    21102-14
    22.
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    20022-50
    23.
    Norwich City
    Norwich City
    20021-50
    24.
    Southampton
    Southampton
    21014-3-1

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 7
    Conceded - 24
    -17
    +2
    17 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    3
    6
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    7
    Scored
    17
    24
    Conceded
    15
    3.1
    Match goals average
    3.2
    0.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    2.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    5
    Both teams scored
    8
    129'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    55'
    View all stats