Southampton vs Watford Prediction 7 February 2026
🔊 Southampton and Watford clash in the next round of the Championship. Southampton sit in 14th place, while Watford hold the 8th spot but have been struggling with form recently. The bookmakers have pegged the "Saints" as favorites. Will the hosts live up to the expectations?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Watford):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Southampton and Watford:
- played 30 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 12, for the away team - 9, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 49 against 46;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.37, in the 2nd half - 1.8;
- average total goals in the match - 3.17.
Head-to-head statistics Southampton - Watford
Southampton Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Stoke City, away team - Southampton). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Southampton vs Stoke City):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 18 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Southampton sit mid-table with an even split of wins, draws, and losses this season (10 each). The Saints are marked by inconsistency, with their current form showing 3 wins, a draw, and a loss in their last 5 matches. Over the past ten games, the hosts have averaged 1.1 goals per match while conceding more frequently at 1.3 goals per game, highlighting the need to improve defensively.
Match Results: Southampton
Watford Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Hull City, away - Watford). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the match stats (Watford vs Hull City):
- ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Watford are showing strong form on the road, having gone unbeaten in their last five away matches in the Championship, thanks to a solid defense and a knack for capitalizing on counter-attacks. This season, they sit in 8th place with four wins in their last ten matches, alongside three losses and three draws. The Hornets average about one goal per game while conceding slightly more (1.2), yet their consistency keeps them competitive even against tough opponents.
Match Results: Watford
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 30;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 7; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.37;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.7, while the visitors net 0.67.
First-Half Stats: Southampton (home) vs Watford (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 5 (35.71%) vs 2 (14.29%);
- losses: 4 (28.57%) vs 5 (35.71%);
- draws: 5 (35.71%) vs 7 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1.21 vs 1.29;
- Average goals conceded: 0.43 vs 0.86.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 5 vs 8;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4).
- Watford have drawn in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games (Championship).
- Watford have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 9, draws - 9.
Statistics: Southampton vs Watford
- matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- wins: 10 vs 11;
- win percentage: 33% vs 37%;
- losses: 10 vs 8;
- draws: 10 vs 11.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games against Southampton.
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 away games (Championship).
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 18 games (Championship).
- Watford won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.53;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.17;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Southampton vs Watford
- average total in the tournament: 2.8 vs 2.47;
- average total goals scored: 1.43 vs 1.3;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.77 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.7;
- Southampton: average total at home in the tournament - 1.36;
- Watford: average total away in the tournament - 1.07;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.75) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Southampton home games against Watford.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Southampton games (Championship).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Watford games.
Prediction on corners
Southampton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 6.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 6.75.
Watford: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.73, away - 4.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 5.2.
- Southampton have taken over 5.5 corners in last 5 home games against Watford.
- Southampton have taken over 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Southampton vs Watford
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 22 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Southampton at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Watford away - 9 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Southampton at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Watford away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (58/358, 16.2%);
- Southampton at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (3/14, 21.4%);
- Watford away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 (3/14, 21.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.65% (odds 8)
1:1 - 11.63% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.41% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams are eager to secure points, but their playing styles differ: Southampton rely on ball possession, while Watford focus on quick counterattacks away from home. Based on current trends, we anticipate a low-scoring encounter and recommend betting on under 2.5 goals. This wager has been successful in Watford's last five Championship matches.
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Betting Tips: Southampton - Watford
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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