Saint Patr. vs Shamrock Prediction 16 August 2026
🔊 The round of 16 of the FAI Cup features the standout match of the round: St Patrick's Athletic host Shamrock Rovers at Richmond Park. In the league, these are the two best teams at the moment, but heading into the cup derby the two sides are in very different moods. St Patrick's beat Shelbourne 2:1 in the latest round and moved up to second place, while Shamrock Rovers just days ago suffered a painful Europa League exit after a 1:5 thrashing by Egnatia.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between St Patrick's Athletic and Shamrock Rovers:
- 63 matches played;
- home wins - 17, away wins - 30, draws - 16;
- goals - 64 vs 80;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.94, in the 2nd - 1.35;
- average total goals per match - 2.29.
Head-to-head statistics Saint Patr. - Shamrock
Saint Patrick´s Athletic Team Overview
Stephen Kenny's team come into this cup derby in good spirits. Last weekend, St Patrick's Athletic won 2:1 away at Shelbourne thanks to goals from Anthony Oluseyi and James Brown in the first half. The victory was particularly important in terms of the table: St Patrick's moved into outright second place, remaining seven points behind Shamrock.
That said, Kenny does not consider the team fully ready for the title race. The manager fairly acknowledges that St Patrick's still have problems, but results have looked convincing of late. At home, the team are particularly dangerous when given the chance to build attacks patiently and put pressure on the box. A good example was the June win over Sligo Rovers, in which St Patrick's created 14 corners and ground the opposition down with two goals in stoppage time.
In the FAI Cup, St Patrick's have already seen off Wexford. The match was not straightforward: the hosts won 2:1, with Aidan Keena scoring the decisive goal only late on. This is an important detail ahead of the meeting with the reigning trophy holders - Kenny's team know how to be patient in cup matches and do not lose their focus until the final whistle.
Match Results: Saint Patrick´s Athletic
Shamrock Rovers Team Overview
Shamrock remain top of the Premier Division and are the reigning FAI Cup holders. In the league, Stephen Bradley's side recently beat Dundalk 3:2 and continue to hold a comfortable gap over St Patrick's. It was a very nervy match: five goals were scored before half-time, and the referee showed 8 yellow cards in total.
However, what matters far more right now is the team's psychological state. On Thursday, Shamrock played the second leg against Egnatia in Europa League qualifying and lost 1:5, going out on aggregate 4:6. Bradley described the performance after the game as the worst he had seen during his time at the club. Rovers now have to switch quickly to the FAI Cup, and the opposition will be as awkward as it gets.
That said, writing Shamrock off purely because of the European collapse would be a mistake. They are the deepest squad in the Premier Division, they hold top spot in the league, and they have already beaten Cork City in the previous cup round - 4:1 after extra time. That is precisely why the visitors have every chance to recover and produce a completely different performance.
Match Results: Shamrock Rovers
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- for the home side - 1.02, for the away side - 1.27;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.29;
- both teams scored: all time - 26 times; at the home team's ground - 13 times.
- St Patrick's Athletic concede in 17 of the last 19 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
- St Patrick's Athletic concede at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 63;
- both teams scored all time - 26 times;
- at the home team's ground - 13 times.
- St Patrick's Athletic have scored and conceded in 5 matches in a row.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 63;
- home wins - 17, away wins - 30, draws - 16.
- St Patrick's Athletic have gone unbeaten in 6 matches in a row.
⭐ Editor's Pick
On paper Shamrock Rovers remain the favourites, but right now I wouldn't back a straightforward away win. Too much is working against them: a tough away trip, a cup derby against a direct rival, and above all the emotional and physical drain of the match against Egnatia. St Patrick's, meanwhile, come into this off a win over Shelbourne and will be playing at home.
That said, the recent head-to-head record is clearly on Rovers' side: the two clubs have already met three times this season, and the reigning champions won all three. So the optimal option, in my view, is a bet on the visitors not losing in normal time. Pick: Shamrock Rovers not to lose. Predicted score - 1:1 after normal time.
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Betting Tips: Saint Patrick´s Athletic - Shamrock Rovers
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