Czech Rep. vs Croatia Prediction 26 September 2026
π Both Czechia and Croatia are starting the Nations League with a new manager following the World Cup, though for different reasons. The Czechs had a poor group stage and in the summer appointed the first foreign head coach in their history, Santiago Denia. For Croatia, the Zlatko DaliΔ era ended after their elimination by Portugal in the Round of 32, with Slaven BiliΔ returning to the dugout after 14 years away.
Neither new coaching staff has time to settle in. Group A3 also contains England and reigning world champions Spain. In three days' time, the Czechs host England while Croatia travel to Seville. That makes the opening round an immediate opportunity to pick up points before facing the two heavyweights of the group.
π Don't miss important pre-match updates: we'll be adding information on line-ups, injuries and other developments that could affect the balance of the match.
Czechia have yet to beat Croatia.
π The two sides have met four times. Czechia have not won any of those meetings: three draws and one Croatian victory. The average total is exactly 3 goals. Their previous World Cup qualifying campaign illustrated the contrast particularly well - Croatia thrashed Czechia 5-1 at home, and four months later in Prague the two sides failed to score at all (0-0).
Head-to-head statistics Czech Rep. - Croatia

Czech Republic: A New Era Begins Without Their Leading Goalscorer
The World Cup was a short affair for Czechia. They lost to South Korea (1-2), drew with South Africa (1-1), and then fell to Mexico (0-3) to finish bottom of the group. Three games, one point, and a goal difference of 2:6. After the tournament, Miroslav Koubek left his post, and Denia was brought in to rebuild the team.
The rebuild extends beyond the dugout. After the World Cup, Patrik Schick retired from international football - he scored 26 goals in 56 caps. Without him, the centre-forward position is no longer straightforward, and Denia has to simultaneously introduce his system and find a new distribution of roles in attack. The core of the squad remains intact, though: Czechia have plenty of experience in defence and midfield.
Match Results: Czech Republic

Croatia: New Manager, Same Core Squad
Croatia reached the Round of 32 at the World Cup. After losing to England (2-4), the team won their next two group matches, then lost to Portugal (1-2) and were eliminated. That brought the Dalic era to a close. Bilic previously managed the national side from 2006 to 2012, so he is returning to familiar territory.
There is no major overhaul of the squad either. Luka Modric has decided to continue his international career, Mateo Kovacic remains in central midfield, and there are plenty of options up front. The change of manager is therefore more a matter of adjusting the details than rebuilding Croatia from scratch.
Match Results: Croatia
Latest news
Czech Republic
β Before the first training camp, the squad's injury situation deteriorated sharply. Six players dropped out of the original squad due to fitness issues: David Zima, LukΓ‘Ε‘ Provod, TomΓ‘Ε‘ ChorΓ½, David JurΓ‘sek, Denis ViΕ‘inskΓ½ and TomΓ‘Ε‘ VlΔek. In their place, the coaching staff called up OndΕej KriΔfaluΕ‘i, Martin Ε ubert, JiΕΓ SlΓ‘ma, Daniel VaΕ‘ulΓn, Martin VitΓk and VΓ‘clav Sejk.
Croatia
π Martin ErliΔ and Josip JuranoviΔ are both unavailable for the current international window through injury. In their place, BiliΔ called up Marin PongraΔiΔ and Kristijan JakiΔ, and subsequently added Lovro Majer to the squad.
π Update - 26 September, 13:22 UTC:
- Martin Baturina will not play against Czechia. The Como midfielder missed Friday's training due to a virus, and by the evening his temperature had risen above 38 degrees. He has not been included in the matchday squad, and this is a big loss for the visitors. Most likely, Nikola VlaΕ‘iΔ will start in Baturina's place.
Predicted Lineups
π Predicted Czechia XI: HornΓΔek - Hranac, Chaloupek, KrejΔΓ - Lingr, Δerv, SadΓlek, Karabec - Ε ulc, VitΓk - Hlozek.
π Predicted Croatia XI: LivakoviΔ - StaniΕ‘iΔ, PeriΕ‘iΔ, VuΕ‘koviΔ, Gvardiol - ModriΔ, KovaΔiΔ, SuΔiΔ - Baturina, SuΔiΔ, MatanoviΔ.
β½ Goals Prediction
Croatia scored at least twice in three of their last five matches. Even at the World Cup, where the opposition was noticeably stronger, their attack did not become reliant on a single player - chances were regularly created through different areas and different individuals.Czechia carry more questions into this one after the summer. At the World Cup they conceded six goals in three games, and now they are changing manager and going into their first competitive match with several players missing. Croatia are capable of working away at the hosts' defence for long enough that two goals in 90 minutes looks a realistic target. Our bet: Croatia Team Total - Over 1.5 Goals at 1.97*.π© Corners Prediction
Czechia consistently earn their own corners regardless of the scoreline. In four of their last five matches they won at least five corners. Even in defeats the team kept getting into the opposition box and putting it under pressure.The most recent head-to-head meeting in Prague fits the pattern too: the Czechs earned five corners that day. If Croatia confirm their status as favourites and take the lead, the hosts will need to push forward even more actively. Our prediction: Czechia Team Total - Over 4.5 Corners at 1.77*.π¨ Yellow Cards Prediction
Four head-to-head meetings have averaged three bookings per game - 1.5 per side. Over the summer neither side was particularly ill-disciplined either: none of Czechia's or Croatia's matches at the World Cup turned into a card fest. The opening fixture matters, but it does not yet demand playing on the edge from the first minute. Both sides face a long block of four matches in a short space of time, so neither manager needs unnecessary suspensions. We're taking: Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5 at 1.53*.π Player Stat Bet
Ante Budimir arrives with excellent club form. The striker has scored five goals in seven league starts in Spain this season. He also made his mark at the World Cup - it was his finish that gave Croatia victory over Panama. In a match where the visitors should be delivering the ball into the box regularly, a centre-forward of his type will be useful. Budimir reads situations inside the penalty area well and is capable of finishing with a single touch. We're taking Ante Budimir to Score at 2.80*.π± Risky Bet
Back in June last year Croatia showed just how large the gap between these two sides can be when they take control early. The Czechs lost 1-5 that day, unable to cope with either the movement through the middle or the constant attacks down the flanks. Now the hosts also have a new manager, several absentees heading into the camp, and their first competitive game without Schick. If Croatia score early, Czechia will have to abandon their cautious approach, which should open up more space for the more technical visiting attack. The bet: Croatia - Handicap (-1.5) at 3.60*.π― Reliable Bet
Czechia have not beaten Croatia in four head-to-head meetings. Even last autumn, playing at home, the hosts managed to stop their opponents but not beat them.Now the hosts are also beginning an entirely new cycle. DenΓ will need time to transfer his ideas to the national team, whereas Croatia under their new manager have retained almost their entire familiar core. We're playing Croatia Not to Lose at 1.33*.π If the Match Goes Off-Script
The main scenario points to Croatia's advantage, but their summer matches showed that their defence is not always watertight. At the World Cup Croatia conceded in three of their four games.Czechia at home are unlikely to sit deep for the entire match. The new manager will want to show a more adventurous side on his debut, and an early set piece or pressure in the opening minutes could completely overturn the initial script. We'll check the bet on Czechia to Score the 1st Goal at 2.86".*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
βοΈ Editorial Prediction
There is too much changing at once for Czechia. A poor World Cup, a new manager, Schick's retirement, and several absences heading into the September camp. Home advantage can soften some of those problems, but it won't resolve the quality gap against an opponent of this level on its own.
Croatia also have a new manager, but the transition is smoother. BiliΔ has inherited a familiar core, ModriΔ has stayed, and the attacking options allow them to shift the game as it develops. If the visitors can withstand the early pressure from Prague, their class should tell from there. Predicted score: 1-3. Main bet: Croatia to win.
