Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction 15 August 2026
🔊 In the fifth round of the Colombian Clausura, Atletico Nacional will take on Santa Fe. At the moment the two sides sit next to each other in the table, which adds to the intrigue. Both teams are in confident form: Atletico Nacional have put together a strong winning run, while Santa Fe have rarely lost recently.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 26 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente Santa Fe):
- ball possession percentage: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Atletico Nacional Medellin and Independiente Santa Fe:
- played 48 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 22, for the away team - 10, draws - 16;
- number of goals - 71 against 43;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.21, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
- average total goals in the match - 2.38.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico Nacional - Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Primera A (home side - América de Cali, away side - Atlético Nacional). The match ended 1:0.
The match statistics were as follows (Atlético Nacional vs América de Cali):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 13 vs 2;
- fouls: 17 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Atletico Nacional are showing high scoring output - almost 2 goals per game across the season, and a run of four wins in their last five matches confirms the team's attacking strength. Over their last ten games, the club have won eight and lost two, scoring an average of 2.1 goals and conceding just 0.7 per match - the defence holds firm even over a longer stretch.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin
Independiente Santa Fe Team Overview
The away side's last official match was played in the Primera A (home side - Santa Fe, away side - Boyacá Chicó). The match ended 2:0.
The match stats were as follows (Santa Fe vs Boyacá Chicó):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 2 vs 0;
- fouls: 8 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Santa Fe look balanced towards the end of the season: the team have won three of their last five matches and lost only once during that period. Over the last ten matches, the visitors have six wins and two defeats - the side regularly picks up points thanks to a smart balance between attack and defence (averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per match). Away matches, however, tend to be open affairs: Santa Fe score and concede almost every time - that pattern was seen in eight of their last nine away league matches according to the trend.
Match Results: Independiente Santa Fe
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.48, the guests - 0.9;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.38;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Santa Fe
- average total in the tournament: 2.74 vs 2.62;
- average total goals scored: 1.93 vs 1.54;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.58;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.26 vs 0.96;
- Atletico Nacional Medellin: average total at home in the tournament - 2.75;
- Independiente Santa Fe: average total away in the tournament - 1.08;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 3.25) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored in 18 of last 19 home games (Liga Aguila).
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored in 12 of last 13 home games.
- Independiente Santa Fe have conceded in 10 of last 11 away games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on corners
Atletico Nacional Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.22; at home field - 5.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.8; at home field - 11.25.
Independiente Santa Fe: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.42, away - 4.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 1.5.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 48;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
- Independiente Santa Fe have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 away games (Liga Aguila).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (36/235, 15.3%);
- Atletico Nacional Medellin at home most often finish matches: 2:0 , 2:1 , 3:0 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Independiente Santa Fe away most often play: 1:1 (5/13, 38.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.53% (odds 6.2)
2:0 - 11.45% (odds 6.6)
1:1 - 10.75% (odds 7.6)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The trend data clearly points to Santa Fe having a high probability of exchanging goals away from home - the visitors consistently convert their chances but concede dangerous situations at their end almost every time they play away. Atletico Nacional remain one of the most prolific teams in the league with a reliable attack; the champions' complacency could create additional chances for the opposition going forward. We allow for a final score of 1:1. The main prediction is both teams to score.
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