Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Prediction 26 February 2026
🔊 The match between Santa Fe and Atletico Nacional promises to be intriguing. Both teams are showing different forms and motivations this season. Santa Fe, playing at home, will aim to improve their standing in the table, while Atletico Nacional are delivering impressive performances on the road.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 26 July 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Atletico Nacional Medellin):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente Santa Fe and Atletico Nacional Medellin:
- played 47 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 21, draws - 16;
- number of goals - 42 against 69;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.21, in the 2nd half - 1.15;
- average total goals in the match - 2.36.
Head-to-head statistics Santa Fe - Atletico Nacional
Independiente Santa Fe Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A, with Santa Fe hosting Atlético Junior. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Santa Fe vs Atlético Junior):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Santa Fe sit mid-table in 12th place. The team displays inconsistent form, having secured two wins, suffered two losses, and drawn once in their last five matches. Over their last ten outings, they have claimed three victories and five draws, showcasing their resilience and ability to fight until the end. However, their goal-scoring remains relatively modest, averaging just 1.3 goals per match.
Match Results: Independiente Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primera A, where they faced Atlético Nacional away. The game concluded with a 3-0 victory for the home side.
Here are the match statistics (Atlético Nacional vs Alianza):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 4 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
Atlético Nacional are performing significantly better than their rivals, currently sitting in 5th place in the league. Over their last five matches, they have secured four victories with just one loss, showcasing consistent form with an impressive attacking prowess-averaging 2.6 goals per match. Their results highlight both the effectiveness of their offense and the reliability of their defense.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 21, draws - 16.
Statistics: Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 5;
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- win percentage: 25% vs 80%;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 1.
- Independiente Santa Fe have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games.
- Independiente Santa Fe have not lost in 7 of last 8 home games (Liga Aguila).
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have not won in 7 of last 8 away games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.89, the guests - 1.47;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.36;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
- average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 3.2;
- average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 2.6;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.13 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1.6;
- Independiente Santa Fe: average total at home in the tournament - 1.67;
- Atletico Nacional Medellin: average total away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 2) vs 1.9 (away - 1).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Atletico Nacional Medellin games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 5;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente Santa Fe at home - 3 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Independiente Santa Fe at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (14/75, 18.7%);
- Independiente Santa Fe at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 , 2:2 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Atletico Nacional Medellin away most often play: 1:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.17% (odds 5.66)
0:1 - 9.89% (odds 6.37)
1:0 - 8.75% (odds 6.82)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering Atlético Nacional's trend of games with over 2.5 goals and their current high-scoring form, an open match with plenty of chances for both teams is anticipated. Despite Santa Fe's strong home record, betting on over 2.5 goals seems the most logical choice.
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Betting Tips: Independiente Santa Fe - Atletico Nacional Medellin
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in 8 of last 9 games (Liga Aguila).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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