Valerenga vs Sarpsborg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 May 2026
🔊 Vålerenga come into this fixture on the back of an inconsistent run, having failed to win in their last six matches and currently sitting eleventh in the table. Sarpsborg are slightly better off in ninth place, but the visitors have also struggled to produce convincing results of late. The key storyline here is the contrast between the hosts’ recent slump and the visitors’ limited attacking threat.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these teams took place on 17 August 2025 and ended in a 4-0 result. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Vålerenga were the home side):
- Possession: 50% vs 50%;
- Corners: 5 vs 6;
- Fouls committed: 9 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 9 vs 2.
📊 A statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between Vålerenga and Sarpsborg:
- They have faced off 29 times;
- The hosts have claimed 11 wins, the visitors 9, with 9 draws;
- Goals scored: 47 for Vålerenga, 41 for Sarpsborg;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.28; in the second half: 1.76;
- Average total goals per match: 3.03.
Head-to-head statistics Valerenga - Sarpsborg
Valerenga Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the Eliteserien, with HamKam playing host to Vålerenga. The match ended 1-0.
Here are the key stats from that contest (Vålerenga vs HamKam):
- Possession: 64% vs 36%;
- Corners: 6 vs 1;
- Fouls committed: 12 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Vålerenga are struggling to pick up points, recording just two wins in their last eight matches alongside four defeats and two draws. The team have managed an average of only 1.1 goals per game, while conceding significantly more-2 goals per match over recent rounds. Over a five-game stretch, Vålerenga have failed to secure a single victory, suffering three losses and settling for two draws. Their lack of attacking efficiency, combined with persistent defensive lapses, has taken a clear toll on their consistency.
Match Results: Valerenga
Sarpsborg Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Eliteserien, with Sarpsborg hosting Fredrikstad. The game ended 2-1.
Here’s a look at the key stats from Sarpsborg vs Fredrikstad:
- Possession: 60% vs 40%
- Corners: 11 vs 3
- Fouls committed: 15 vs 19
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 4
- Shots on target: 3 vs 2
Sarpsborg are also going through a rough patch. Their average goals scored per match stands at just 0.9 - slightly lower than their opponents in this fixture. Defensively, they haven’t inspired much confidence either: the side concede around 1.6 goals per game over a long stretch, with similar numbers across their last five outings (three defeats, one draw and just one win). The visitors’ main issue remains their inconsistent finishing in front of goal.
Match Results: Sarpsborg
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 9, draws - 9.
Statistics: Valerenga vs Sarpsborg
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- win percentage: 25% vs 25%;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).
- Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games (Eliteserien).
- Sarpsborg won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.62, the guests - 1.41;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.03;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Valerenga vs Sarpsborg
- average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 2.25;
- average total goals scored: 0.88 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.38 vs 0.13;
- Valerenga: average total at home in the tournament - 0.75;
- Sarpsborg: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.83).
- Sarpsborg have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Eliteserien).
Prediction on corners
Valerenga: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.5; at home field - 10.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; at home field - 9.2.
Sarpsborg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.88, away - 3.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Valerenga vs Sarpsborg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Valerenga at home - 1 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 1 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Valerenga at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (9/63, 14.3%);
- Valerenga at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 2:2 (1/4, 25%);
- Sarpsborg away most often play: 0:2 , 1:0 , 2:1 , 4:0 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.59% (odds 11)
1:1 - 10.9% (odds 8)
2:1 - 9.63% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given Sarpsborg's recent trend-under 1.5 goals in six of their last seven league matches-it's hard to expect a high-scoring performance from this side. Both teams' current form supports the narrative of limited attacking output: neither consistently scores more than two goals per match, whether looking at the season as a whole or recent fixtures. As a result, our main prediction is for Sarpsborg’s individual total to be under 1.5 goals.No comments
Betting Tips: Valerenga - Sarpsborg
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