Sarpsborg vs Valerenga Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 In May, Vålerenga beat Sarpsborg 3-2, with the winning goal coming in the 90th minute. It was Johannes Mусrор's debut as manager. The two sides now meet on different terms: fewer than four goals have been scored in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

    Head-to-Head

    In official matches, Sarpsborg and Vålerenga have met 30 times. The hosts have won 9, the visitors 12, with nine draws. Vålerenga also have the edge in goals scored - 50 to Sarpsborg's 43.

    Head-to-head statistics Sarpsborg - Valerenga

    29%
    9 Wins
    32%
    10 Draws
    39%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    31
    Avg. total goals
    3.13
    Both teams scored
    55%
    1.45
    Average total
    1.68
    Last matches
    06.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    2.17
    1.54
    7
    8
    11
    15
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    2.17
    1.54
    7
    8
    11
    15
    1
    1
    16.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.39
    2.26
    7
    0
    13
    11
    1
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    2.39
    2.26
    7
    0
    13
    11
    1
    0
    17.08.25
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.03
    0.85
    5
    6
    9
    11
    1
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.03
    0.85
    5
    6
    9
    11
    1
    2
    06.04.25
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    1.63
    0.85
    9
    3
    18
    13
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.63
    0.85
    9
    3
    18
    13
    2
    1
    05.11.23
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    -
    -
    6
    6
    10
    9
    1
    2
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    6
    10
    9
    1
    2
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    Sarpsborg Team Overview

    After 18 matches, Sarpsborg sit ninth with 23 points, having scored 20 and conceded 23. Eiven Sel's side have been relying on home form - they have scored in 8 of their last 9 Eliteserien home matches. However, they have not scored more than two goals at home in any of their last 12 matches. Away from home they have been even more modest: their most recent away trip, to Tromsø, ended in a goalless draw.

    Match Results: Sarpsborg

    Last matches
    18.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    1.02
    2.02
    7
    8
    15
    17
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    1.02
    2.02
    7
    8
    15
    17
    2
    3
    L
    11.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Aalesunds
    Aalesunds
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.24
    2.25
    8
    6
    17
    14
    1
    2
    2
    4
    0
    1
    2
    3
    2.24
    2.25
    8
    6
    17
    14
    1
    2
    W
    30.09.26
    NM Cup
    Follo
    Follo
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    3
    12
    13
    10
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    12
    13
    10
    1
    2
    W
    18.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    KFUM Oslo
    KFUM Oslo
    2.78
    1.08
    11
    1
    7
    9
    1
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    2.78
    1.08
    11
    1
    7
    9
    1
    2
    L
    13.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1.77
    0.27
    6
    3
    9
    15
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.77
    0.27
    6
    3
    9
    15
    2
    0
    D
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    Valerenga Team Overview

    Vålerenga sit on 21 points in 11th place, two points behind their opponents. Johannes Muskgo has been in charge since May, and his side have a better attacking record than the hosts: 31 goals scored against 20. However, Vålerenga have conceded in 16 consecutive Eliteserien matches. In August they drew 5-5 away at Ålesund, and last round they lost at home to Molde.

    Match Results: Valerenga

    Last matches
    24.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    2.51
    1.4
    10
    3
    5
    14
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.51
    1.4
    10
    3
    5
    14
    1
    4
    W
    18.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Brann
    Brann
    3.01
    3.18
    4
    8
    9
    8
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    3.01
    3.18
    4
    8
    9
    8
    1
    1
    W
    12.10.26
    Eliteserien
    KFUM Oslo
    KFUM Oslo
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    2.18
    2.08
    7
    12
    6
    9
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.18
    2.08
    7
    12
    6
    9
    0
    2
    L
    20.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    1
    1.57
    0.85
    9
    6
    9
    12
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.57
    0.85
    9
    6
    9
    12
    0
    1
    D
    17.09.26
    NM Cup
    Skeid
    Skeid
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    -
    -
    6
    8
    6
    8
    0
    1
    1
    4
    0
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    6
    8
    6
    8
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10.08%), 2-1 (9.35%), and 2-2 (7.09%). A 1-1 draw is considered the most probable outcome, though the gap between the top three options is small, reflecting how unpredictable and open this match could be.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Fewer than four goals have been scored in 9 of Sarpsborg's last 10 matches - low-scoring games are the norm for them. Vålerenga are also limited in this fixture: they have not scored more than two goals away from home in 11 consecutive head-to-head meetings. Sarpsborg themselves are even more restrained - they have scored more than one goal in just 1 of their last 7 Eliteserien matches. We are not expecting the total to go beyond three goals. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score - 1:1.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-125
    Published: 04/09/2026, 18:15
    Dmitry Kochergin
    Dmitry Kochergin
    Football expert
    140
    2
    93
    235 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Sarpsborg - Valerenga

    Sarpsborg have drawn in the 2nd half:
    sarpsborgin 7 of last 8 games (Eliteserien).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +190
    Sarpsborg have scored under 2.5 goals:
    sarpsborgvalerenga-ifin 13 of last 15 games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).
    sarpsborgin 21 of last 22 games.
    sarpsborgin last 12 home games (Eliteserien).
    Sarpsborg Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -227
    Sarpsborg have scored:
    sarpsborgin 8 of last 9 home games (Eliteserien).
    Valerenga have conceded:
    valerenga-ifin last 17 games.
    valerenga-ifin last 16 games (Eliteserien).
    valerenga-ifin 15 of last 16 away games (Eliteserien).
    Sarpsborg will score goal
    -1111
    Sarpsborg have conceded:
    sarpsborgvalerenga-ifin 11 of last 12 games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).
    Valerenga will score goal
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 15
    -1
    +7
    27 - Scored
    20 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    3
    4
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    27
    15
    Conceded
    20
    2.9
    Average total per match
    4.7
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.7
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    33'
    View all stats