Sarpsborg vs Valerenga Prediction 6 September 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 In May, Vålerenga beat Sarpsborg 3-2, with the winning goal coming in the 90th minute. It was Johannes Mусrор's debut as manager. The two sides now meet on different terms: fewer than four goals have been scored in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

    Head-to-Head

    In official matches, Sarpsborg and Vålerenga have met 30 times. The hosts have won 9, the visitors 12, with nine draws. Vålerenga also have the edge in goals scored - 50 to Sarpsborg's 43.

    Head-to-head statistics Sarpsborg - Valerenga

    30%
    9 Wins
    30%
    9 Draws
    40%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    30
    Total Goals Avg
    3.1
    Both teams scored
    53%
    1.43
    Total average
    1.67
    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.39
    2.26
    7
    0
    13
    11
    1
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    2.39
    2.26
    7
    0
    13
    11
    1
    0
    17.08.25
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.03
    0.85
    5
    6
    9
    11
    1
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.03
    0.85
    5
    6
    9
    11
    1
    2
    13.06.25
    Club Friendly Games
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    06.04.25
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    1.63
    0.85
    9
    3
    18
    13
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.63
    0.85
    9
    3
    18
    13
    2
    1
    09.03.24
    Club Friendly Games
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    5
    3
    2
    1
    3
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
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    Sarpsborg Team Overview

    After 18 matches, Sarpsborg sit ninth with 23 points, having scored 20 and conceded 23. Eiven Sel's side have been relying on home form - they have scored in 8 of their last 9 Eliteserien home matches. However, they have not scored more than two goals at home in any of their last 12 matches. Away from home they have been even more modest: their most recent away trip, to Tromsø, ended in a goalless draw.

    Match Results: Sarpsborg

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Eliteserien
    Tromsoe
    Tromsoe
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1.46
    0.64
    5
    3
    11
    6
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.46
    0.64
    5
    3
    11
    6
    2
    1
    D
    22.08.26
    NM Cup
    IL Sparta Sarpsborg
    IL Sparta Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    1
    0
    W
    16.08.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Sandefjord
    Sandefjord
    2.37
    1.22
    4
    6
    12
    12
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    2.37
    1.22
    4
    6
    12
    12
    1
    2
    L
    08.08.26
    Eliteserien
    Viking
    Viking
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    3.31
    2.61
    11
    8
    8
    11
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    3.31
    2.61
    11
    8
    8
    11
    2
    3
    L
    02.08.26
    Eliteserien
    Molde
    Molde
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1.79
    1.38
    5
    4
    14
    6
    1
    1
    3
    3
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1.79
    1.38
    5
    4
    14
    6
    1
    1
    D
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    Valerenga Team Overview

    Vålerenga sit on 21 points in 11th place, two points behind their opponents. Johannes Muskgo has been in charge since May, and his side have a better attacking record than the hosts: 31 goals scored against 20. However, Vålerenga have conceded in 16 consecutive Eliteserien matches. In August they drew 5-5 away at Ålesund, and last round they lost at home to Molde.

    Match Results: Valerenga

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Molde
    Molde
    2.07
    1.23
    5
    2
    10
    9
    3
    2
    3
    4
    3
    4
    0
    0
    2.07
    1.23
    5
    2
    10
    9
    3
    2
    L
    23.08.26
    NM Cup
    Christiania BK
    Christiania BK
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    -
    -
    2
    9
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    7
    0
    3
    2
    4
    -
    -
    2
    9
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    16.08.26
    Eliteserien
    Aalesunds
    Aalesunds
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    2.09
    3.45
    10
    5
    11
    10
    0
    1
    5
    5
    4
    2
    1
    3
    2.09
    3.45
    10
    5
    11
    10
    0
    1
    D
    08.08.26
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    1.12
    1.99
    8
    8
    12
    9
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.12
    1.99
    8
    8
    12
    9
    1
    0
    L
    31.07.26
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    1
    Hamarkameratene
    Hamarkameratene
    0.96
    1.21
    3
    3
    18
    23
    3
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.96
    1.21
    3
    3
    18
    23
    3
    1
    L
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    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10.08%), 2-1 (9.35%), and 2-2 (7.09%). A 1-1 draw is considered the most probable outcome, though the gap between the top three options is small, reflecting how unpredictable and open this match could be.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Fewer than four goals have been scored in 9 of Sarpsborg's last 10 matches - low-scoring games are the norm for them. Vålerenga are also limited in this fixture: they have not scored more than two goals away from home in 11 consecutive head-to-head meetings. Sarpsborg themselves are even more restrained - they have scored more than one goal in just 1 of their last 7 Eliteserien matches. We are not expecting the total to go beyond three goals. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score - 1:1.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-125
    Published: 04/09/2026, 18:15
    Dmitry Kochergin
    Dmitry Kochergin
    Football expert
    12
    0
    5
    17 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Sarpsborg - Valerenga

    Sarpsborg have drawn in the 2nd half:
    sarpsborgin 7 of last 8 games (Eliteserien).
    2nd Half Draw
    +190
    Sarpsborg have scored under 2.5 goals:
    sarpsborgvalerenga-ifin 13 of last 15 games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).
    sarpsborgin 21 of last 22 games.
    sarpsborgin last 12 home games (Eliteserien).
    Sarpsborg Total goals Under (2,5)
    -286
    Sarpsborg have scored:
    sarpsborgin 8 of last 9 home games (Eliteserien).
    Valerenga have conceded:
    valerenga-ifin last 17 games.
    valerenga-ifin last 16 games (Eliteserien).
    valerenga-ifin 15 of last 16 away games (Eliteserien).
    Sarpsborg will score goal
    -833
    Valerenga have scored under 2.5 goals:
    sarpsborgvalerenga-ifin last 11 away games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    Valerenga Total goals Under (2,5)
    -526
    View more facts

    Sarpsborg - Valerenga Table position

    Eliteserien 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    1873827-2624
    9.
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1865720-2323
    10.
    Hamarkameratene
    Hamarkameratene
    1865726-3223
    11.
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    1863931-3821
    12.
    Sandefjord
    Sandefjord
    1854915-2319

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 9
    +4
    +2
    28 - Scored
    26 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    28
    9
    Conceded
    26
    2.2
    Match goals average
    5.4
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.8
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.6
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    32'
    View all stats