Juve Stabia vs Monza Prediction 16 May 2026
📢 Juve Stabia and Monza kick off their semifinal showdown, each vying for a spot in the Serie A promotion final. The opening leg takes place on Juve Stabia’s home turf, making it crucial for the hosts to secure a positive result ahead of the return fixture. Monza enter this stage with more pedigree, but the playoffs are rarely straightforward. Beyond the difference in quality, much will hinge on which side can handle the pressure of this two-legged tie.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Monza):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
📊 Juve Stabia and Monza have officially faced off just twice in their history.
Head-to-head statistics Juve Stabia - Monza
Juve Stabia Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Modena, away team - Juve Stabia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Juve Stabia vs Modena):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Juve Stabia play a cautious brand of football, particularly at home-just two defeats in 22 matches on their own turf highlight their reliability. Over their last five outings, they have recorded three draws and only one win. This underlines just how tough it is for opponents to break down their defence, but it also points to Juve Stabia’s struggles when it comes to closing out matches. With an average of 1.15 goals scored and conceded per game, the stats back up their tendency towards low-scoring encounters.
Match Results: Juve Stabia
Monza Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Monza, away - Empoli). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Monza vs Empoli):
- ball possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
Monza head into the upcoming fixture on the back of three wins, one loss, and one draw. These results highlight that even clear favourites can experience spells of inconsistency. Over the course of the season, Monza have maintained a strong goal difference: they average 1.61 goals per match while boasting a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.84 per game. However, even at their best, Monza rarely find themselves involved in high-scoring encounters.
Match Results: Monza
Latest news
Juve Stabia
Gregorio Moracchioli remains a doubt for the hosts.
Monza
Monza head into the match with a full-strength squad.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Juve Stabia vs Monza
- matches played in the tournament: 39 vs 38;
- wins: 12 vs 22;
- win percentage: 31% vs 58%;
- losses: 9 vs 6;
- draws: 18 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
- Juve Stabia won with a +1.5 handicap in last 25 home games (Serie B).
- Juve Stabia won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Juve Stabia vs Monza
- average total in the tournament: 2.31 vs 2.45;
- average total goals scored: 1.15 vs 1.61;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.66;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.51 vs 0.95;
- Juve Stabia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.32;
- Monza: average total away in the tournament - 1.42;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.4) vs 1.7 (away - 1.6).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Juve Stabia games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Juve Stabia vs Monza
- number of matches played in the tournament: 39 vs 38;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 21 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Juve Stabia at home - 9 (47%);
- number of BTTS matches for Monza away - 10 (53%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Juve Stabia at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Monza away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (60/382, 15.7%);
- Juve Stabia at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:0 (3/19, 15.8%);
- Monza away most often play: 1:1 (3/19, 15.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.38% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 11.85% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 8.93% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Monza remain clear favorites even on the road, boasting a stronger squad and overall quality compared to Juve Stabia. However, the hosts are well aware of this dynamic: if they open up and allow Monza space to attack, their chances of advancing could take a major hit after just the first leg. That’s why it makes sense to expect a cautious approach from Juve Stabia, focusing on a compact defense and aiming to keep the tie alive ahead of the return fixture. Recent matches back up this logic-Juve Stabia’s last six Serie B games have all featured no more than two goals. In this context, backing under 2.5 goals looks like a well-founded prediction. A 1-1 draw is a possible outcome.
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Betting Tips: Juve Stabia - Monza
in 8 of last 9 games (Serie B).
in 20 of last 22 home games (Serie B).in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie B).in 13 of last 14 games (Serie B).in 7 of last 8 Juve Stabia home games (Serie B).in 6 of last 7 Monza games (Serie B).
in 13 of last 14 Giovanni Ayroldi games.in last 12 Giovanni Ayroldi games (in the Serie B).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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