Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 May 2026
📢 In the upcoming fixture, Chelyabinsk are set to face Shinnik, with both sides arriving in sharply contrasting form. The hosts have struggled for consistency, managing just one win in their last ten matches, alongside five defeats and four draws. Meanwhile, Shinnik are unbeaten in their previous eleven games, displaying impressive defensive solidity throughout this run. In the league standings, the teams sit close to each other: Chelyabinsk are tenth, while Shinnik occupy eighth place.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 01 November 2025 and ended with a score of 1:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Shinnik Yaroslavl):
- ball possession percentage: 35% vs 65%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1.
📊 Officially, Chelyabinsk and Shinnik have faced off just once.
Head-to-head statistics Chelyabinsk - Shinnik
Chelyabinsk Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Football National League tournament (home team - Rodina Moscow, away team - Chelyabinsk). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Chelyabinsk vs Rodina Moscow):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 0 vs 4.
Chelyabinsk are enduring a tough stretch this season: with just one win and five defeats in their last ten outings, the team are clearly struggling for form. Over the past five rounds, they have suffered three losses, recorded one draw, and celebrated victory only once. Their attack has been inconsistent-averaging just 0.9 goals per game in this span, noticeably below their season average of 1.21. Defensively, Chelyabinsk have also regressed, conceding 1.5 goals per match across the last ten fixtures compared to 1.15 over the full campaign. These numbers highlight a lack of balance across the squad and underline their difficulties picking up points, even against similarly matched opponents.
Match Results: Chelyabinsk
Shinnik Yaroslavl Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Football National League tournament (home team - Shinnik Yaroslavl, away - Torpedo Moscow). The match ended with a score of 1:1.
Here are the game statistics (Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moscow):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 1.
Shinnik are enjoying an impressive unbeaten run, with four wins and six draws in their last ten outings-a testament to the squad’s mental resilience. Their biggest improvement has come at the back: they now concede just 0.5 goals per game on average, compared to their season figure of 0.79, highlighting the newfound solidity in defence. Meanwhile, their attacking output has remained steady-at this stage of the competition, the visitors are averaging 1.2 goals per match, slightly above the league average of 0.97. This level of consistency gives them every reason to expect a positive result.
Match Results: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Latest news
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk will have to do without Khetag Kochiev, as the defender is suspended for this match following a red card.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik head into the match with a full-strength squad and no injury concerns.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
- matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- wins: 10 vs 11;
- win percentage: 30% vs 33%;
- losses: 10 vs 8;
- draws: 13 vs 14.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 0;
- draws: 4 vs 6.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1;
- both teams scored: overall - 0; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
- average total in the tournament: 2.36 vs 1.76;
- average total goals scored: 1.21 vs 0.97;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.61 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.61 vs 0.42;
- Chelyabinsk: average total at home in the tournament - 1.69;
- Shinnik Yaroslavl: average total away in the tournament - 0.69;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.2) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Chelyabinsk home games (Football National League).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Chelyabinsk games (Football National League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Chelyabinsk at home - 9 (56%);
- number of BTTS matches for Shinnik Yaroslavl away - 7 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Chelyabinsk at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Shinnik Yaroslavl away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (47/296, 15.9%);
- Chelyabinsk at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/16, 18.8%);
- Shinnik Yaroslavl away most often play: 0:0 (5/16, 31.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.93% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 13.23% (odds 5.9)
0:0 - 12.09% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Chelyabinsk come into this one as favourites, but the outcome is far from clear-cut. Shinnik are in good form and will be eager to avoid ending their season on a sour note. With little at stake for either side in terms of league position, we can expect a more open contest, free from excessive caution or tactical conservatism. Recent Chelyabinsk fixtures have tended to be high-scoring affairs as well: at least two goals have been scored in seven of their last eight First League matches. Given these factors, backing over 2 goals seems like a well-founded prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Chelyabinsk - Shinnik Yaroslavl
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