Crystal Palace vs Man City Prediction 17 May 2025
🔊 Who will lift the FA Cup? Manchester City are having a lackluster season compared to previous years under Pep Guardiola. Nevertheless, they are on the verge of adding another trophy to their collection. However, Crystal Palace arguably need it more. The Eagles haven't secured a major title in quite some time, and this represents their only chance to qualify for European competitions next season, specifically the Europa League. It's worth noting that the FA Cup winner will also face Liverpool, the Premier League champions, in the Community Shield. The level of motivation for both sides is sky-high. Therefore, we will explore different scenarios to make an insightful prediction. It's important to note that the match will take place at Wembley.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over their last 37 head-to-head encounters, Manchester City hold the upper hand with a 62% win rate. However, Crystal Palace have recently proven to be a challenging opponent for them. The Citizens have struggled to secure victories, often dropping points at Selhurst Park. This season was no exception, ending in a 2-2 draw. Crystal Palace took the lead twice, but the Mancunians fought back each time. The London side opened the scoring and even doubled their lead at the Etihad, only to concede five goals in return.
When Manchester City do overcome Crystal Palace, it's usually thanks to their second-half performance. They've only managed to win the first half in one of their last nine matches against Palace. Thus, a promising option could be betting on Crystal Palace not losing the 1st half.
Head-to-head statistics Crystal Palace - Man City
Crystal Palace Team Overview
🔵 After heavy defeats to Manchester City and Newcastle in mid-April, the team managed to regroup and put together a five-match unbeaten run. Most of these ended in draws. Nevertheless, Crystal Palace held their own against much higher-ranked Arsenal (2-2) and Nottingham Forest (1-1). In the last round, they even defeated Tottenham in the London derby (2-0) thanks to a brace from Eberechi Eze. Notably, the England international has now scored in four consecutive matches.
🏆 Eze also found the net against Aston Villa in the FA Cup semi-final at Wembley. His goal liberated the team, who went on to secure a commanding victory with a brace from Ismaila Sarr (3-0). This was even after Jean-Philippe Mateta missed a penalty! It's worth mentioning that Crystal Palace had a relatively easy path in the FA Cup, with Fulham (3-0) being the only strong opponent before the semi-finals.
Match Results: Crystal Palace
Manchester City Team Overview
⚪ Manchester City's last defeat came at the hands of Nottingham Forest in early March. Since then, they've been on a 10-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. Their early exit from the Champions League has contributed to their improved form. Currently, the Citizens sit fourth in the Premier League standings and have yet to secure their spot in Europe's premier club competition. However, they still have a chance to finish second, especially with Arsenal and Newcastle facing off in the upcoming round.
🔗 Last week, though, City received a wake-up call as they struggled to break down Southampton, the season's main underdog. Despite their usual dominance, with over 70% possession, 26 shots on goal, and 15 corners, they failed to score. The result was a goalless draw.
🏆 In the FA Cup semi-final, City avenged their Premier League loss to Nottingham Forest with a 2-0 victory. The match bore similarities as the Citizens dominated while the Forest played on the counterattack. However, Pep's side found the net as early as the second minute, which allowed them to control the game. This marked the beginning of a clean sheet streak that now spans three matches.
Match Results: Manchester City
Latest news
Crystal Palace
📣 Crystal Palace defender Maxence Lacroix is determined to secure a victory over Manchester City: “It feels great stepping onto Wembley with such a win against a big club like Tottenham Hotspur, who are also in the Europa League final. I believe it boosts our mentality, and we aim to show the same performance against Manchester City this Saturday.”
❌ Cheick Doucouré and Chadi Riad will miss the upcoming match due to long-term injuries. Adam Wharton sat out one game, but the midfielder might still recover in time for the FA Cup final.
Manchester City
📣 Pep Guardiola is not satisfied with the season, despite reaching the FA Cup final: “Winning the FA Cup won't make this season a success, and I've said this many times. Of course, it would minimize the damage, but we can't call this season a good one if we finish in the top five and qualify for the Champions League. The club needs to make decisions, the right ones, to perform better next season.”
❌ Nathan Ake, Rodri, John Stones, and Oscar Bobb remain unavailable. Some of the players have returned to training, but they won't be taking the field anytime soon.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The FA Cup final will be officiated by Stuart Attwell. This season, he has overseen 21 matches across various competitions, averaging 4.14 yellow cards per game. Notably, in his last match before the final, Bournemouth faced Aston Villa, where Attwell issued 10 cards, including one red. However, in 12 of his last 16 matches, there were fewer than five cautions.
In matches involving Crystal Palace this season, there have been an average of 4.4 yellow cards. Manchester City trails slightly behind with an average of 3.8. In their last head-to-head clash in April, players received five cautions. With the heightened tension of a final, considering the referee's statistics, a bet on over 3.5 total yellow cards seems reasonable.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Manchester City have scored just once in their last two matches. However, prior to that, they netted at least two goals in 7 out of 8 games. The exception was the Manchester derby, where neither side found the back of the net. Additionally, the Citizens have scored at least twice in five consecutive FA Cup matches. Therefore, it's worth considering a bet on Manchester City over 1.5 total goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Crystal Palace average 4.4 corners per match this season, achieving at least four corners in 6 of their last 7 games. They reached this mark in both head-to-head encounters with City this season. Given that the Eagles are considered underdogs in the final, they are likely to be trailing and will need to attack more. In such a scenario, a bet on Crystal Palace over 3.5 total corners has a strong chance of success.
Editorial Prediction
While triumph in the FA Cup won't salvage a disappointing season for the Citizens, it will certainly brighten it up a bit. The team is currently in solid form, and Crystal Palace should be a manageable opponent for them. Our main bet recommendation is on Manchester City's individual total over 1.5 goals, which has been successful in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head encounters between these teams. We predict the match will end with a scoreline of 1-3.
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Betting Tips: Crystal Palace - Manchester City
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