Penafiel vs Lusitania Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 15 November 2026
Penafiel go into the match as league leaders, sitting first with 22 points after ten rounds. Lusitania are fourth, three points outside the automatic promotion places, which gives them an incentive to push for a result. Both teams have been scoring freely in recent matches, and the latest trends point to both sides finding the net. The league standings and both teams’ form suggest this could be an open, eventful match.
Head-to-Head
Penafiel beat Lusitania 2-0 in their Segunda meeting. Despite equal possession, the visitors launched more dangerous attacks - 45 to 31 - but failed to score.
In three competitive meetings, the teams have won once each and drawn once. Penafiel have a narrow 4-3 advantage in goals scored.
Head-to-head statistics Penafiel - Lusitania
Penafiel Team Overview
Penafiel won their latest Segunda match away to Chaves, 3-2. Both sides had four shots on target, but the visitors scored one more goal.
Penafiel are firmly at the top of the table and in contention for promotion. They have won eight of their last ten matches and lost two, while winning three of their last five. Penafiel average 2.2 goals per game and concede around one goal per match. The hosts are consistent in attack, but their defence is not always flawless, and they sometimes concede even in matches they win.
Match Results: Penafiel
SC Lusitania Team Overview
Lusitania lost 1-0 away to Feirense in their previous Segunda match, despite having more possession (60% to 40%), shots (15 to 8) and corners (12 to 5).
Lusitania are fourth, pursuing the leaders and remaining in the race for direct promotion. In their last ten matches, the visitors have five wins, four draws and one defeat, while their last five have brought one win, three draws and one defeat. They score an average of 1.5-1.7 goals per game and concede just under one. The trends point to defensive inconsistency: Lusitania score and concede in almost every match, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Match Results: SC Lusitania
Prediction for the 1st half
Lusitania have conceded in the first half in six consecutive Segunda matches. This is a direct argument in favour of Penafiel scoring before the break, although there are no separate first-half goalscoring statistics for the hosts. We pick Penafiel First-Half Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 2.03.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Lusitania have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches. They have also scored in 13 of their last 14 matches, while Penafiel have scored in 16 of their last 17 Segunda matches. However, Penafiel concede an average of just 0.8 goals at home, which limits confidence in the prediction. We pick Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.78.
Safer Bet
Over 1.5 goals were scored in 9 of Lusitania’s last 10 matches, while over 2.5 were scored in 6 of Penafiel’s last 7 Segunda matches. Lusitania have scored in 13 of their last 14 matches. On that basis, we pick Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.34.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:1 (13.98%), 1:0 (10.46%) and 0:0 (8.78%). Of these, 1:1 is the most likely. The probability of 1:0 is 3.52 percentage points lower, while that of 0:0 is 5.20 percentage points lower.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Penafiel have avoided defeat in eight of their last nine Segunda matches and won seven of their 10 league matches this season. They are on a run of three straight wins, while the visitors have not won any of their last three league matches. Our pick is Penafiel - Handicap 0.
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Betting Tips: Penafiel - SC Lusitania
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