Penafiel vs Lusitania Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 February 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Penafiel and Lusitania. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 18:00 16 February. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril stadium in the city of Penafiel. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 13 September 2025 and ended with a score of 0:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Lusitania):
- ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1.
📊The teams Penafiel and Lusitania have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 13 September 2025 at the home ground of Lusitania and ended with a score of 0:0.
Head-to-head statistics Penafiel - Lusitania

Penafiel Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 6 February 2026 as part of the Segunda Liga tournament (home team - Chaves, away team - Penafiel). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Penafiel vs Chaves):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 20 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
- 6 wins,
- 10 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Penafiel stands at a mid-tier position within the Segunda Liga standings, with a win percentage of 29% and a loss percentage of 48%.
⚽️Penafiel has scored a total of 18 goals. On the defensive end, Penafiel has allowed 22 goals over the season.
Match Results: Penafiel

SC Lusitania Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 7 February 2026 as part of the Segunda Liga tournament (home team - Lusitania, away - Felgueiras). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Lusitania vs Felgueiras):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 17 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
- 8 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 7 draws.
📈Currently, Lusitania stands at a mid-tier position within the Segunda Liga standings, with a win percentage of 38% and a loss percentage of 29%.
⚽Lusitania has scored a total of 31 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 33 goals over the season.
Match Results: SC Lusitania
Match Result Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Penafiel vs Lusitania
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 6 vs 8;
- win percentage: 29% vs 38%;
- losses: 10 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 6 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- SC Lusitania have not lost in last 5 away games (Segunda Liga).
Total Goals Prediction
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Penafiel vs Lusitania
- average total in the tournament: 1.9 vs 3.05;
- average total goals scored: 0.86 vs 1.48;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.24 vs 0.57;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.62 vs 0.9;
- Penafiel: average total at home in the tournament - 0.63;
- Lusitania: average total away in the tournament - 1.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 0.6) vs 1.9 (away - 2.4).
- Penafiel have scored under 1.5 goals in last 11 games (Segunda Liga).
Corners Prediction
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 11.5 (2.5 - for home team and 9 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 13 (4 - for home team and 9 - for away team).
Penafiel: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.52; at home field - 4.88;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.4.
Lusitania: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.33, away - 4.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 3.
- Penafiel have taken under 6.5 corners in 19 of last 21 games (Segunda Liga).
- Penafiel have taken under 6.5 corners in 14 of last 16 games.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Penafiel vs Lusitania
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Penafiel at home - 2 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Lusitania away - 7 (70%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Penafiel at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Lusitania away - 4 (80%).
Correct Score Prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/190, 11.6%);
- Penafiel at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:2 , 1:2 (2/8, 25%);
- Lusitania away most often play: 1:2 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.19% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 10.06% (odds 7)
0:1 - 9.78% (odds 7.5)
Editorial Prediction
- SC Lusitania have not lost in last 5 away games (Segunda Liga).
