Leganes vs Burgos Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
🔊 Leganés go into the match on a run of poor results and sit close to the relegation zone, while Burgos remain firmly among the leading teams. The difference in recent form is clear: the hosts have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have not suffered a single defeat over that stretch. Their league objectives also differ - Leganés are fighting to stay in the league, while Burgos continue to chase the leaders midway through the season.
Burgos hold a narrow advantage
Burgos beat Leganes 2-1 in their Segunda head-to-head meeting on 31 January 2026, despite having less possession - 36% to 64% - and fewer shots - 8 to 11. Both teams had four shots on target.
In eight official meetings, Burgos have won four times, Leganes twice, and the other two matches ended in draws. At Leganes’ ground, Burgos’ advantage disappears: each team has one win, with two draws.
Head-to-head statistics Leganes - Burgos
Leganés: defensive chaos
Leganes won 1-0 away to Trival Valderas in their last match, a Copa del Rey fixture. The margin of victory was narrow despite a 20-7 advantage in shots. Only three of those shots were on target.
Leganés are going through a difficult spell, with just one win and four defeats in their last five matches. They have won only twice and lost seven times in their last ten games, averaging just 0.9 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. At home, Leganés have scored fewer than two goals in nine of their last ten matches, pointing to problems in attack. Their league position means they need to fight for points, but the defence regularly makes mistakes - a run of nine matches without a clean sheet confirms their vulnerability at the back.
Match Results: Leganes
Burgos: consistent results
Burgos were behind against Celta Vigo 2 at half-time but won 2-1 at home in their most recent Segunda match. The hosts had far more shots: 19 to 7.
Burgos are in strong form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. They have won seven of their last ten, losing only twice, while averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game point to a balance between attack and defence. Their aim in the standings is to stay close to first place, so they remain motivated to pick up points despite being in the middle of the season. Burgos won the most recent head-to-head meeting 2-1.
Match Results: Burgos
Match Result Prediction
Leganes have not won in seven consecutive matches and have lost 6 of their last 7. They have 3 wins and 7 defeats in 13 matches this season. Burgos have fared better, with 7 wins and 3 defeats over the same period. Given these results, we pick Burgos to Win or Draw at 1.56*.
High-Risk Bet
Leganés have lost 6 of their last 7 matches, while the visitors have recorded seven wins and three defeats this season. Burgos have won 2 of their 5 away matches. The hosts’ poor run suggests they could once again fail to pick up any points in the upcoming match. Therefore, our prediction is: Burgos to win at 3.32*.
Safer Bet
Burgos have not lost by two or more goals in 31 of their last 32 matches. Leganes are winless in seven consecutive matches and have recorded just two wins in six home matches this season. These figures provide grounds to back Burgos - Handicap +1.5 at 1.17*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13.18%), 1-0 (9.41%) and 0-1 (8.76%). Of these, a 1-1 draw is the most likely, but a narrow away win is also possible.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Form and statistics confirm the difference between the teams: Leganés are inconsistent and score few goals, while Burgos are on the up and make efficient use of their chances. The trend of the hosts scoring fewer than two goals at home in almost every match is consistent with their weak attack and regular difficulties creating chances. Even strong motivation from their league position does not help Leganés score more. Predicted exact score: 0-1. Main bet: Leganés Team Total Goals - Under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Leganes - Burgos
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