Corinthians vs Est. La Plata Prediction 17 September 2026
📢 The first leg of the Copa Libertadores quarter-final between Corinthians and Estudiantes delivered exactly what you'd expect from a Brazil-Argentina clash: plenty of battling, hard challenges, yellow cards and a combined 34 fouls. The final score kept the tie wide open at 1-1. On paper, that result suits Corinthians slightly better, as the second leg will be played at their ground. But home advantage alone may not be enough to see them through to the semi-finals.
Head-to-Head
📊 Last week's match was only the third meeting between these two sides. It's perfectly level so far: one win each and one draw. Interestingly, 1-1 is the highest-scoring result this pair have produced. Before that, Corinthians and Estudiantes met in 2023, when each side won their home fixture 1-0.
Head-to-head statistics Corinthians - Est. La Plata
Corinthians Team Overview
Corinthians go into the second leg in dreadful form. They have gone five matches without a win, losing four of them. The most recent was an away trip to Flamengo, where they lost 1-2, though the performance could have looked far worse by the numbers. The statistical gap was enormous: 3-31 in shots, 1-10 in shots on target, 1-6 in chances created and 0-20 in corners. Against that backdrop, a narrow defeat could almost be considered a fortunate outcome.
Corinthians can count themselves lucky that the first leg against Estudiantes ended in a draw within this run of defeats. They conceded as early as the fourth minute and looked the weaker side for much of the match. However, early in the second half they found their moment, equalised and ultimately held on for a 1-1 draw.
Match Results: Corinthians
Estudiantes de La Plata Team Overview
Estudiantes are far from comfortable either. In their Clausura group they sit just 11th, with 10 points from nine rounds. Their position was even worse before last weekend, but a 2-1 win over Platense lifted them up the table somewhat. That result was deserved, too - in terms of the quality of their play, the Argentines looked the more convincing side.
In the first meeting with Corinthians, Estudiantes also made the stronger overall impression. They outshot their opponents by two to one (14-7), were also ahead in shots on target (6-3), and created one more clear chance. However, they were unable to convert that superiority into a win.
Match Results: Estudiantes de La Plata
Latest news
Corinthians
Corinthians head into the match with several injury and availability concerns. Raniele will miss the game through suspension, André Ramalho is unavailable due to illness, and André and Yuri Alberto are both continuing their recovery from thigh injuries. Zakaria Labyad and Caike are out for the rest of the season after rupturing their cruciate ligaments.
Estudiantes de La Plata
Estudiantes also have their own injury concerns. Gastón Benedetti will miss the match through suspension after accumulating yellow cards, Ramiro Funes Mori is recovering from a thigh injury, and Lucas Alario and Thiago Palacios are both recovering from muscular injuries.
Total Goals Prediction
Corinthians have scored under 1.5 goals in each of their last 8 matches. Their average for the season is 1.11 goals per game, and 1.25 at home, both of which fall within the selected line. There is nothing to suggest this run is about to end, so a bet on Corinthians Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.5* looks justified.
Corners Prediction
Corinthians have had fewer than 5.5 corners in five consecutive Copa Libertadores matches. This consistent trend supports a bet on Corinthians Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at odds of 1.51*. No additional contradicting data on this market was found.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
In the bookmakers' view, Corinthians are considered favourites for the second leg. The logic is straightforward: their squad is slightly stronger, they have more experience in continental competition, and home advantage in South America traditionally carries significant weight. The problem is that the Brazilians' current form is far from optimal, which makes backing a result look risky. Total Goals - Under 2.5 looks the most sensible option. Estudiantes will almost certainly set up more cautiously away from home and focus heavily on defending. Corinthians, meanwhile, are too inconsistent in attack right now to breach that threshold on their own. The expected score in normal time is 0-0.
No comments
Betting Tips: Corinthians - Estudiantes de La Plata
in 8 of last 9 games (Copa Libertadores).
in 7 of last 8 games.in 8 of last 9 games (Copa Libertadores).in last 9 Corinthians games (Copa Libertadores).in 10 of last 11 Estudiantes de La Plata away games.in 6 of last 7 Estudiantes de La Plata games (Copa Libertadores).in 8 of last 9 games (Copa Libertadores).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
