Sacramento vs Lexington Prediction 16 August 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Sacramento Republic and Lexington. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 03:10 16 August. The tournament match will take place at the Papa Murphy's Park stadium in the city of Sacramento. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Lexington):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 5 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
📊 The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 2 against 2;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.33, in the 2nd half - 1;
- average total goals in the match - 1.33.
Head-to-head statistics Sacramento - Lexington

Sacramento Republic Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 8 August 2026 as part of the USL Championship tournament (home team - Pittsburgh Riverhounds, away team - Sacramento Republic). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here's the game statistics (Sacramento Republic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 4 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
- 7 wins,
- 5 losses,
- 6 draws.
📈Currently, Sacramento Republic stands at a mid-tier position within the USL Championship standings, with a win percentage of 39% and a loss percentage of 28%.
⚽️Sacramento Republic has scored a total of 24 goals. On the defensive end, Sacramento Republic has allowed 16 goals over the season.
Match Results: Sacramento Republic

Lexington Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 8 August 2026 as part of the USL Championship tournament (home team - Lexington, away - Phoenix Rising). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Lexington vs Phoenix Rising):
- ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 0.
- 8 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 4 draws.
📈Currently, Lexington stands at a mid-tier position within the USL Championship standings, with a win percentage of 44% and a loss percentage of 33%.
⚽Lexington has scored a total of 28 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 22 goals over the season.
Match Results: Lexington
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 3.
Statistics: Sacramento Republic vs Lexington
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 7 vs 8;
- win percentage: 39% vs 44%;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 6 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 7;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Lexington have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (USL Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.67, the guests - 0.67;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Sacramento Republic vs Lexington
- average total in the tournament: 2.22 vs 2.78;
- average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 1.56;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.78 vs 0.89;
- Sacramento Republic: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Lexington: average total away in the tournament - 1.38;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 2.33) vs 2.1 (away - 2.25).
- Lexington have scored in 10 of last 11 games (USL Championship).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.67 (6 - for home team and 2.67 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 12 (10 - for home team and 2 - for away team).
Sacramento Republic: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.17; at home field - 5.88;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.33.
Lexington: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.89, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 4.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Sacramento Republic vs Lexington
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Sacramento Republic at home - 4 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Lexington away - 5 (63%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Sacramento Republic at home - 1 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Lexington away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (26/230, 11.3%);
- Sacramento Republic at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Lexington away most often play: 0:0 , 1:4 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.27% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 9.6% (odds 6)
2:1 - 9.5% (odds 7.5)
Editorial Prediction
- Lexington have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (USL Championship).