Hearts vs Inverness Prediction 16 August 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 In the Scottish League Cup last 16, Hearts will host Inverness at Tynecastle Park. It is the home side's first cup match of the season after entering the competition at the play-off stage, while Inverness went through the group stage unbeaten. The two teams come into this match in different situations: Hearts have already played two matches in the Premiership, while Inverness have just returned to the Championship after promotion from League 1.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Hearts and Inverness:

    • 27 matches played;
    • home wins - 10, away wins - 5, draws - 12;
    • goals - 43 vs 28;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.96, in the 2nd - 1.67;
    • average total goals per match - 2.63.

    Head-to-head statistics Hearts - Inverness

    39%
    11 Wins
    43%
    12 Draws
    18%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    28
    Total Goals Avg
    2.82
    Both teams scored
    57%
    1.75
    Total average
    1.07
    1.5
    Yellow cards
    1.54
    Last matches
    16.08.26
    League Cup
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Inverness
    Inverness
    -
    -
    8
    3
    9
    6
    1
    2
    6
    2
    1
    0
    5
    2
    -
    -
    8
    3
    9
    6
    1
    2
    25.07.21
    League Cup
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Inverness
    Inverness
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    13
    13
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    13
    13
    -
    -
    24.04.21
    Championship
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Inverness
    Inverness
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    26.02.21
    Championship
    Inverness
    Inverness
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    -
    -
    -
    -
    15
    18
    -
    -
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    15
    18
    -
    -
    07.11.20
    Championship
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Inverness
    Inverness
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
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    Heart of Midlothian Team Overview

    Hearts started the championship with a 1-2 defeat to Aberdeen, but made amends in front of their fans in the second round, thrashing Dundee United 4-0. The team went into the cup match on the back of a very convincing win in which they not only scored four goals but also kept a clean sheet.

    Hearts now have the chance to carry that momentum into the League Cup. The gap in quality between the sides is clear: the club plays in the Premiership and earned a direct place in the last 16 last season thanks to their European involvement. The hosts also had an extremely congested schedule: Hearts, like Hibernian and Motherwell, played a European match on 13 August, just a few days before the cup tie. Wouter Vrancken's side were knocked out of the Europa League qualifying rounds, losing to Benfica 2-7 on aggregate (1-6, 1-1).

    Hearts' main weapon remains their attack. Four goals against Dundee United showed the team is capable of building pressure quickly when given space between the lines. At Tynecastle Park, the hosts will surely look to settle the question of a quarter-final place in normal time, not allowing Inverness to drag the game into a nervy finish.

    Match Results: Heart of Midlothian

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Premiership
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    St. Johnstone
    St. Johnstone
    1.62
    0.92
    8
    4
    11
    14
    0
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.62
    0.92
    8
    4
    11
    14
    0
    0
    W
    26.08.26
    UECL
    Rapid Wien
    Rapid Wien
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    1
    2.53
    1.52
    13
    6
    20
    18
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    3
    4
    2.53
    1.52
    13
    6
    20
    18
    3
    3
    W
    20.08.26
    UECL
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Rapid Wien
    Rapid Wien
    0.97
    1.13
    4
    5
    8
    17
    1
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0.97
    1.13
    4
    5
    8
    17
    1
    3
    D
    16.08.26
    League Cup
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Inverness
    Inverness
    -
    -
    8
    3
    9
    6
    1
    2
    6
    2
    1
    0
    5
    2
    -
    -
    8
    3
    9
    6
    1
    2
    W
    13.08.26
    UEL
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    0.66
    1.39
    0
    11
    5
    13
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.66
    1.39
    0
    11
    5
    13
    1
    0
    D
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    Inverness Team Overview

    Inverness returned to the Championship after winning League 1 last season and started the new campaign with two draws. Scott Kellacher's side played out a 0-0 at home against Dunfermline, then repeated the same result away against Arbroath. After two rounds, Inverness have two points and are yet to score a single goal.

    In the League Cup, though, the team have already shown more attractive football. In the group stage, Inverness drew 1-1 with East Fife, then beat Linlithgow Rose 2-0, St Johnstone 1-0 and Morton 1-0. They conceded just one goal, so there is certainly no reason to talk about a weak defence.

    The problem lies elsewhere - in the step up to a completely different level of opposition. In the Championship, Inverness are yet to score, and now they face an away trip to one of the strongest sides in Scotland. The visitors' recent official results are genuinely impressive in terms of defensive solidity, but against Hearts they will have to defend far more and absorb sustained pressure.

    Match Results: Inverness

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Stenhousemuir
    Stenhousemuir
    Inverness
    Inverness
    -
    -
    9
    6
    7
    5
    1
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    6
    7
    5
    1
    4
    L
    21.08.26
    Championship
    Inverness
    Inverness
    Partick Thistle
    Partick Thistle
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    15
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    15
    1
    2
    D
    16.08.26
    League Cup
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Inverness
    Inverness
    -
    -
    8
    3
    9
    6
    1
    2
    6
    2
    1
    0
    5
    2
    -
    -
    8
    3
    9
    6
    1
    2
    L
    08.08.26
    Championship
    Arbroath
    Arbroath
    Inverness
    Inverness
    -
    -
    1
    6
    11
    13
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    6
    11
    13
    3
    3
    D
    01.08.26
    Championship
    Inverness
    Inverness
    Dunfermline
    Dunfermline
    -
    -
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    1
    D
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    Total Prediction

    Head-to-head matches (average total):

    • home side - 1.59, away side - 1.04;
    • in head-to-head matches - 2.63;
    • both teams scored: all time - 15 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.
    Trends
    • Hearts have kept a clean sheet at home in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings between these sides.
    👉Prediction: Inverness will not score goal (odds: 1.8)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head matches:

    • played - 27;
    • both teams scored in all-time meetings - 15 times;
    • at the home team's ground - 7 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.65)

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Hearts look like the clear favourites here. The difference in class, home advantage and a higher match tempo should give the hosts the edge. Inverness are capable of keeping things interesting for a long time: the team had kept a clean sheet in their last five official matches, and in the League Cup group stage they conceded just once.

    But that may not be enough against Hearts. The hosts have just scored four goals against Dundee United and should enjoy territorial dominance from the opening minutes. On top of that, the head-to-head record favours them: in the last five meetings Hearts won four and drew one. So the hosts' class should tell at least twice, which makes Hearts win with handicap (-1.5) the optimal bet. Correct score prediction: 2-0.

    Heart of Midlothian Handicap (-1,5)
    Published: 15/08/2026, 07:52
    Levon Makoyan
    Levon Makoyan
    Football expert
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    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Heart of Midlothian - Inverness

    Heart of Midlothian have won the 2nd half:
    heart-of-midlothianinverness-caledonian-thistlein 8 of last 9 home games against Inverness.
    2nd Half Heart of Midlothian Win
    Everygame
    -200
    Inverness have drawn in the 2nd half:
    inverness-caledonian-thistlein last 5 games.
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +195
    Heart of Midlothian have won:
    heart-of-midlothianinverness-caledonian-thistlein 6 of last 7 games against Inverness.
    Heart of Midlothian Win
    Bovada
    -400
    Inverness have not lost:
    inverness-caledonian-thistlein 28 of last 29 games.
    inverness-caledonian-thistlein last 15 away games.
    Inverness will not lose
    Everygame
    +283
    View more facts

    Hearts - Inverness Table position

    Group stage Group F
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Inverness
    Inverness
    43105-111
    2.
    East Fife
    East Fife
    42207-39
    3.
    St. Johnstone
    St. Johnstone
    42116-27
    4.
    Linlithgow Rose
    Linlithgow Rose
    41032-73
    5.
    Greenock Morton
    Greenock Morton
    40040-70

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 22
    -3
    -1
    11 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    11
    22
    Conceded
    12
    4.1
    Match goals average
    2.3
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    49'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats