Waterford vs Derry City Prediction 15 May 2026
🔊 Waterford United are going through a rough patch this season, still searching for their first win and conceding over two goals per game on average. Derry City, meanwhile, are unbeaten in six of their last seven matches and sit higher up the table, a testament to their greater consistency. Given these stats, the defensive frailties of the hosts could prove decisive in shaping the outcome of this upcoming fixture.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between these sides took place on 27 February 2026 and ended in a 4-2 victory. Here’s a comparative breakdown from that match (Derry City were the home side):
- Possession: 66% vs 34%;
- Corners: 7 vs 2;
- Fouls: 11 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 13 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between Waterford United and Derry City:
- They have faced each other 44 times;
- The hosts have claimed 15 wins, while the visitors have come out on top 24 times, with 5 draws;
- Total goals scored: 47 for Waterford, 73 for Derry City;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.45; in the second half: 1.27;
- Average total goals per match: 2.73.
Head-to-head statistics Waterford - Derry City
Waterford United Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the Premier Division, with St Patrick's Athletic hosting Waterford United. The match ended in a 4-1 victory.
Here are the key match statistics (Waterford United vs St Patrick's Athletic):
- Possession: 31% vs 69%;
- Corners: 4 vs 7;
- Fouls: 14 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 11.
🔵 Waterford United have struggled for consistency at home, with seven of their last eight matches at their own ground finishing under 2.5 goals. This trend highlights a cautious approach, as the team rarely gets involved in high-scoring affairs in front of their fans. Despite this, they concede on average over two goals per match-defensive lapses remain an issue, while the attack converts roughly one chance per game. Over their last five fixtures, Waterford have suffered three defeats and picked up two draws, and they’re still searching for their first win of the season: after 16 rounds, the club have recorded six draws and nine losses.
Match Results: Waterford United
Derry City Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Premier Division, facing Drogheda United away from home. Derry City came out on top with a 1-0 victory.
Here are the key stats from that game (Derry City vs Drogheda United):
- Possession: 69% vs 31%
- Corners: 9 vs 1
- Fouls: 10 vs 7
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2
- Shots on target: 4 vs 2
🔴 Derry City sit fifth in the table, maintaining a fine balance between attack and defense-they have averaged both one goal scored and one conceded over their last ten matches. Their recent form is solid: two wins, two draws, and just one defeat from the last five outings, a clear improvement over their upcoming opponents. However, there’s a notable trend when Derry City play away from home: they have failed to win in seven of their last eight league fixtures on the road, despite often being viewed as favorites.
Match Results: Derry City
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 44;
- Home wins - 15, Away wins - 24, Draws - 5.
Stats: Waterford United vs Derry City
- Matches in this competition: 15 vs 16;
- Wins: 0 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 0% vs 25%;
- Losses: 9 vs 5;
- Draws: 6 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 0 vs 2;
- Losses: 6 vs 2;
- Draws: 4 vs 6.
- Waterford United have covered the +1.5 handicap at home in 16 of their last 17 head-to-heads against Derry City.
- Waterford United have covered the +1.5 handicap at home in 14 of their last 15 Premier Division meetings with Derry City.
- Waterford United have covered the +1.5 handicap at home in 11 of their last 12 Premier Division games.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average goals):
- Home side - 1.07, Away side - 1.66;
- Overall in H2H - 2.73;
- Both teams have scored: all-time - 22 times; at Waterford’s ground - 11 times.
Average goals stats: Waterford United vs Derry City
- This competition: 3 vs 2.38;
- Goals scored: 0.87 vs 1.19;
- First half: 0.4 vs 0.44;
- Second half: 0.47 vs 0.75;
- Waterford United home average - 0.86;
- Derry City away average - 0.75;
- Last 10 matches: Waterford - 1 (home - 1.25) vs Derry City - 1 (away - 0.86).
- Waterford United have scored under 1.5 goals at home in 8 of their last 9 Premier Division matches.
- Waterford United have netted fewer than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 Premier Division fixtures.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 44;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 22 times;
- At Waterford’s ground - 11 times.
Stats: Waterford United vs Derry City
- Games played in this competition: 15 vs 16;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 8 vs 10;
- Waterford United BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
- Derry City BTTS away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS games: 6 vs 6;
- Waterford United BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Derry City BTTS away - 4 (57%).
- Waterford United have both scored and conceded in five consecutive Premier Division head-to-heads with Derry City.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (11/78, 14.1%);
- Waterford United’s most frequent home result: 1-1 (3/7, 42.9%);
- Derry City’s most common away scores: 0-0, 1-0 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistical models and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
0-1 - 14.12% (odds: 7)
1-1 - 11.23% (odds: 7)
1-2 - 9.62% (odds: 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Waterford United's home stats reveal a clear trend towards low-scoring affairs-only one of their last eight matches at home has seen over 2.5 goals. Despite conceding a fair number overall, Waterford tend to keep things tight and conservative on their own turf, with most games featuring few goals. Even factoring in Derry City’s superior quality, the visitors themselves rarely light it up on the road-their away scoring average remains modest. Given the current form and numbers from both sides, backing under 2.5 goals looks like a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: Waterford United - Derry City
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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