Derry City vs Waterford Prediction 3 July 2026
🔊 Derry City comes into this match on a run of inconsistent results and with minimal competitive motivation: the team is 9 points behind the European qualification places and the season is already in its later stages, while Waterford United are in the relegation zone and remain highly motivated as they are just three points away from the relegation playoff spot; both sides have shown a lack of stability in recent matches, which creates conditions for an unpredictable scenario with a tendency toward goals from both teams.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 15 May 2026 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown from that fixture, with Waterford United playing at home:
- Possession: 37% vs 63%;
- Corners: 4 vs 3;
- Fouls committed: 12 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊 Head-to-head stats for official meetings between Derry City and Waterford United:
- They have faced off 45 times;
- The hosts have claimed 24 wins, the visitors 15, with 6 draws;
- Goals scored: 75 for Derry City, 49 for Waterford United;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.44, in the second half: 1.31;
- Average total goals per match: 2.76.
Head-to-head statistics Derry City - Waterford
Derry City Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in the Premier Division, with Derry City hosting Drogheda United. The match ended with a score of 2-0.
Key match statistics (Derry City vs Drogheda United):
- Possession: 57% vs 43%;
- Corners: 7 vs 5;
- Fouls: 12 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 0.
Derry City have picked up two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches, maintaining a modest scoring rate-averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.2 conceded per game over their previous ten outings. This season, Derry tend to play it safe: under 3.5 goals has landed in six of their last seven fixtures, and they've managed to score more than twice in a match just once across the last twenty rounds. At this stage of the campaign, Derry don’t look like contenders to climb the table-trailing the European spots by nine points, their ambitions are all but out of reach.
Match Results: Derry City
Waterford United Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Premier Division, taking on Dundalk away from home. The contest ended 3-2.
Here are the key stats from that clash (Waterford United vs Dundalk):
- Possession: 36% vs 64%;
- Corners: 3 vs 6;
- Fouls committed: 17 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 7.
Waterford United are rooted to the bottom of the table and find themselves in a desperate fight for survival-motivation is certainly not in short supply. The side have been inconsistent, recording three wins, one draw, and four defeats in their last ten outings. However, their attacking output stands out: Waterford average 1.9 goals scored per game while conceding two over that same stretch, a significantly better scoring rate than their rivals. Notably, Waterford have found the net in eight of their last nine fixtures, underlining an aggressive approach up front-even if their defensive frailties remain a concern.
Match Results: Waterford United
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 45;
- First-half wins: home side - 10, away side - 6, draws - 6;
- Average first-half total goals: 1.44;
- Today’s hosts average 0.84 goals in the first half, visitors - 0.6.
First-half stats: Derry City (home) vs Waterford United (away)
- Matches played in the competition: 11 vs 11;
- Wins: 3 (27.27%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- Losses: 5 (45.45%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- Draws: 3 (27.27%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- Average goals scored: 1.09 vs 2;
- Average goals conceded: 0.64 vs 1.18.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 3 vs 2;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.9 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 1.1).
- Waterford United have conceded in the first half in 11 of their last 12 Premier Division matches.
- Waterford United have allowed a first-half goal in six consecutive away games (Premier Division).
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Played - 45;
- Home wins - 24, Away wins - 15, Draws - 6.
Stats: Derry City vs Waterford United
- Matches in competition: 24 vs 22;
- Wins: 6 vs 3;
- Win percentage: 25% vs 14%;
- Losses: 7 vs 11;
- Draws: 11 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 3;
- Losses: 3 vs 4;
- Draws: 5 vs 3.
- Waterford United have covered a +1.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 Premier Division fixtures.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.67, Away side - 1.09;
- Average total in direct meetings - 2.76;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 23 times; at the home ground - 11 times.
Average total goals stats: Derry City vs Waterford United
- In the league: 2.38 vs 3.27;
- Goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.27;
- First half: 0.46 vs 0.55;
- Second half: 0.79 vs 0.73;
- Derry City at home in the league - 1.73;
- Waterford United away in the league - 1.27;
- Last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 1.9 (away - 1.6).
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in the last six head-to-head meetings in the Premier Division.
- Over 2.5 goals has also hit in five consecutive head-to-heads at Derry City's ground.
- Waterford United have seen over 2.5 goals in eight of their last nine Premier Division matches.
Corners Prediction
Derry City: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 5.83; at home - 7.09;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 5.7; at home - 6.8.
Waterford United: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 4.68; away - 4.36;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 4.3; away - 3.4.
- Waterford United have taken fewer than 3.5 corners away from home in six of the last seven head-to-heads in the Premier Division.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Played - 45;
- Both teams have scored overall - 23 times;
- At Derry City's ground - 11 times.
Stats: Derry City vs Waterford United
- Matches played in the league: 24 vs 22;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 13;
- Derry City BTTS at home - 7 (64%);
- Waterford United BTTS away - 7 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS games: 6 vs 7;
- Derry City BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Waterford United BTTS away - 4 (80%).
- Derry City have both scored and conceded in six consecutive head-to-heads against Waterford United in the Premier Division.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results (current season):
- The most frequent scoreline in the league: 1:1 (14/113, 12.4%);
- Derry City's most common home result: 2:2 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Waterford United's most common away result: 2:0 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm suggests the top three likely outcomes:
2:1 - 10.95% (odds: 8)
1:0 - 10.14% (odds: 7.5)
2:0 - 9.72% (odds: 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match narrative centers on the visitors' urgent need to pick up points in their fight for survival, while the hosts approach this fixture with little at stake and rarely produce dominant wins or blowouts. Derry City consistently feature in matches with under 3.5 goals, and their attack rarely scores more than twice per game-even at home. While the visitors have shown efficiency in front of goal, both sides typically favor a cautious style and avoid taking unnecessary risks. Our main prediction: Waterford United (+1.5) handicap.No comments
Betting Tips: Derry City - Waterford United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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