Bari vs Sudtirol Prediction
Bari and Südtirol kick off their relegation play-off battle for Serie B survival, where every mistake carries far greater consequences than in a regular fixture. In matches like these, sides rarely show their full hand from the opening whistle, but nerves and pressure often lead to errors. The hosts benefit from home advantage, yet that alone hardly puts them in a comfortable position. Südtirol also know that even a single positive moment on the road could dramatically shift the balance ahead of the return leg.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - SSC Bari):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams SSC Bari and Sudtirol:
- played 11 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 5, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 8 against 10;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.55, in the 2nd half - 1.09;
- average total goals in the match - 1.64.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
SSC Bari Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - US Catanzaro, away team - SSC Bari). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.
Here's the game statistics (SSC Bari vs US Catanzaro):
- ball possession: 25% vs 75%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 8;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📢 Bari have endured an inconsistent campaign, picking up just ten wins from 38 matches while suffering defeat on eighteen occasions. They managed two victories in their last five outings, but those came after a run of three straight losses. Over their previous ten games, Bari have averaged 1.3 goals per match, yet their defence has conceded two goals per game-a clear sign of the team’s main vulnerability. This suggests that their attacking output is limited and that maintaining a consistently high conversion rate is out of reach for Bari, even when facing unpredictable opponents.
Match Results: SSC Bari
Sudtirol Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Sudtirol, away - Juve Stabia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
Südtirol wrapped up the season with just eight wins, seventeen draws, and thirteen defeats, underlining their tendency to grind out hard-fought games that often end with points shared. Over their last five fixtures, the team suffered three losses and picked up two draws, highlighting a noticeable dip in form as the campaign drew to a close. The ten-match stretch looks even more concerning: Südtirol failed to win a single game, recording six defeats and four draws. Offensively, they averaged just 0.7 goals per match, while conceding nearly two per outing during this run-a clear sign of their ongoing struggles to create chances up front.
Match Results: Sudtirol
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 11;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.55;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.27, while the visitors net 0.27.
First-Half Stats: SSC Bari (home) vs Sudtirol (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 3 (15.79%) vs 5 (26.32%);
- losses: 5 (26.32%) vs 9 (47.37%);
- draws: 11 (57.89%) vs 5 (26.32%);
- Average goals scored: 1.11 vs 1.16;
- Average goals conceded: 0.58 vs 0.79.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 0;
- losses: 2 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 1.1).
- SSC Bari have drawn in the 1st half in last 9 games against Sudtirol (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 5, draws - 3.
Statistics: SSC Bari vs Sudtirol
- matches played in the tournament: 38 vs 38;
- wins: 10 vs 8;
- win percentage: 26% vs 21%;
- losses: 18 vs 13;
- draws: 10 vs 17.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 0;
- losses: 6 vs 6;
- draws: 0 vs 4.
- Sudtirol have not won in last 10 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.73, the guests - 0.91;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.64;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: SSC Bari vs Sudtirol
- average total in the tournament: 2.58 vs 2.26;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.47 vs 0.53;
- SSC Bari: average total at home in the tournament - 1.21;
- Sudtirol: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.8) vs 0.7 (away - 1).
- SSC Bari have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against Sudtirol (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.36 (6.18 - for home team and 4.18 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11.5 (7.33 - for home team and 4.17 - for away team).
SSC Bari: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.45; at home field - 4.32;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; at home field - 4.8.
Sudtirol: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.39, away - 3.84;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 3.25.
- Sudtirol have taken under 5.5 corners in last 6 away games against SSC Bari.
- Sudtirol have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: SSC Bari vs Sudtirol
- number of matches played in the tournament: 38 vs 38;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 20 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for SSC Bari at home - 11 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sudtirol away - 11 (58%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for SSC Bari at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Sudtirol away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (60/382, 15.7%);
- SSC Bari at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (4/19, 21.1%);
- Sudtirol away most often play: 1:1 (7/19, 36.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.41% (odds 6)
1:0 - 8.67% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 7.93% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Bari enter the first leg as slight favourites thanks to home advantage, but that edge appears rather fragile. In this playoff clash, the hosts need a composed performance, yet their defensive issues-particularly after the break-remain a major concern. Bari have conceded in the second half in nine of their last ten league matches, so Südtirol will likely fancy their chances once the game opens up and nerves begin to show. In this context, backing Südtirol to score in the second half looks like a well-founded prediction. A 1-1 draw is a plausible outcome.
Betting Tips: SSC Bari - Sudtirol
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
