Aston Villa vs PSG Prediction

    🔊 Who will secure a spot in the semifinals? On April 16th, Birmingham will host the second leg of the Champions League quarterfinals between Aston Villa and PSG. The Parisians have established a comfortable lead ahead of their trip to England and are favored to win at Villa Park. Can the hosts reignite the drama?

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The previous match marked the first-ever meeting between the teams. PSG dominated the game and secured a 3-1 victory. 

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    50%
    1 Win
    Total games
    2
    Total Goals Avg
    4.5
    Both teams scored
    100%
    2
    Total average
    2.5
    3
    Corner
    7
    1
    Yellow cards
    0
    11.5
    Fouls
    6
    Last matches
    15.04.25
    UCL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.24
    1.71
    5
    5
    15
    3
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2.24
    1.71
    5
    5
    15
    3
    1
    0
    09.04.25
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.95
    0.72
    9
    1
    9
    8
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1.95
    0.72
    9
    1
    9
    8
    0
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Aston Villa Team Overview

    🦁 Aston Villa continue their quest for a Champions League spot next season. They've secured four consecutive victories in the Premier League, conceding just one goal. That goal came in a clash against Nottingham Forest (2-1), who sit higher in the standings. Last weekend, the Villans fielded their strongest lineup against Southampton. They dominated the match, increasing the pressure and netting three goals after the 70th minute (3-0). Meanwhile, Marco Asensio, on loan from PSG, missed two penalties.

    🔗 Villa have hit a purple patch, making them contenders in the Champions League quarterfinals. However, in Paris, they found themselves mostly on the defensive. Their pressing paid off when Morgan Rogers scored on a counterattack, marking Villa's first shot on target against PSG. After the break, they managed just one more, and that was it.

    📣 Aston Villa's head coach believes his team can advance to the semifinals: “A 2-1 or 3-1 result doesn't make much difference... We defended with medium and low blocks, and perhaps at home we can play differently. We can try to create more chances, keep possession, and dominate. We'll aim for the necessary result.”

    ❌ In the upcoming match, new signings Andres Garcia and Donyell Malen will be unavailable as they were left out of the Champions League squad. Leon Bailey is also likely to miss out, having been sidelined for four matches due to injury.

    Match Results: Aston Villa

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.32
    1.97
    9
    4
    8
    4
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1.32
    1.97
    9
    4
    8
    4
    1
    0
    W
    20.05.26
    Europa League
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    0.23
    1.91
    1
    8
    15
    15
    1
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.23
    1.91
    1
    8
    15
    15
    1
    3
    W
    15.05.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.47
    2
    8
    17
    8
    1
    1
    D
    07.05.26
    Europa League
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    3.08
    0.45
    6
    3
    13
    12
    0
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    3.08
    0.45
    6
    3
    13
    12
    0
    2
    W
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    Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

    🔵 PSG have clinched the Ligue 1 title ahead of schedule, remaining unbeaten throughout the campaign. The championship was secured by 19-year-old Désiré Doué, who netted the only goal against Angers. The forward has scored five goals in his last four matches, including one against Aston Villa. Meanwhile, Ousmane Dembélé's recent form has dipped, despite his impressive tally of 21 goals in 25 Ligue 1 matches, making him the league's top scorer. Notably, PSG skipped a league round to better prepare for their second-leg clash with Aston Villa.

    🔗 PSG held a significant advantage over the Villans in the first leg, taking 19 shots with three on target. However, clear-cut chances were limited. Nuno Mendes emerged as one of the match's standout performers, providing an assist and extending Paris' lead during stoppage time.

    📣 This season, PSG are competing without their usual star power but are still in the hunt for a treble. Luis Enrique commented, “I never said I didn’t need stars. What I need is a team. A team is what every coach seeks-a team full of good players.” The Spanish coach also shared his strategy for the return leg in Birmingham: “We will continue to attack. It’s the best way to maintain our advantage. My players understand this because they know me.”

    ✅ It's worth noting that the visitors are preparing for the match with a full squad available.

    Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    4
    3
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    L
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • number of wins: 7 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 64% vs 62%;
    • number of losses: 3 vs 4;
    • number of draws: 1 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 8 vs 9;
    • number of losses: 2 vs 1;
    • number of draws: 0 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Aston Villa won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 24 home games.
    • Aston Villa won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games (Champions League).
    • Aston Villa won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games.
    • Aston Villa won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 5 home games (Champions League).
    👉Prediction: Aston Villa Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.24)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 3;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.

    Statistics: Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain

    • average total in the tournament: 2.73 vs 3;
    • average total goals scored: 1.82 vs 2.15;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.85;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.18 vs 1.31;
    • Aston Villa: average total at home in the tournament -  2;
    • Paris Saint-Germain: average total away in the tournament - 1.83;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 2.33) vs 3.3 (away - 4.4).
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Aston Villa games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5)(odds: 1.71)

    Prediction on corners

    Aston Villa: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.73; at home field - 3.2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 6.33.

    Paris Saint-Germain: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.15, away - 5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.8; away - 7.2.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (11.5)(odds: 1.43)

    Prediction on cards

    Aston Villa: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.73; at home - 1.4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; at home - 0.67.

    Paris Saint-Germain: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.92, away - 1.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.8; away - 1.2.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (3.5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 5;
    • number of BTTS matches for Aston Villa at home - 1 (20%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Paris Saint-Germain away - 1 (17%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Aston Villa at home - 1 (33%);
    • BTTS matches for Paris Saint-Germain away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.53)

    Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the form of both teams and their recent performances, we can anticipate an intense match with high scoring potential. Given the trends, betting on over 2.5 goals seems like a solid choice, as this outcome has played out in Aston Villa's last six matches in a row. Unai Emery's side are unlikely to sit back, as it wouldn't make sense in this context, so expect an exciting game with at least three goals. 

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -141*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (13 April 2025, 19:24)

    Betting Tips: Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain

    Paris Saint-Germain have won the 2nd half
    paris-saint-germain-1in 9 of last 10 away games.
    2nd Half Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Everygame
    +135
    Aston Villa have drawn in the 1st half
    aston-villa-2in 9 of last 10 games (Champions League).
    aston-villa-2in 8 of last 9 games.
    aston-villa-2in last 5 home games (Champions League).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +150
    Aston Villa have won
    aston-villa-2in 8 of last 9 games.
    Aston Villa Win
    Bovada
    +215
    Paris Saint-Germain have won
    paris-saint-germain-1in 17 of last 18 games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 13 away games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 7 of last 8 games (Champions League).
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 4 away games (Champions League).
    Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Bovada
    +115
    View more facts

    Aston Villa - PSG Table position

    UEFA Champions League 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Lille
    Lille
    851217-1016
    8.
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    851213-616
    9.
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    843120-615
    14.
    PSV
    PSV
    842216-1214
    15.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    841314-913
    16.
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    841316-1213

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 24
    Conceded - 12
    +12
    +8
    20 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    6
    1
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    24
    Scored
    20
    12
    Conceded
    12
    3.6
    Match goals average
    3.2
    2.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    38'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats