Metz vs Toulouse Prediction 15 March 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Metz put an end to their prolonged losing streak at home? This Sunday, they have the chance to do so in the 26th round of Ligue 1 as they host Toulouse, who have also been struggling recently. Let's take a closer look at this matchup and make a prediction on the outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Toulouse have been quite successful against Metz, securing three clean-sheet victories in their last three head-to-head encounters, scoring eight unanswered goals. No wonder the bookmakers see the visitors as favorites for the upcoming match.

    Head-to-head statistics Metz - Toulouse

    21%
    6 Wins
    38%
    11 Draws
    41%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    29
    Total Goals Avg
    2.97
    Both teams scored
    45%
    1.21
    Total average
    1.76
    0.55
    Yellow cards
    0.93
    Last matches
    15.03.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    2.09
    1.68
    4
    4
    10
    13
    0
    3
    3
    4
    2
    3
    1
    1
    2.09
    1.68
    4
    4
    10
    13
    0
    3
    19.10.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Metz
    Metz
    1
    2.68
    0.16
    5
    1
    14
    11
    2
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.68
    0.16
    5
    1
    14
    11
    2
    1
    14.01.24
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    5
    2
    19
    17
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    19
    17
    3
    2
    01.10.23
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Metz
    Metz
    -
    -
    4
    6
    14
    9
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    14
    9
    3
    0
    28.09.19
    LI1
    Metz
    Metz
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    -
    -
    9
    18
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    9
    18
    -
    -
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    Metz Team Overview

    🔴 Metz are already bracing themselves for relegation from the top division, and it's hard to find anyone who believes in their salvation. With just 13 points accumulated this season, confidence in the club is at an all-time low. In their last eight matches, Benoît Tavenot's side have managed to secure only a single point. Their position at the bottom of the league table is a deserved reflection of their current form.

    ⚪ In their most recent league outing, Metz traveled to Lens and conceded three goals. Prior to that, Benoît Tavenot's men suffered defeats against Brest (0-1) and PSG (0-3). Across their last six encounters, Metz have found the net just once. How can they talk about survival when their attacking line is virtually non-existent?

    Match Results: Metz

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    Ligue 2
    Metz
    Metz
    1
    Stade Lavallois MFC
    Stade Lavallois MFC
    0.49
    0.50
    4
    7
    14
    16
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.49
    0.50
    4
    7
    14
    16
    0
    3
    D
    14.08.26
    Ligue 2
    Grenoble
    Grenoble
    Metz
    Metz
    0.70
    0.74
    1
    5
    12
    15
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.70
    0.74
    1
    5
    12
    15
    2
    2
    D
    08.08.26
    Ligue 2
    Metz
    Metz
    Guingamp
    Guingamp
    2.17
    1.15
    5
    3
    16
    10
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    2.17
    1.15
    5
    3
    16
    10
    2
    1
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Metz
    Metz
    Kaiserslautern
    Kaiserslautern
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    L
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Metz
    Metz
    Fortuna Sittard
    Fortuna Sittard
    -
    -
    4
    8
    10
    21
    1
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    8
    10
    21
    1
    3
    W
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 Toulouse are experiencing a rollercoaster season: at times, they string together victories and discuss potential European qualification, while at other times, they suffer consecutive defeats and nervously glance at the lower reaches of the standings. Currently, Carles Martinez's squad are in another slump, and how long it will last is anyone's guess.

    🔴 Toulouse's main issue at the moment is their lackluster attack. The team has managed to score just two goals in their last five league matches. The only bright spot is their progression to the French Cup semifinals, thanks to a penalty shootout victory over Marseille. However, such triumphs often distract from the club's real issues, and in Ligue 1, Toulouse's situation is dire and demands immediate attention.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.99
    1.06
    6
    5
    15
    15
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.99
    1.06
    6
    5
    15
    15
    1
    2
    L
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Hamburger
    Hamburger
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    13
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    13
    1
    3
    L
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Elche CF
    Elche CF
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    0
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    0
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    05.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Al Ain
    Al Ain
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    4
    2
    W
    31.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Metz

    📄 Metz CEO Frederic Arpinon has dismissed reports of defender Terry Yegbe's potential move to CSKA Moscow. "We haven't heard anything about CSKA's interest in Terry Yegbe. We haven't received any offers," Arpinon stated. This season, Yegbe has appeared in 17 matches for Metz, providing one assist. The player's current contract with the club runs until the summer of 2029, and according to Transfermarkt, his market value is 3 million euros.

    ❌ Metz could face significant setbacks ahead of their upcoming game against Toulouse with forwards Habib Diallo and Giorgi Kvilitaia potentially sidelined. Both featured in recent rounds, but local media reports suggest they have sustained injuries that require recovery time. There is currently no definitive information regarding their physical condition.

    Toulouse

    ❌ The participation of key midfielder Cristian Cásseres is doubtful after he picked up an injury in the last round. Additionally, Ilyas Azizi (knee injury), Charlie Cresswell (muscle injury), and Franck Magri (knee injury) are confirmed absentees for the match against Metz as they remain sidelined.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Gaël Angoula. Over his career of refereeing 85 matches, he averages 3.21 yellow cards per game, with 25 fouls. In Ligue 1 this season, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Metz averages 1.8 per game, while Toulouse averages 2. Opponents rarely receive bookings this season, and Gaël Angoula is not quick to issue them either, so we recommend betting on under 4.5 total yellow cards.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Metz's average individual total in the French championship is 0.9 goals per match, while Toulouse has a slightly higher figure of 1.3. Both teams struggle to score and show low productivity, so don't expect a goal fest from them. We suggest betting on under 2.5 total goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Over 25 matches in the French championship, Metz averages 4.1 corners per game, while Toulouse averages 4.8 in the same period. Both teams earn fewer corner kicks than the league average, so we recommend betting on under 9.5 total corners.

    Editorial Prediction

    It's hard to look at the attacking lines of both teams today without concern. Over their last five league matches, they've managed just three goals between them-it's difficult to imagine worse stats than that. We believe there won't be any surprises in the upcoming match, and the under 2.5 goals bet looks like a solid choice. As for the outcome, we're leaning towards a Toulouse victory, as they have defeated Metz in their last three encounters. The expected scoreline is a 1-0 win for the visitors.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-154
    Published: 14/03/2026, 12:20

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    Betting Tips: Metz - Toulouse

    Toulouse have drawn:
    fc-metztoulouse-fcin 4 of last 5 away games against Metz.
    Draw
    Bovada
    +230
    Metz have lost:
    fc-metzin 8 of last 9 games.
    fc-metzin 7 of last 8 games (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzin 6 of last 7 home games.
    fc-metzin 5 of last 6 home games (Ligue 1).
    Toulouse Win
    Bovada
    -106
    Toulouse have not won:
    toulouse-fcin last 6 games (Ligue 1).
    Metz will not lose
    Everygame
    -122
    Metz have not won:
    fc-metztoulouse-fcin 12 of last 13 home games against Toulouse.
    fc-metztoulouse-fcin 10 of last 11 home games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
    fc-metztoulouse-fcin last 8 games against Toulouse.
    fc-metztoulouse-fcin last 7 games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzin last 13 games (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzin last 10 games.
    fc-metzin last 7 home games.
    fc-metzin last 6 home games (Ligue 1).
    Toulouse will not lose
    Everygame
    -435
    View more facts

    Metz - Toulouse Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223
    18.
    Metz
    Metz
    34382332-7617

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    5 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 18
    -8
    -9
    11 - Scored
    20 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    3
    5
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    11
    18
    Conceded
    20
    2.8
    Match goals average
    3.1
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats