Lazio vs Milan Prediction
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Lazio and AC Milan in Serie A's 29th round at the Stadio Olimpico? The Romans are enduring a tough season, currently sitting mid-table, while the Rossoneri firmly hold onto second place, continuing their title chase. However, Lazio should not be underestimated- the Eagles perform solidly at home and are capable of challenging even the strongest opponents.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Lazio and Milan in recent years shows a slight edge for the Milan club: out of 49 matches, the hosts have claimed 14 victories, 13 games have ended in a draw, and the visitors have emerged victorious 22 times. This season, the teams have already faced off twice: in the first round, the Rossoneri secured a narrow 1-0 win at home, but later the Eagles managed to take revenge in the Coppa Italia Round of 16, winning by the same scoreline and knocking Milan out of the tournament.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Lazio Rome Team Overview
🔵 Tenth place after 28 rounds is certainly not the outcome Lazio fans anticipated at the start of the season. The team couldn't strengthen their squad last summer due to a transfer ban, but they did manage to make some acquisitions in the winter. However, this hasn't led to any significant progress, as the Eagles continue to struggle for points: only 1 of their last 5 matches ended in victory.
⚪ Their sole win in this span came in the most recent Serie A round. On March 9, Lazio hosted Sassuolo, who were in excellent form, and claimed a rather unexpected 2-1 victory. The Romans played very aggressively and created numerous dangerous chances, with an xG of 1.83 compared to their opponent's 0.88. However, the winning goal came only in the dying moments of the match, with Marušić securing the additional two points in the 90+2nd minute.
Match Results: Lazio Rome
Milan Team Overview
🔴 AC Milan, following a disappointing last season, are having an excellent campaign this time around. After 28 matches, the team sits in second place with 60 points. They hold a 9-point cushion over the fifth spot, while trailing leaders Inter by 7 points.
⚫ Last weekend, Milan faced off against Inter. This match was crucial, as a loss for the Rossoneri could have ended their title hopes. However, Massimiliano Allegri's side displayed solid defensive work, capitalizing on one of their few attacking opportunities to secure a 1-0 victory. This win is bound to boost Milan's confidence heading into their upcoming fixtures.
Match Results: Milan
Latest news
Lazio Rome
📣 After the match against Sassuolo (2-1), Lazio's head coach Maurizio Sarri said: "Our mindset remains positive despite the endless challenges we face... A 1-1 draw would have been unfair-looking at the full 90 minutes, we had significantly more chances."
🚫 The hosts have plenty of absences. Toma Bašić is doubtful as he recovers from a thigh injury. Samuel Gigot is unavailable due to a muscle injury. Danilo Cataldi is expected to return by the end of March. Nicolo Rovella, recovering from a broken collarbone, is set to be back in early May. First-choice goalkeeper Ivan Provedel is out for the rest of the season with a shoulder injury.
Milan
📣 After the match against Inter (1-0), AC Milan's head coach Massimiliano Allegri said: "The guys played very well today, but Inter remain the clear favorites for the championship... We've been working for six months to reach March in peak form, as this is when the most crucial matches of the season take place and everything is decided."
🚫 The Rossoneri's injury list is quite extensive. Santiago Giménez is doubtful as he recovers from an ankle injury. Matteo Gabbia is expected to return by early April after a hernia. Ruben Loftus-Cheek faces a much longer absence; the Englishman is recovering from a fractured cheekbone and will only be back on the field by the end of April. Additionally, Adrien Rabiot will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Recent matches involving Milan have lacked excitement, with their last four games ending with no more than two goals scored. Lazio show a similar trend, playing cautiously throughout the season and rarely engaging in high-scoring affairs. Therefore, it's reasonable to expect low scoring in the upcoming clash. We are betting on under 2.5 goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
For those interested in set-piece bets, consider the option of Milan over 3.5 corners. This bet has been successful in their last five away head-to-head Serie A matches. Given that Lazio often allow opponents to take the initiative this season, this bet seems promising and has a good chance of hitting again.
🚀 Player Statistics Bet
As noted, Lazio have been quite passive this season and rarely play from a position of strength. So, in the upcoming match, Milan are likely to dominate possession and control the game's tempo. Luka Modric plays a crucial role in orchestrating the Rossoneri's attacks, linking up play, directing attacks, and consistently participating in ball distribution. In this context, a bet on Luka Modric having 75 or more pass attempts at odds of 1.62* looks like an intriguing option.
😱 Risky Bet
This season, Lazio and Milan have faced each other twice, with both matches being uneventful: each ended in a 1-0 victory. The Rossoneri came out on top in the first league meeting, while the Eagles took revenge in the Coppa Italia. It's possible that the upcoming encounter will be just as tight, with only one goal deciding the outcome. Considering Milan's current need for points, a bet on a correct score of 0-1 at odds of 6.50* is an interesting risky option.
👀 If the Match Takes an Unexpected Turn
As mentioned, our editorial team anticipates a low-scoring affair. However, another scenario is possible: Lazio might rediscover their flair from previous seasons and perform at a higher level, while Milan could break through in attack at any moment, as they have frequently scored well in the current league campaign. If the game unfolds this way, betting on over 2.5 goals could be a logical alternative.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers' lines
Editor's Prediction
According to bookmakers, AC Milan are the favorites for the upcoming clash, and rightly so, given the contrasting form of the two teams this season. With just ten matches left, the Rossoneri need to navigate this stretch with confidence if they truly aim to compete for the title. Lazio, on the other hand, have little motivation left; their chances of securing a European spot through the league look slim, so it's likely they'll focus their efforts on the Coppa Italia instead. In this context, betting on a Milan victory seems the most reasonable option. We expect to see a scoreline of 0-1 on the board.
Betting Tips: Lazio Rome - Milan
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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