Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction 15 March 2026
🔊 In the upcoming match between Santa Fe and Alianza, the teams are in contrasting forms. Santa Fe have been inconsistent but tend to assert control when playing at home. Alianza, on the other hand, have struggled to secure a win in recent matches and face significant issues in attack. Both sides are battling to climb the league standings.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente Santa Fe):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente Santa Fe and Alianza Valledupar:
- played 6 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 1, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 10 against 8;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 2;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar

Independiente Santa Fe Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Primera A, with Santa Fe hosting Atletico Nacional. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Santa Fe are currently positioned 14th in the league standings, a far cry from where they'd like to be. Over their last five matches, they've secured just one win, suffered two losses, and drawn once. On average, they net 1.11 goals per game while conceding approximately 1.33 goals. Despite these stats, when playing at home, Santa Fe tend to focus on defense and risk minimization.
Match Results: Independiente Santa Fe

Alianza Valledupar Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primera A, where they faced Atletico Junior as the home side and Alianza as the guests. The game concluded with a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Alianza vs Atletico Junior):
- possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corners: 4 vs 12;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
Alianza find themselves at the bottom of the league, struggling with form as they haven't won in their last ten matches. The team faces significant challenges in converting chances, averaging just 0.44 goals per game, while their defense concedes nearly twice per match (1.9). The lack of attacking efficiency further complicates the situation for the visitors.
Match Results: Alianza Valledupar
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Independiente Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 2 vs 0;
- win percentage: 22% vs 0%;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 0;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
- Alianza Valledupar have not won in 11 of last 12 away games.
- Alianza Valledupar have not won in last 10 games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.67, the guests - 1.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Independiente Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar
- average total in the tournament: 2.44 vs 2.44;
- average total goals scored: 1.11 vs 0.44;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.22 vs 0.11;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.89 vs 0.33;
- Independiente Santa Fe: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Alianza Valledupar: average total away in the tournament - 0.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.8) vs 0.4 (away - 0.17).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Independiente Santa Fe home games (Liga Aguila).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Independiente Santa Fe home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Alianza Valledupar games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 6.17 (3 - for home team and 3.17 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 6.34 (3.67 - for home team and 2.67 - for away team).
Independiente Santa Fe: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.11; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 4.4.
Alianza Valledupar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.56, away - 3.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 3.5.
- Alianza Valledupar have taken over 3.5 corners in last 6 games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Independiente Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente Santa Fe at home - 4 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Alianza Valledupar away - 1 (20%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Independiente Santa Fe at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Alianza Valledupar away - 1 (17%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/95, 17.9%);
- Independiente Santa Fe at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 2:2 (1/4, 25%);
- Alianza Valledupar away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:0 , 3:0 , 5:0 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.42% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 10.91% (odds 7)
2:0 - 10.57% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current form of both teams, we anticipate a match with few corner kicks-especially considering Santa Fe's trend of low corner counts at home (fewer than 8). While the hosts' form isn't impressive, they do have the home advantage against a struggling Alianza side that rarely scores and frequently makes defensive errors. Based on these insights, a well-founded prediction would be to bet on under 8.5 corner kicks.