Independiente del Valle vs Aucas Prediction 14 March 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Independiente del Valle and Aucas promises an intriguing contest. The hosts sit atop the table, showcasing impressive form. Their play is defined by a solid defense and effective attacks, as evidenced by recent match statistics. Meanwhile, Aucas hold the tenth spot, with inconsistent results, yet they have the potential to surprise thanks to their attacking prowess.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 19 July 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that match (home team - Independiente del Valle):
- possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 15 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Independiente del Valle and Aucas:
- 28 matches played;
- home team victories - 13, away team wins - 6, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 40 for the hosts, 30 for the visitors;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
- average total goals per match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente del Valle - Aucas
Independiente del Valle Team Overview
The last official match took place on in Serie A, with Independiente del Valle hosting Mushuc Runa. The game concluded with a 3-1 victory.
Here are the match stats (Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa):
- possession: 73% vs 27%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 5 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Independiente del Valle are in peak form. They top the league standings, underscoring their dominant position. The team have won their first three matches of the season, showcasing excellent performance both in attack and defense. They average 2.33 goals per match while conceding just 0.33, highlighting their solid defense and potent offense. Independiente also perform confidently at home, with their latest victory over Aucas ending 2-1. Considering all these factors, they appear to be clear favorites for the upcoming clash.
Match Results: Independiente del Valle
SD Aucas Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in Serie A, where Aucas hosted Deportivo Cuenca. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca):
- possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 9 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Aucas are in search of consistency. The team currently sits in tenth place, displaying a fluctuating form. In their last three matches, they've managed to secure just two points, highlighting issues with their scoring ability. They average 0.67 goals per match while conceding 1, indicating a frail defense. Despite this, Aucas have the potential to surprise their opponents with their attacking style and ability to create chances, even on the road.
Match Results: SD Aucas
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 6, draws - 9.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs SD Aucas
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- wins: 3 vs 0;
- win percentage: 100% vs 0%;
- losses: 0 vs 1;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- SD Aucas won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games against Independiente del Valle (Serie A).
- SD Aucas won with a +1.5 handicap in 19 of last 21 games.
- SD Aucas won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 20 games (Serie A).
- SD Aucas won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 away games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.43, the guests - 1.07;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 7.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Independiente del Valle home games (Serie A).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Independiente del Valle games (Serie A).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 SD Aucas games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Independiente del Valle: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.33; at home field - 8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; at home field - 8.14.
SD Aucas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 8.33, away - 9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 6.25.
- SD Aucas have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Independiente del Valle.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs SD Aucas
- number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for SD Aucas away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle at home - 2 (29%);
- BTTS matches for SD Aucas away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (7/23, 30.4%);
- Independiente del Valle at home most often finish matches: 2:0 , 3:1 (1/2, 50%);
- SD Aucas away most often play: 1:1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 15.24% (odds 5.69)
2:0 - 12.34% (odds 5.88)
1:1 - 10.06% (odds 6.54)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming match, we anticipate the home team to dominate. Independiente are on an impressive winning streak, backed by their solid defense and high scoring rate. On the other hand, Aucas are struggling to collect points, especially on the road. Although they have the ability to create chances in attack, their defense leaves much to be desired. Considering Independiente's winning trend and current form, another victory seems the most likely outcome. Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win.
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Betting Tips: Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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