Aucas vs Independiente del Valle Prediction 16 July 2026
🔊 This match brings together two of the league’s top sides, both coming into this head-to-head in excellent form. Aucas are unbeaten in their recent run, looking solid at home and showing real defensive resilience. Independiente del Valle, meanwhile, remain at the summit and have been prolific in front of goal, particularly on their travels. The current standings demand that the visitors maintain full focus if they want to hold onto top spot. Both teams are highly motivated not just by the significance of this clash, but also by the opportunity to prove their credentials right now.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 14 March 2026 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here’s a statistical breakdown from that fixture, with Independiente del Valle as the home team:
- Possession: 54% vs 46%;
- Corners: 5 vs 7;
- Fouls: 5 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 7.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Aucas and Independiente del Valle:
- They have played 29 matches against each other;
- The hosts have claimed 6 wins, while the visitors have secured 13 victories; 10 matches have ended in a draw;
- Goals scored: 32 for Aucas, 42 for Independiente del Valle;
- Average goals in the first half - 1.07; in the second half - 1.48;
- Average total goals per match - 2.55.
Head-to-head statistics Aucas - Independiente del Valle
SD Aucas Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in Serie A, with Deportivo Cuenca hosting Aucas. The visitors came away with a 1-0 victory.
Here are the key match statistics (Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca):
- Possession: 35% vs 65%;
- Corners: 4 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 18 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Aucas are enjoying a consistent campaign and continue to display confident football. Over their last five outings, they have picked up four wins and a draw, maintaining an unbeaten run that highlights their strong organization and mental resilience. Looking at their previous ten fixtures, Aucas have recorded six victories and suffered just two defeats, striking a solid balance between attack, averaging 1.3 goals per game, and a fairly reliable defense, conceding just 0.8 goals on average. While the title race has all but slipped away due to a significant gap from top spot, Aucas remain focused in front of their home fans, consistently collecting points and rarely allowing opponents to dictate the tempo for long stretches.
Match Results: SD Aucas
Independiente del Valle Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A, facing Mushuc Runa away from home. The match ended with a score of 1-4.
Here’s how the key stats break down (Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa):
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corners: 6 vs 6;
- Fouls: 9 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 9 vs 2.
Independiente del Valle come into this fixture as league leaders, riding a remarkable run of form. The team have secured five consecutive victories and have suffered just one defeat in their last ten outings. Over this stretch, the visitors have averaged an impressive 2.8 goals per match, underlining their attacking prowess. Defensively, they remain solid as well, conceding just 0.7 goals per game across those ten matches. Notably, Independiente del Valle have established a clear trend in high-scoring away fixtures: the over 2.5 goals market has landed in six of their last seven games on the road, highlighting their willingness to play open, attacking football even against top opposition.
Match Results: Independiente del Valle
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 29;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.07;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.41, while the visitors net 0.66.
First-Half Stats: SD Aucas (home) vs Independiente del Valle (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (44.44%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- draws: 5 (55.56%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.56;
- Average goals conceded: 0.22 vs 0.56.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 8;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 4 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.3 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.1).
- Independiente del Valle have won the 1st half in last 5 away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 13, draws - 10.
Statistics: SD Aucas vs Independiente del Valle
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 9 vs 14;
- win percentage: 50% vs 78%;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 9;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.1, the guests - 1.45;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.55;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: SD Aucas vs Independiente del Valle
- average total in the tournament: 2.06 vs 3.28;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 2.22;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.61 vs 1.22;
- SD Aucas: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Independiente del Valle: average total away in the tournament - 2.44;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.75) vs 2.8 (away - 3.2).
- SD Aucas have scored in 8 of last 9 home games against Independiente del Valle (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: SD Aucas vs Independiente del Valle
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for SD Aucas at home - 4 (44%);
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for SD Aucas at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (25/146, 17.1%);
- SD Aucas at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:0 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Independiente del Valle away most often play: 2:3 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.81% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 8.61% (odds 7.5)
1:2 - 8.3% (odds 8)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
This match brings together two sides known for their tactical discipline and attacking prowess. Aucas have maintained impressive home form, consistently avoiding defeat-a trend reflected in their recent performances. Independiente del Valle, meanwhile, travel well and bring a potent attack on the road; their away fixtures often turn into high-scoring affairs, with over 2.5 goals landing regularly. The hosts’ unbeaten run at home, combined with the visitors’ offensive firepower, sets the stage for an open contest. The prediction: over 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle
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