Mainz vs Freiburg Prediction 15 March 2025
🔊 In the upcoming Bundesliga match between Mainz and Freiburg, we are in for a clash of direct competitors in the battle for a Champions League spot for next season. Mainz, who have been performing confidently at home, winning 6 out of their last 7 matches, aim to solidify their position in the top-4. Meanwhile, Freiburg, currently in fifth place, travels to the "Mewa Arena" with the goal of closing the three-point gap with the "Carnival club". Who will come out on top in this encounter?
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between Mainz and Freiburg:
- 34 matches played;
- number of victories for the home team - 15, for the away team - 10, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 53 against 34;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.03, in the 2nd half - 1.53;
- average total goals in a match - 2.56.
The last game took place on 03 November 2024 at Freiburg's field and ended with a score of 0:0.
Head-to-head statistics Mainz - Freiburg
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 Mainz continues to delight its fans with confident play. In the last ten matches, they have secured six victories, indicating stable form. On average, the "Carnival Club" scores 1.4 goals per match and concedes only 0.6, highlighting their balance. At their home stadium, they not only win but also rarely allow opponents to score.
🔝 After the last round, Mainz climbed into the top 3 by defeating Borussia Mönchengladbach (3:1). The team found itself so high in the table in the second half of the season for the first time since the 2010/11 campaign.
⚡ Three players from the "Carnival Club" made it into the symbolic team of the 25th round: Paul Nebel (goal), Nadiem Amiri (winning goal), and Lee Jae-sung (two assists).
❌ Key central defender Stefan Bell has been out due to injury since the end of January. Additionally, Jonathan Burkardt and Danny da Costa, important starting players, sustained injuries in the last round. Their participation in the upcoming match is in question.
Match Results: Mainz
Freiburg Team Overview
⚫ Freiburg is demonstrating decent results this season, occupying 5th place in the table. The team shows confident play away from home, although it faces difficulties in attack, averaging 1.3 goals per match. In the last ten matches, they have secured five wins, with two draws and three losses.
🔗 The "Brazilians of Breisgau" have recorded their second consecutive goalless draw, this time sharing the points with Leipzig. Statistics indicate that the teammates should be grateful to their goalkeeper (0.53-2.03 in xG).
🔝 Noah Atubolu played his fifth consecutive "clean sheet" match, setting a club record for Freiburg (510 minutes without conceding a goal).
❌ Daniel-Kofi Kyereh and Manuel Gulde have been sidelined due to injuries since the summer of 2024. Additionally, young defender Maximilian Rosenfelder caught a virus and has missed several rounds.
Match Results: Freiburg
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 10, draws - 9.
Statistics: Mainz vs Freiburg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of wins: 13 vs 12;
- win percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- number of losses: 7 vs 8;
- number of draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 5;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of draws: 1 vs 2.
- Freiburg wins with a handicap of +1.5 in each of their last 5 Bundesliga away games against Mainz.
- Freiburg wins with a handicap of +1.5 in each of their last 7 Bundesliga games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.56, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Mainz vs Freiburg
- average total in the tournament: 2.72 vs 2.8;
- average total goals scored: 1.68 vs 1.36;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.88 vs 0.56;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.8 vs 0.8;
- Mainz: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Freiburg: average total away in the tournament - 0.77;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.5) vs 1.3 (away - 0.6).
- Mainz has scored less than 1.5 goals in each of their last 8 Bundesliga games against Freiburg.
- Mainz has scored less than 1.5 goals in each of their last 5 Bundesliga home games against Freiburg.
Prediction on corners
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.64; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 5.25.
Freiburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.96, away - 3.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 3.4.
- Mainz has taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of the last 9 Bundesliga games against Freiburg.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.12 (2.06 for home team and 2.06 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.88 (1.88 for home team and 2 for away team).
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.04; at home - 2.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 2.5.
Freiburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.36, away - 0.85;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 0.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Mainz vs Freiburg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Mainz at home - 5 (42%);
- number of BTTS matches for Freiburg away - 4 (31%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Mainz at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Freiburg away - 1 (20%).
Editorial Prediction
Based on the current form of the teams and their head-to-head statistics, Mainz looks more favorable. They are showing excellent form at home and have a tendency to score more than 1.5 goals in home matches. Freiburg, on the other hand, is experiencing difficulties on the road, especially in attack. Considering all factors, the most likely outcome is a Mainz victory. The "Carnival Club" has won 6 out of their last 7 home Bundesliga matches, including victories over Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich.
No comments
Betting Tips: Mainz - Freiburg
in 6 of last 7 home games (Bundesliga)..svg)
in last 7 games against Freiburg (Bundesliga).in last 6 games (Bundesliga).
in last 8 home games (Bundesliga).in last 7 home games.in last 8 Mainz games against Freiburg (Bundesliga).in last 5 Mainz home games against Freiburg (Bundesliga).in 13 of last 14 Mainz home games (Bundesliga).in 9 of last 10 Mainz games (Bundesliga).in last 6 Mainz home games.in 6 of last 7 Freiburg games (Bundesliga).
in 8 of last 9 Benjamin Brand games.in 7 of last 8 Benjamin Brand games (in the Bundesliga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
